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VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid• UEFA Champions League, World

#43.0:0.51-1FTToday · MHP Arena, Stuttgart1.5:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50PINX4.001XB22.131XBMargin at best0.5%Books10Markets98Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 16:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.384.002.131.5%
Betano3.453.952.072.6%
Pinnacle3.503.912.052.9%
Dafabet3.253.852.114.1%
Marathonbet3.303.902.074.3%
Betfair3.403.902.005.1%
BetVictor3.304.002.005.3%
Bet3653.303.802.006.6%
SBO3.083.712.068.0%
William Hill3.203.602.009.0%
Best of all books3.504.002.130.5%
Average3.323.862.054.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VfB StuttgartAtletico Madrid
Last 10#4Table position#153.00Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 5153.0Goals for · last 51.50.5Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3367Defence rating3367Form rating330H2H rating080Goals model2070Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 21:00 UTC

VfB Stuttgart

6W 1D 3L · goals 22:7 · per match 2.2 for, 0.7 against

20 OctHAtletico Madrid1-1D
17 OctAHamburger SV0-1L
14 OctASlovan Bratislava3-0W
10 OctASC Paderborn 072-0W
1 OctHSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0W
25 SepH1. FC Heidenheim3-0W
19 SepHBorussia Dortmund0-1L
12 SepA1899 Hoffenheim1-2L
9 SepHViking3-1W
4 SepH1. FC Köln4-1W

Atletico Madrid

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

17 OctAEspanyol1-0W
13 OctHManchester United2-0W
10 OctAAlaves2-1W
20 SepHReal Madrid2-1W
16 SepHOsasuna4-0W
13 SepAReal Sociedad3-0W
9 SepALiverpool1-2L
5 SepAAthletic Club0-3L
29 AugASevilla3-1W
23 AugHVillarreal2-2D

Head to head

No previous meetings between VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid on record.

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, VfB Stuttgart sit 4th with 6 points from 2 games, while Atletico Madrid are 15th with 3 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain220010:3+76
2Barcelona22009:2+76
3Aston Villa22009:2+76
4VfB Stuttgart22006:1+56
5Liverpool22008:4+46
6Sporting CP22005:1+46
7Arsenal22004:0+46
8Real Madrid22006:4+26
9Real Betis22006:4+26
10Bayern München21108:3+54
11Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
12Como21016:4+23
13Manchester United21014:2+23
14Villarreal21015:4+13
15Atletico Madrid21013:2+13
16Club Brugge KV21016:603
17Manchester City21014:403
18Borussia Dortmund21013:303
19Lens21013:4-13
20AEK Athens FC21012:3-13
21RB Leipzig21012:4-23
22Sabah FA21012:4-23
23Feyenoord21014:7-33
24Bodo/Glimt21011:5-43
25AS Roma20114:5-11
26PSV Eindhoven20111:2-11
27Viking20114:6-21
28Fenerbahçe20111:7-61
29Inter20024:6-20
30FC Porto20022:5-30
31Slavia Praha20022:5-30
32Napoli20021:4-30
33Lask Linz20023:7-40
34Lille20022:6-40
35Galatasaray20022:7-50
36Slovan Bratislava20021:9-80

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.32X25%3.87246%2.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 14:301 3.29X 3.842 2.07
12.86 → 3.29 +15.0%X3.73 → 3.84 +2.9%22.26 → 2.07 -8.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.492.723.9%
Betano1.472.774.1%
Betfair1.452.755.3%
Bet3651.442.755.8%
1xBet1.412.648.8%
Marathonbet1.412.648.8%
BetVictor1.432.549.3%
Best of all books1.492.773.2%
Average1.442.696.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.442.755.8%
Betano1.422.756.8%
Betfair1.402.807.1%
1xBet1.392.817.5%
Bet3651.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
Marathonbet1.392.768.2%
Best of all books1.442.815.0%
Average1.412.777.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VfB Stuttgart 50%Draw 50%Atletico Madrid 0%

The statistical model rated VfB Stuttgart at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Atletico Madrid at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 3.87 | 2.06, which imply roughly 30.1% for a VfB Stuttgart win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: VfB Stuttgart are 4th (6 pts, 6-1 goals), Atletico Madrid 15th (3 pts, 3-2).

Over their last five matches, VfB Stuttgart averaged 3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Atletico Madrid averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : VfB Stuttgart.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Goalkeeper

  • 41D. Seimen

Defence

  • 24J. Chabot
  • 3R. Hendriks
  • 7M. Mittelstädt

Midfield

  • 4J. Vagnoman
  • 21G. Prömel
  • 6A. Stiller
  • 10C. Führich
  • 18J. Leweling
  • 11B. El Khannouss

Attack

  • 26D. Undav
Substitutes (11)
  • 2A. Al Dakhil
  • 44L. Sauer
  • 17D. Pejčinović
  • 28N. Nartey
  • 16A. Karazor
  • 29Finn Jeltsch
  • 22L. Assignon
  • 1F. Bredlow
  • 9E. Demirović
  • 33M. Funk
  • 14L. Jaquez

Atletico Madrid

4-4-2

Coach: D. Simeone

Goalkeeper

  • 13J. Oblak

Defence

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 17D. Hancko
  • 22Álex Grimaldo

Midfield

  • 20G. Simeone
  • 23M. Hjulmand
  • 8Pablo Barrios
  • 10Álex Baena

Attack

  • 15J. David
  • 19J. Álvarez
Substitutes (12)
  • 9A. Sørloth
  • 16Arnau Ortiz
  • 1J. Musso
  • 4Rodrigo Mendoza
  • 11A. Lookman
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 7Lee Kang-In
  • 27J. Dominguez
  • 46J. Castillo
  • 5J. Cardoso
  • 3O. Vargas
  • 30Dani Martínez

Match Statistics

VfB StuttgartAtletico Madrid
1.53Expected Goals0.9
457Passes accurate379
12Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox1
4Blocked Shots3
6Free Kicks15
5Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
9Shots off Goal4
2Offsides0
512Total passes458
18Total Shots10
1Yellow Cards0
9Corner Kicks4
0Red Cards1
15Fouls7
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.323.862.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.771.331.25

Draw no bet

12
2.461.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.412.77

1st half

1X2
3.502.482.52

2nd half

1X2
3.192.802.34

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1913.620.2
HT X8.226.845.57
HT 226.113.73.06

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1320.81.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.3
1.51.125.61
2.51.442.69
3.52.131.74
4.53.491.28
5.56.181.10
6.512.31.03
7.520.31.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0215.0
1.751.115.06
21.174.44
2.251.303.25
2.751.542.42
31.682.16
3.251.921.91
3.752.361.56
42.851.40
4.253.121.33
4.754.041.18
55.251.10
5.255.501.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.841.43
02.491.55
+0.252.041.77
+0.51.802.03
+0.751.602.30
+11.422.79
16 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.81.02
-211.51.01
-1.757.521.06
-1.56.181.09
-1.255.791.11
-15.431.13
-0.753.901.23
-0.53.201.34
+1.251.333.11
+1.51.263.42
+1.751.184.22
+21.095.82
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.086.38
+31.0512.5
+3.51.0312.8

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.125.60
2.51.333.10
3.51.662.23
4.52.271.60
5.53.551.27
6.55.301.13
7.57.701.06
8.510.31.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.303.38
41.841.98
52.931.38

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0214.0
5.51.038.36
6.51.115.24
7.51.233.54
8.51.462.52
9.51.781.96
10.52.261.57
11.53.001.32
12.54.061.18
13.55.621.09
14.57.281.05
15.511.41.02
16.511.51.02
17.513.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.22
7.751.213.24
81.252.97
8.251.332.76
8.751.472.33
91.562.26
9.251.662.04
9.751.901.84
102.011.79
10.252.141.60
10.752.411.43
112.541.44
11.252.811.32
123.201.21
134.221.11
145.391.05

Next UEFA Champions League matches

21 OctLille – Galatasaray
21 OctComo – Manchester United
21 OctClub Brugge KV – Lens
21 OctBayern München – Arsenal
21 OctAston Villa – Viking
21 OctReal Betis – Feyenoord

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Champions League results

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