OddsFilter
Live

Liverpool vs Villarreal• UEFA Champions League, World

#54.0:2.04-3FTToday · Anfield, Liverpool2.5:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX5.00DAF26.50BFRMargin4.4%Books10Markets102Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L55.3

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 16:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.524.926.401.7%
Betano1.554.706.102.2%
Marathonbet1.504.856.303.2%
Pinnacle1.514.746.123.7%
Dafabet1.475.006.204.2%
BetVictor1.454.756.505.4%
Bet3651.484.506.255.8%
Betfair1.474.606.006.4%
SBO1.464.615.807.4%
William Hill1.444.505.808.9%
Best of all books1.555.006.50-0.1%
Average1.484.726.154.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LiverpoolVillarreal
Last 10#5Table position#143.00Points per game1.5012Form pts · last 5104.0Goals for · last 52.52.0Goals against · last 52.062Attack rating3850Defence rating5067Form rating3375H2H rating2566Goals model3466Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Liverpool

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

17 OctABrentford2-1W
14 OctALask Linz6-3W
11 OctHManchester City0-3L
20 SepABournemouth1-0W
15 SepHTottenham3-1W
12 SepHFulham0-0D
9 SepHAtletico Madrid2-1W
4 SepAIpswich2-0W
29 AugHNottingham Forest2-2D
23 AugANewcastle2-2D

Villarreal

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHElche0-0D
13 OctHNapoli3-1W
10 OctAReal Madrid0-1L
20 SepHLevante3-1W
17 SepAMalaga3-1W
14 SepHReal Betis1-2L
8 SepABorussia Dortmund2-3L
5 SepHDeportivo La Coruna2-3L
28 AugAAlaves0-1L
23 AugAAtletico Madrid2-2D

Head to head

3Liverpool wins
0draws
1Villarreal wins

4 meetings · goals 8:3 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Liverpool

3 May 2022UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueVillarreal2-3Liverpool
27 Apr 2022UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueLiverpool2-0Villarreal
5 May 2016UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa LeagueLiverpool3-0Villarreal
28 Apr 2016UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa LeagueVillarreal1-0Liverpool

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Liverpool sit 5th with 6 points from 2 games, while Villarreal are 14th with 3 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain220010:3+76
2Barcelona22009:2+76
3Aston Villa22009:2+76
4VfB Stuttgart22006:1+56
5Liverpool22008:4+46
6Sporting CP22005:1+46
7Arsenal22004:0+46
8Real Madrid22006:4+26
9Real Betis22006:4+26
10Bayern München21108:3+54
11Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
12Como21016:4+23
13Manchester United21014:2+23
14Villarreal21015:4+13
15Atletico Madrid21013:2+13
16Club Brugge KV21016:603
17Manchester City21014:403
18Borussia Dortmund21013:303
19Lens21013:4-13
20AEK Athens FC21012:3-13
21RB Leipzig21012:4-23
22Sabah FA21012:4-23
23Feyenoord21014:7-33
24Bodo/Glimt21011:5-43
25AS Roma20114:5-11
26PSV Eindhoven20111:2-11
27Viking20114:6-21
28Fenerbahçe20111:7-61
29Inter20024:6-20
30FC Porto20022:5-30
31Slavia Praha20022:5-30
32Napoli20021:4-30
33Lask Linz20023:7-40
34Lille20022:6-40
35Galatasaray20022:7-50
36Slovan Bratislava20021:9-80

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.54X21%4.54217%5.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 14:301 1.48X 4.722 6.20
11.49 → 1.48 -0.7%X4.52 → 4.72 +4.4%25.88 → 6.20 +5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.472.754.4%
Pinnacle1.442.854.5%
Betfair1.442.805.2%
Bet3651.442.755.8%
1xBet1.422.697.6%
Marathonbet1.422.697.6%
BetVictor1.432.569.0%
Best of all books1.472.853.1%
Average1.442.736.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.552.455.3%
Betfair1.502.506.7%
Betano1.552.376.7%
1xBet1.562.307.6%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.562.278.2%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Best of all books1.572.503.7%
Average1.542.367.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Liverpool 45%Draw 45%Villarreal 10%

The statistical model rated Liverpool at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Villarreal at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.54 | 5.75, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Liverpool win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Liverpool are 5th (6 pts, 8-4 goals), Villarreal 14th (3 pts, 5-4).

Over their last five matches, Liverpool averaged 4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Villarreal averaged 2.5 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Liverpool

4-3-3

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Goalkeeper

  • 1Alisson Becker

Defence

  • 33R. Araújo
  • 5J. Jacquet
  • 4V. van Dijk
  • 21K. Tsimikas

Midfield

  • 38R. Gravenberch
  • 42T. Nyoni
  • 10A. Mac Allister

Attack

  • 73R. Ngumoha
  • 67L. Koumas
  • 18C. Gakpo
Substitutes (11)
  • 29B. Barcola
  • 44L. Chambers
  • 76J. Danns
  • 2J. Gomez
  • 9A. Isak
  • 6M. Kerkez
  • 25G. Mamardashvili
  • 53J. McConnell
  • 7F. Wirtz
  • 28F. Woodman
  • 94M. Laffey

Villarreal

4-2-3-1

Coach: Iñigo Pérez

Goalkeeper

  • 25P. Gulácsi

Defence

  • 15S. Mouriño
  • 6Pau Navarro
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 23Sergi Cardona

Midfield

  • 24N. Saliba
  • 18P. Gueye
  • 17T. Buchanan
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 10Alberto Moleiro

Attack

  • 9G. Mikautadze
Substitutes (12)
  • 22Ayoze Pérez
  • 5A. Diatta
  • 27N. El Jmili
  • 8J. Foyth
  • 3A. Freeman
  • 1Luíz Júnior
  • 16C. Macia
  • 7Gerard Moreno
  • 21T. Oluwaseyi
  • 2Logan Costa
  • 11Ilias Akhomach
  • 28Joselillo Gaitán

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.494.726.15

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.641.19

Draw no bet

12
1.174.66

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.36

1st half

1X2
1.912.635.52

2nd half

1X2
1.753.035.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0915.740.9
HT X4.527.7813.3
HT 218.816.810.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4220.02.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0217.7
1.51.125.71
2.51.442.73
3.52.121.74
4.53.451.29
5.56.131.10
6.511.61.04
7.519.71.01
8.545.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0215.5
1.751.125.12
21.184.41
2.251.303.31
2.751.532.45
31.682.19
3.251.911.93
3.752.381.59
42.831.41
4.253.081.34
4.754.141.19
55.401.11
5.255.681.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.561.50
-1.52.251.65
-1.252.001.84
-11.752.10
-0.751.572.38
-0.51.482.64
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.001.05
-3.257.001.10
-36.231.08
-2.754.471.16
-2.53.721.23
-2.253.491.28
-23.171.34
-0.251.313.31
01.174.68
+0.251.145.10
+0.51.135.90
+0.751.077.40
+11.0210.9
+1.51.0211.3

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.0
1.51.115.80
2.51.343.14
3.51.881.88
4.52.661.46
5.53.601.26
6.55.401.13
7.57.901.06
8.510.51.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.522.52
42.261.63
53.231.31

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.5
4.51.0211.9
5.51.049.37
6.51.095.72
7.51.203.85
8.51.382.74
9.51.712.06
10.52.111.66
11.52.751.38
12.53.661.22
13.55.041.12
14.56.521.07
15.59.501.03
16.511.81.02
17.513.51.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.55
7.751.173.58
81.213.25
8.251.283.00
8.751.402.52
91.472.47
9.251.582.19
9.751.761.91
101.931.87
10.251.981.70
10.752.251.50
112.381.50
11.252.581.38
122.921.26
133.871.14
145.001.07

Next UEFA Champions League matches

21 OctLille – Galatasaray
21 OctComo – Manchester United
21 OctClub Brugge KV – Lens
21 OctBayern München – Arsenal
21 OctAston Villa – Viking
21 OctReal Betis – Feyenoord

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Champions League results

20 OctVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico Madrid
20 OctManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FC
20 OctAS Roma 4-0 Slovan Bratislava
20 OctFC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven
20 OctFenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha
20 OctSabah FA 1-2 Borussia Dortmund