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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven• UEFA Champions League, World

#301.0:2.50-1FTToday · Estádio do Dragão, Porto0.5:1.0#26

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.571XBX4.781XB26.07PINMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets100Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 16:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.574.785.901.6%
Betano1.574.705.802.2%
Pinnacle1.524.706.073.5%
Marathonbet1.534.655.754.3%
Dafabet1.524.705.804.3%
BetVictor1.504.506.005.6%
Bet3651.504.605.755.8%
Betfair1.504.605.506.6%
SBO1.514.275.617.5%
William Hill1.504.335.507.9%
Best of all books1.574.786.071.1%
Average1.524.585.774.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
Last 10#30Table position#260.00Points per game0.5012Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.52.5Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3329Defence rating710Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model048Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 06:20 UTC

FC Porto

8W 0D 2L · goals 23:10 · per match 2.3 for, 1.0 against

14 OctAReal Betis2-3L
10 OctAMaritimo2-1W
2 OctADeportivo La Coruna3-1W
20 SepHBenfica3-1W
12 SepACasa Pia4-1W
8 SepHManchester City0-2L
4 SepHMoreirense2-1W
29 AugAAcademico Viseu3-0W
23 AugHArouca2-0W
15 AugARio Ave2-0W

PSV Eindhoven

6W 1D 3L · goals 26:12 · per match 2.6 for, 1.2 against

17 OctAADO Den Haag1-2L
13 OctARB Leipzig0-1L
9 OctHHeerenveen2-0W
20 SepATwente2-3L
13 SepHSparta Rotterdam4-1W
10 SepHShakhtar Donetsk1-1D
5 SepAAjax3-1W
30 AugAUtrecht6-1W
23 AugHGroningen5-1W
15 AugAExcelsior2-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven on record.

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, FC Porto sit 30th with 0 points from 2 games, while PSV Eindhoven are 26th with 1 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain220010:3+76
2Barcelona22009:2+76
3Aston Villa22009:2+76
4VfB Stuttgart22006:1+56
5Liverpool22008:4+46
6Sporting CP22005:1+46
7Arsenal22004:0+46
8Real Madrid22006:4+26
9Real Betis22006:4+26
10Bayern München21108:3+54
11Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
12Como21016:4+23
13Manchester United21014:2+23
14Villarreal21015:4+13
15Atletico Madrid21013:2+13
16Club Brugge KV21016:603
17Manchester City21014:403
18Borussia Dortmund21013:303
19Lens21013:4-13
20AEK Athens FC21012:3-13
21RB Leipzig21012:4-23
22Sabah FA21012:4-23
23Feyenoord21014:7-33
24Bodo/Glimt21011:5-43
25AS Roma20114:5-11
26PSV Eindhoven20111:2-11
27Viking20114:6-21
28Fenerbahçe20111:7-61
29Inter20024:6-20
30FC Porto20022:5-30
31Slavia Praha20022:5-30
32Napoli20021:4-30
33Lask Linz20023:7-40
34Lille20022:6-40
35Galatasaray20022:7-50
36Slovan Bratislava20021:9-80

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.52X21%4.58217%5.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 18:001 1.52X 4.582 5.77
11.74 → 1.52 -12.6%X4.07 → 4.58 +12.5%24.18 → 5.77 +38.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.602.404.2%
Pinnacle1.552.514.4%
Betfair1.502.605.1%
Bet3651.532.505.4%
1xBet1.522.338.7%
Marathonbet1.522.338.7%
BetVictor1.512.339.1%
Best of all books1.602.601.0%
Average1.532.436.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.622.256.2%
Betfair1.602.256.9%
Betano1.672.127.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.652.137.6%
Marathonbet1.652.118.0%
BetVictor1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.642.167.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Porto 10%Draw 45%PSV Eindhoven 45%

The statistical model rated FC Porto at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and PSV Eindhoven at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.58 | 5.77, which imply roughly 21.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: FC Porto are 30th (0 pts, 2-5 goals), PSV Eindhoven 26th (1 pts, 1-2).

Over their last five matches, FC Porto averaged 1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; PSV Eindhoven averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PSV Eindhoven.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

FC Porto

4-3-3

Coach: F. Farioli

Goalkeeper

  • 99Diogo Costa

Defence

  • 20Alberto Baio
  • 5J. Bednarek
  • 4J. Kiwior
  • 12Z. Sanusi

Midfield

  • 8Victor Mow Froholdt
  • 13P. Rosario
  • 10Gabri Veiga

Attack

  • 11Pepê Aquino
  • 9Samu
  • 77O. Pietuszewski
Substitutes (12)
  • 16Hwang In-Beom
  • 29S. Giménez
  • 52Martim Fernandes
  • 14Cláudio Ramos
  • 18N. Pérez
  • 17Borja Sainz
  • 74Francisco Moura
  • 24Andorinha
  • 19André Silva
  • 22A. Varela
  • 33Souza
  • 42S. Fofana

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Coach: P. Bosz

Goalkeeper

  • 32M. Kovář

Defence

  • 8S. Dest
  • 2L. Geertruida
  • 3Yarek Gasiorowski
  • 18F. Kostić

Midfield

  • 24K. Sano
  • 17Mauro Júnior
  • 19E. Bajraktarevic
  • 20G. Til
  • 5I. Perišić

Attack

  • 21S. Mijnans
Substitutes (10)
  • 51T. Smolenaars
  • 35A. Santos
  • 1N. Olij
  • 4A. Obispo
  • 27D. Man
  • 6R. Flamingo
  • 31N. Fernandez
  • 42S. Cornecion
  • 23M. Hansen
  • 37A. Bouhamdi

Match Statistics

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
1.45Expected Goals1.69
340Passes accurate529
8Shots insidebox12
6Shots outsidebox6
1Blocked Shots4
9Free Kicks6
4Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
9Shots off Goal11
5Offsides3
421Total passes616
14Total Shots18
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
7Fouls9
0Red Cards0
40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.524.585.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.521.19

Draw no bet

12
1.194.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.16

1st half

1X2
2.002.545.25

2nd half

1X2
1.822.895.01

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1815.941.7
HT X4.497.2412.4
HT 219.516.99.31

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4417.82.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.1
1.51.154.93
2.51.532.43
3.52.381.59
4.54.041.22
5.57.221.07
6.513.81.02
7.524.81.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.5
1.751.164.16
21.223.80
2.251.372.86
2.751.672.15
31.881.92
3.252.141.72
3.752.691.44
43.291.32
4.253.481.27
4.754.841.13
56.501.06
5.256.701.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.731.45
-1.52.341.59
-1.252.091.76
-11.832.02
-0.751.612.29
-0.51.502.57
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.671.04
-36.851.04
-2.755.061.13
-2.54.001.20
-2.253.681.24
-23.431.28
-0.251.333.15
01.184.47
+0.251.184.53
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.076.74
+1.51.0210.8

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.077.40
2.51.214.10
3.51.422.75
4.51.881.85
5.52.711.44
6.54.001.22
7.55.901.11
8.58.251.05
9.510.81.03
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.532.47
52.281.62

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.5
4.51.0211.9
5.51.048.00
6.51.125.04
7.51.263.31
8.51.482.44
9.51.851.89
10.52.341.52
11.53.121.30
12.54.331.15
13.56.011.08
14.57.491.04
15.511.51.02
16.511.81.02
17.513.51.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.55
71.134.00
7.751.233.05
81.282.80
8.251.382.60
8.751.542.25
91.632.18
9.251.762.00
9.751.941.73
102.091.68
10.252.191.53
10.752.541.40
112.631.41
11.253.021.28
123.391.19
134.471.10
145.621.04

Next UEFA Champions League matches

21 OctLille – Galatasaray
21 OctComo – Manchester United
21 OctClub Brugge KV – Lens
21 OctBayern München – Arsenal
21 OctAston Villa – Viking
21 OctReal Betis – Feyenoord

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Champions League results

20 OctNapoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt
20 OctParis Saint Germain 4-2 Barcelona
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20 OctLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal
20 OctManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FC
20 OctVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico Madrid