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Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona• UEFA Champions League, World

#15.0:1.54-2FTToday · Parc des Princes, Paris4.5:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.511XBX4.621XB22.52BTNMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets101Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L56.0

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 16:24 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.524.512.521.5%
Betano2.504.552.472.5%
Marathonbet2.494.452.483.0%
Pinnacle2.474.482.483.1%
Dafabet2.454.402.474.0%
Betfair2.454.502.404.7%
BetVictor2.454.402.405.2%
Bet3652.404.502.405.6%
SBO2.414.152.368.0%
William Hill2.404.002.408.3%
Best of all books2.524.552.521.3%
Average2.454.392.444.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Paris Saint GermainBarcelona
Last 10#1Table position#23.00Points per game3.0015Form pts · last 5155.0Goals for · last 54.51.5Goals against · last 51.053Attack rating4740Defence rating6050Form rating5071H2H rating2949Goals model5155Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 18:30 UTC

Paris Saint Germain

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:13 · per match 2.4 for, 1.3 against

17 OctAStrasbourg3-1W
14 OctAManchester City4-2W
10 OctHLe Mans3-1W
20 SepAMarseille2-1W
13 SepAStade Brestois 291-0W
9 SepHSlovan Bratislava6-1W
4 SepHMonaco1-2L
28 AugALille2-2D
23 AugARennes2-2D
16 AugALens0-1L

Barcelona

10W 0D 0L · goals 43:11 · per match 4.3 for, 1.1 against

17 OctAReal Betis5-2W
13 OctAGalatasaray4-1W
10 OctHGetafe3-0W
19 SepASevilla3-1W
16 SepHRacing Santander7-2W
13 SepALevante4-2W
9 SepHFeyenoord5-1W
6 SepAValencia5-0W
31 AugHRayo Vallecano5-2W
27 AugHAthletic Club2-0W

Head to head

5Paris Saint Germain wins
3draws
5Barcelona wins

13 meetings · goals 26:26 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Paris Saint Germain

1 Oct 2025UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona1-2Paris Saint Germain
16 Apr 2024UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona1-4Paris Saint Germain
10 Apr 2024UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueParis Saint Germain2-3Barcelona
10 Mar 2021UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueParis Saint Germain1-1Barcelona
16 Feb 2021UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona1-4Paris Saint Germain
8 Mar 2017UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona6-1Paris Saint Germain
14 Feb 2017UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueParis Saint Germain4-0Barcelona
21 Apr 2015UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona2-0Paris Saint Germain
15 Apr 2015UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueParis Saint Germain1-3Barcelona
10 Dec 2014UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions LeagueBarcelona3-1Paris Saint Germain

UEFA Champions League tableUEFA Champions Leagueupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the UEFA Champions League table, Paris Saint Germain sit 1st with 6 points from 2 games, while Barcelona are 2nd with 6 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain220010:3+76
2Barcelona22009:2+76
3Aston Villa22009:2+76
4VfB Stuttgart22006:1+56
5Liverpool22008:4+46
6Sporting CP22005:1+46
7Arsenal22004:0+46
8Real Madrid22006:4+26
9Real Betis22006:4+26
10Bayern München21108:3+54
11Shakhtar Donetsk21104:2+24
12Como21016:4+23
13Manchester United21014:2+23
14Villarreal21015:4+13
15Atletico Madrid21013:2+13
16Club Brugge KV21016:603
17Manchester City21014:403
18Borussia Dortmund21013:303
19Lens21013:4-13
20AEK Athens FC21012:3-13
21RB Leipzig21012:4-23
22Sabah FA21012:4-23
23Feyenoord21014:7-33
24Bodo/Glimt21011:5-43
25AS Roma20114:5-11
26PSV Eindhoven20111:2-11
27Viking20114:6-21
28Fenerbahçe20111:7-61
29Inter20024:6-20
30FC Porto20022:5-30
31Slavia Praha20022:5-30
32Napoli20021:4-30
33Lask Linz20023:7-40
34Lille20022:6-40
35Galatasaray20022:7-50
36Slovan Bratislava20021:9-80

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.45X22%4.39239%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 03:001 2.43X 4.362 2.44
12.41 → 2.43 +0.8%X4.23 → 4.36 +3.1%22.44 → 2.44 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.185.004.7%
Betano1.224.355.0%
Bet3651.204.505.6%
BetVictor1.174.607.2%
1xBet1.144.4010.4%
Marathonbet1.144.4010.4%
Best of all books1.225.002.0%
Average1.174.547.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.233.956.6%
Bet3651.224.007.0%
William Hill1.224.007.0%
Betfair1.184.507.0%
1xBet1.184.367.7%
BetVictor1.174.408.2%
Marathonbet1.184.258.3%
Best of all books1.234.503.5%
Average1.204.217.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Paris Saint Germain 45%Draw 45%Barcelona 10%

The statistical model rated Paris Saint Germain at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barcelona at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.45 | 4.39 | 2.44, which imply roughly 40.8% for a Paris Saint Germain win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Champions League table: Paris Saint Germain are 1st (6 pts, 10-3 goals), Barcelona 2nd (6 pts, 9-2).

Over their last five matches, Paris Saint Germain averaged 5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Barcelona averaged 4.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3

Coach: Luis Enrique

Goalkeeper

  • 39M. Safonov

Defence

  • 2A. Hakimi
  • 5Marquinhos
  • 51W. Pacho
  • 21L. Hernández

Midfield

  • 87João Neves
  • 17Vitinha
  • 8Fabián Ruiz

Attack

  • 14D. Doué
  • 10O. Dembélé
  • 7K. Kvaratskhelia
Substitutes (12)
  • 11M. Akliouche
  • 30L. Chevalier
  • 12L. Digne
  • 4Beraldo
  • 27Pedro Fernández
  • 22M. Godts
  • 24Senny Mayulu
  • 80Adam Mouak
  • 47Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha
  • 9Ferran Torres
  • 6I. Zabarnyi
  • 33W. Zaïre-Emery

Barcelona

4-2-3-1

Coach: H. Flick

Goalkeeper

  • 1Joan García

Defence

  • 2João Cancelo
  • 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 12X. Espart

Midfield

  • 22Marc Bernal
  • 8Pedri
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 17A. Gordon

Attack

  • 11Raphinha
Substitutes (12)
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 41A. Campos
  • 21F. de Jong
  • 4B. Farinas
  • 7Fermín
  • 9Gabriel Jesus
  • 6Gavi
  • 25D. Livaković
  • 16Rodri
  • 13W. Szczęsny
  • 29H. Abdelkarim
  • 14K. Adeyemi

Match Statistics

Paris Saint GermainBarcelona
3.77Expected Goals2.22
409Passes accurate471
13Shots insidebox12
9Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots5
10Free Kicks11
15Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves10
3Shots off Goal8
2Offsides1
481Total passes537
22Total Shots18
2Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards1
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.454.392.44

Double chance

1XX212
1.561.541.21

Draw no bet

12
1.891.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.204.21

1st half

1X2
2.752.862.68

2nd half

1X2
2.563.182.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6813.218.3
HT X7.298.817.16
HT 218.713.33.59

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8642.51.86

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0126.7
1.51.0510.4
2.51.174.54
3.51.502.51
4.52.161.72
5.53.331.31
6.55.601.12
7.59.901.05
8.517.11.02
9.524.81.01
10.550.5–
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0227.0
1.751.019.15
2–9.30
2.251.105.61
2.751.174.06
31.243.66
3.251.372.85
3.751.602.27
41.752.05
4.251.961.87
4.752.371.55
52.781.42
5.252.981.35
5.753.911.19
65.001.12
6.255.251.10
78.251.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.411.56
-0.252.191.69
01.931.91
+0.251.722.12
+0.51.592.37
+0.751.432.71
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.57.571.04
-26.931.06
-1.755.211.13
-1.54.091.20
-1.253.771.24
-13.481.28
-0.752.781.41
+11.303.35
+1.251.253.61
+1.51.213.89
+1.751.144.82
+21.076.67
+2.51.047.33
+3.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.0
1.51.115.80
2.51.303.38
3.51.762.00
4.52.331.58
5.53.501.28
6.55.201.14
7.57.601.07
8.510.31.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.372.95
42.081.75
53.351.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0211.8
5.51.057.34
6.51.124.99
7.51.253.35
8.51.502.41
9.51.871.89
10.52.361.52
11.53.161.29
12.54.381.15
13.56.091.08
14.58.631.04
15.511.61.02
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.55
71.133.99
7.751.233.05
81.282.80
8.251.372.60
8.751.542.25
91.632.18
9.251.762.00
9.751.941.73
102.081.69
10.252.191.52
10.752.541.40
112.631.37
11.253.021.28
123.401.19
134.491.09
145.651.04

Next UEFA Champions League matches

21 OctLille – Galatasaray
21 OctComo – Manchester United
21 OctClub Brugge KV – Lens
21 OctBayern München – Arsenal
21 OctAston Villa – Viking
21 OctReal Betis – Feyenoord

All UEFA Champions League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Champions League results

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20 OctAS Roma 4-0 Slovan Bratislava
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20 OctManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FC
20 OctVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico Madrid