Shabana vs Nairobi United• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#51.0:0.00-0FT18/102.0:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.82PINX2.90B36522.75B365Margin at best6.3%Books6Markets35Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 07:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.45	2.90	2.75	11.7%
1xBet	2.69	2.69	2.65	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.69	2.69	2.65	12.1%
Pinnacle	2.82	2.55	2.65	12.4%
William Hill	2.75	2.62	2.50	14.5%
BetVictor	2.45	2.63	2.45	19.7%
Best of all books	2.82	2.90	2.75	6.3%
Average	2.64	2.68	2.61	13.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ShabanaNairobi United

Last 10#5Table position#92.00Points per game1.007Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating67100Defence rating075Form rating250H2H rating1000Goals model041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 00:40 UTC

Shabana

4W 3D 3L · goals 6:5 · per match 0.6 for, 0.5 against

10 Oct	A	Posta Rangers FC	1-0	W
31 May	H	KCB	1-2	L
24 May	A	Sofapaka	1-1	D
17 May	A	Bidco United	1-0	W
13 May	A	Mara Sugar	0-1	L
9 May	H	Ulinzi Stars	0-0	D
2 May	H	Police	0-1	L
25 Apr	H	Kenya Police	0-0	D
18 Apr	H	Homeboyz	1-0	W
11 Apr	A	KUTA Collection	1-0	W

Nairobi United

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	KCB	2-2	D
31 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-0	W
24 May	H	Police	0-0	D
16 May	H	Posta Rangers FC	2-2	D
10 May	A	Kariobangi Sharks	0-2	L
6 May	H	Tusker	1-0	W
3 May	H	KCB	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Mathare United	2-1	W
19 Apr	A	Murang'a SEAL	4-2	W
12 Apr	A	Posta Rangers FC	2-0	W

Head to head

0Shabana wins

0draws

2Nairobi United wins

2 meetings · goals 1:6 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Shabana

5 Apr 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Nairobi United3-0Shabana
4 Jan 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Shabana1-3Nairobi United

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 19 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Shabana sit 5th with 4 points from 2 games, while Nairobi United are 9th with 2 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
2	Mara Sugar	2	1	1	0	4:3	+1	4
3	KCB	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Shabana	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
6	Murang'a SEAL	2	1	0	1	7:5	+2	3
7	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
8	3K	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
9	Nairobi United	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
10	Bandari	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
11	Kenya Police	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	AFC Leopards	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
14	Mathare United	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
15	APS Bomet	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
16	Ulinzi Stars	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
17	Mombasa Elite	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
18	Posta Rangers FC	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.65X33%2.69234%2.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.64 +13.3%X2.89 → 2.68 -7.3%22.95 → 2.61 -11.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.59	1.41	9.5%
1xBet	2.46	1.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.43	10.6%
BetVictor	2.12	1.37	20.2%
Best of all books	2.59	1.50	5.3%
Average	2.43	1.43	11.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	2.03	1.67	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.65	9.9%
BetVictor	1.85	1.50	20.7%
Best of all books	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Average	1.99	1.62	11.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shabana 10%Draw 45%Nairobi United 45%

The statistical model rated Shabana at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nairobi United at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.65 | 2.69 | 2.61, which imply roughly 37.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Shabana are 5th (4 pts, 1-0 goals), Nairobi United 9th (2 pts, 2-2).

Over their last five matches, Shabana averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Nairobi United averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nairobi United.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	2.68	2.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.39	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.99	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
3.41	1.83	3.37

2nd half

1	X	2
3.23	2.08	2.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.00	15.0	34.0
HT X	5.50	4.27	6.50
HT 2	30.0	15.0	5.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	5.78	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.03
1.5	1.47	2.29
2.5	2.43	1.43
3.5	4.27	1.11
4.5	8.38	1.02
5.5	29.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.05
1	1.13	4.50
1.25	1.32	2.95
1.75	1.61	2.02
2	1.84	1.74
2.25	2.13	1.53
2.75	2.98	1.30
3	3.90	1.18

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.11	1.25
-0.5	2.50	1.35
-0.25	2.17	1.56
0	1.81	1.82
+0.25	1.52	2.15
+0.5	1.36	2.43

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.80	1.07
-1.25	4.55	1.13
-1	4.56	1.14
+0.75	1.26	3.21
+1	1.12	4.75
+1.25	1.09	5.25
+1.5	1.08	5.70

Next FKF Premier League matches

20 Oct

Kenya Police – AFC Leopards

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

19 Oct	Bandari 1-1 3K
19 Oct	Mara Sugar 2-1 Mombasa Elite
18 Oct	Homeboyz 1-1 Ulinzi Stars
18 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 5-1 Posta Rangers FC
14 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Bandari
14 Oct	Mombasa Elite 0-1 Homeboyz