Kenya Police vs AFC Leopards• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#111.0:1.012:00Tomorrow0.0:0.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.44DAFX2.88BFR23.10DAFMargin at best8.0%Books6Markets32Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L51.0

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 17:09 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.44	2.85	3.10	8.3%
1xBet	2.38	2.75	3.07	11.0%
Betano	2.42	2.75	3.00	11.0%
Betfair	2.30	2.88	3.00	11.5%
Bet365	2.38	2.75	3.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.36	2.75	2.98	12.3%
Best of all books	2.44	2.88	3.10	8.0%
Average	2.38	2.79	3.02	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kenya PoliceAFC Leopards

Last 10#11Table position#131.00Points per game1.005Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating10050Form rating5038H2H rating620Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 16:00 UTC

Kenya Police

3W 7D 0L · goals 10:5 · per match 1.0 for, 0.5 against

11 Oct	A	Migori Youth	1-1	D
31 May	H	Homeboyz	1-1	D
27 May	H	Kariobangi Sharks	1-1	D
24 May	A	Nairobi United	0-0	D
10 May	A	GOR Mahia	1-1	D
6 May	H	Murang'a SEAL	2-1	W
25 Apr	A	Shabana	0-0	D
18 Apr	A	AFC Leopards	3-0	W
14 Apr	A	Mathare United	0-0	D
3 Apr	H	Tusker	1-0	W

AFC Leopards

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

14 Oct	H	Bandari	0-0	D
31 May	H	Bidco United	1-2	L
24 May	A	APS Bomet	1-2	L
16 May	A	Homeboyz	2-1	W
13 May	A	Ulinzi Stars	2-0	W
9 May	H	Mara Sugar	2-1	W
26 Apr	H	GOR Mahia	0-1	L
18 Apr	H	Kenya Police	0-3	L
5 Apr	A	Murang'a SEAL	2-0	W
29 Mar	H	Kariobangi Sharks	1-0	W

Head to head

1Kenya Police wins

5draws

4AFC Leopards wins

10 meetings · goals 6:9 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Kenya Police

18 Apr 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	AFC Leopards0-3Kenya Police
13 Dec 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-0AFC Leopards
4 Mar 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-0AFC Leopards
1 Dec 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	AFC Leopards1-0Kenya Police
15 May 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	AFC Leopards1-0Kenya Police
23 Sep 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police2-2AFC Leopards
9 Apr 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-0AFC Leopards
25 Jan 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	AFC Leopards1-0Kenya Police
3 Apr 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Kenya Police0-3AFC Leopards
20 Mar 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	AFC Leopards1-1Kenya Police

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 19 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Kenya Police sit 11th with 1 points from 1 games, while AFC Leopards are 13th with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
2	Mara Sugar	2	1	1	0	4:3	+1	4
3	KCB	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Shabana	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
6	Murang'a SEAL	2	1	0	1	7:5	+2	3
7	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
8	3K	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
9	Nairobi United	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
10	Bandari	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
11	Kenya Police	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	AFC Leopards	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
14	Mathare United	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
15	APS Bomet	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
16	Ulinzi Stars	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
17	Mombasa Elite	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
18	Posta Rangers FC	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X32%2.79230%3.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betfair	2.60	1.44	7.9%
1xBet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Best of all books	2.75	1.44	5.8%
Average	2.65	1.40	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Average	2.17	1.59	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kenya Police 35%Draw 35%AFC Leopards 30%

The statistical model rates Kenya Police at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and AFC Leopards at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 2.79 | 3.03, which imply roughly 42% for a Kenya Police win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Kenya Police are 11th (1 pts, 1-1 goals), AFC Leopards 13th (1 pts, 0-0).

Over their last five matches, Kenya Police averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; AFC Leopards averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Kenya Police or draw and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	2.79	3.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.47	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.17	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	1.83	3.95

2nd half

1	X	2
2.82	2.07	3.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.04	13.8	39.5
HT X	5.40	4.01	6.43
HT 2	34.0	15.1	5.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	5.23	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.97
1.5	1.54	2.27
2.5	2.65	1.40
3.5	5.30	1.10
4.5	11.0	1.01

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	4.90
1	1.15	4.30
1.25	1.36	2.76
1.75	1.71	1.95
2	1.99	1.66
2.25	2.33	1.48
2.75	3.20	1.26
3	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	4.15	1.16
-0.75	2.83	1.33
-0.25	2.00	1.71
0	1.64	2.06
+0.25	1.42	2.49
+0.75	1.19	3.76

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.10	1.10
-1.25	4.65	1.12
+1	1.07	5.90
+1.5	1.04	6.90

Latest FKF Premier League results

19 Oct	Bandari 1-1 3K
19 Oct	Mara Sugar 2-1 Mombasa Elite
18 Oct	Shabana 0-0 Nairobi United
18 Oct	Homeboyz 1-1 Ulinzi Stars
18 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 5-1 Posta Rangers FC
14 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Bandari