Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars• FKF Premier League, Kenya

#31.0:0.01-1FT18/100.0:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75WHX3.16MAR24.75B365Margin at best9.8%Books6Markets42Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 07:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.74	3.16	4.58	11.0%
Bet365	1.73	3.10	4.75	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.72	3.16	4.45	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.75	3.06	4.36	12.8%
William Hill	1.75	2.90	4.50	13.8%
BetVictor	1.67	2.88	4.00	19.6%
Best of all books	1.75	3.16	4.75	9.8%
Average	1.73	3.04	4.44	13.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HomeboyzUlinzi Stars

Last 10#3Table position#162.00Points per game0.505Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 50.00.0Goals against · last 52.0100Attack rating0100Defence rating0100Form rating050H2H rating500Goals model053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 00:40 UTC

Homeboyz

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against

14 Oct	A	Mombasa Elite	1-0	W
31 May	A	Kenya Police	1-1	D
23 May	A	Kariobangi Sharks	2-2	D
16 May	H	AFC Leopards	1-2	L
10 May	A	Murang'a SEAL	0-1	L
3 May	H	GOR Mahia	0-1	L
26 Apr	A	KCB	1-1	D
18 Apr	A	Shabana	0-1	L
12 Apr	H	Ulinzi Stars	0-1	L
8 Apr	A	Nairobi United	2-2	D

Ulinzi Stars

6W 1D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Tusker	0-2	L
31 May	A	Posta Rangers FC	1-0	W
27 May	H	Tusker	2-0	W
23 May	H	Mathare United	2-1	W
13 May	H	AFC Leopards	0-2	L
9 May	A	Shabana	0-0	D
3 May	H	Tusker	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Bandari	2-1	W
18 Apr	A	KCB	3-2	W
12 Apr	A	Homeboyz	1-0	W

Head to head

9Homeboyz wins

11draws

4Ulinzi Stars wins

24 meetings · goals 24:14 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Homeboyz

12 Apr 2026Shield Cup	Shield Cup	Homeboyz0-1Ulinzi Stars
26 Feb 2026FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars1-1Homeboyz
25 Oct 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Homeboyz3-1Ulinzi Stars
9 Feb 2025FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars0-0Homeboyz
14 Dec 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Homeboyz1-1Ulinzi Stars
10 Mar 2024FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Homeboyz2-0Ulinzi Stars
26 Nov 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars0-1Homeboyz
8 Mar 2023FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Ulinzi Stars1-0Homeboyz
11 Dec 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Homeboyz1-1Ulinzi Stars
2 Apr 2022FKF Premier League	FKF Premier League	Homeboyz4-0Ulinzi Stars

FKF Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 16:10 UTC

In the FKF Premier League table, Homeboyz sit 3rd with 4 points from 2 games, while Ulinzi Stars are 16th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	2	2	0	0	5:2	+3	6
2	KCB	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
3	Homeboyz	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
4	Shabana	2	1	1	0	1:0	+1	4
5	Murang'a SEAL	2	1	0	1	7:5	+2	3
6	Tusker	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
7	Nairobi United	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
8	Mara Sugar	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
9	3K	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
10	Kenya Police	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	AFC Leopards	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Bandari	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
14	Mathare United	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
15	APS Bomet	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
16	Ulinzi Stars	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
17	Mombasa Elite	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Posta Rangers FC	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.73X29%3.05220%4.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.73 → 1.73 0.0%X3.14 → 3.04 -3.2%24.59 → 4.44 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.38	1.48	9.6%
BetVictor	2.02	1.42	19.9%
Best of all books	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Average	2.28	1.49	10.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
William Hill	2.10	1.62	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
BetVictor	1.93	1.47	19.8%
Best of all books	2.13	1.62	8.7%
Average	2.07	1.57	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Homeboyz 45%Draw 45%Ulinzi Stars 10%

The statistical model rated Homeboyz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ulinzi Stars at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.05 | 4.45, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Homeboyz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the FKF Premier League table: Homeboyz are 3rd (4 pts, 2-1 goals), Ulinzi Stars 16th (1 pts, 1-3).

Over their last five matches, Homeboyz averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Ulinzi Stars averaged 0 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Homeboyz or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.04	4.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.87	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
2.35	1.95	5.13

2nd half

1	X	2
2.20	2.21	4.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.82	15.0	45.5
HT X	4.42	4.50	9.00
HT 2	25.0	16.5	7.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	6.28	2.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.06
1.5	1.41	2.41
2.5	2.28	1.49
3.5	3.97	1.14
4.5	7.30	1.03
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.30
1.25	1.27	3.19
1.75	1.53	2.14
2	1.72	1.86
2.25	1.99	1.62
2.75	2.74	1.35
3	3.50	1.22
3.25	3.92	1.18
4	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.83	1.34
-1	2.38	1.43
-0.75	1.93	1.66
-0.5	1.71	1.91
-0.25	1.48	2.25
0	1.25	3.09

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.70	1.05
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.75	4.05	1.16
-1.5	3.20	1.26
+0.25	1.19	3.74
+1.5	1.01	9.50

Next FKF Premier League matches

19 Oct

Bandari – 3K

All FKF Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest FKF Premier League results

18 Oct	Shabana 0-0 Nairobi United
18 Oct	Murang'a SEAL 5-1 Posta Rangers FC
14 Oct	AFC Leopards 0-0 Bandari
14 Oct	Mombasa Elite 0-1 Homeboyz
13 Oct	GOR Mahia 4-2 Murang'a SEAL
11 Oct	Nairobi United 2-2 KCB