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South Korea vs Uruguay• Friendlies, World

1.8:1.01-4FT28/09 · Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul0.7:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.561XBX3.31PIN23.081XBMargin at best1.7%Books8Markets60Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 02:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.393.403.242.1%
Betano2.303.353.155.1%
Betfair2.253.303.206.0%
Pinnacle2.253.383.086.5%
Marathonbet2.273.223.087.6%
Bet3652.253.102.9011.2%
William Hill2.203.102.9012.2%
SBO2.152.852.8117.2%
Best of all books2.393.403.242.1%
Average2.263.213.048.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

South KoreaUruguay
Last 104Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 50.71.0Goals against · last 51.382Attack rating1844Defence rating5682Form rating1836H2H rating6475Goals model2561Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 07:21 UTC

South Korea

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

2 OctHVenezuela0-0D
28 SepHUruguay1-4L
24 SepHEcuador3-0W
25 JunASouth Africa0-1L
19 JunAMexico0-1L
12 JunHCzechia2-1W
4 JunHEl Salvador1-0W
31 MayHTrinidad and Tobago5-0W
31 MarAAustria0-1L
28 MarHIvory Coast0-4L

Uruguay

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

28 SepASouth Korea4-1W
24 SepAJapan1-3L
27 JunHSpain0-1L
21 JunHCape Verde Islands2-2D
15 JunASaudi Arabia1-1D
31 MarAAlgeria0-0D
27 MarAEngland1-1D
19 NovAUSA1-5L
16 NovAMexico0-0D
13 OctAUzbekistan2-1W

Head to head

1South Korea wins
1draws
2Uruguay wins

4 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for South Korea

28 Mar 2023FriendliesFriendliesSouth Korea1-2Uruguay
24 Nov 2022World CupWorld CupUruguay0-0South Korea
12 Oct 2018FriendliesFriendliesSouth Korea2-1Uruguay
26 Jun 2010World CupWorld CupUruguay2-1South Korea

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.51X30%3.11233%2.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Sep 02:2128 Sep 08:111 2.43X 3.102 2.88
12.26 → 2.43 +7.5%X3.21 → 3.10 -3.4%23.05 → 2.88 -5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.361.681.9%
Betano2.351.624.3%
Betfair2.381.575.7%
Bet3652.251.626.2%
Pinnacle2.311.596.2%
Marathonbet2.251.606.9%
Best of all books2.381.681.5%
Average2.321.615.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
Betano2.001.757.1%
William Hill2.001.757.1%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
1xBet1.901.808.2%
Marathonbet1.901.788.8%
Best of all books2.051.804.3%
Average1.981.767.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

South Korea 45%Draw 45%Uruguay 10%

The statistical model rated South Korea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Uruguay at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.11 | 2.77, which imply roughly 39.8% for a South Korea win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, South Korea averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Uruguay averaged 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : South Korea or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

South Korea

4-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 1Kim Seung-gyu

Defence

  • 22Young-woo Seol
  • 2Han-Beom Lee
  • 4Kim Min-jae
  • 13Lee Tae-seok

Midfield

  • 19Kang-in Lee
  • 24Kim Bong-Soo
  • 10Jae-sung Lee
  • 11Hwang Hee-chan

Attack

  • 18Hyeon-gyu Oh
  • 7Son Heung-min
Substitutes (15)
  • 21Hyeon-woo Jo
  • 23Gu Sung-yun
  • 25Gun-hee Kim
  • 28Wi-je Cho
  • 26Hyun-taek Cho
  • 5Kim Tae-hyeon
  • 3Tae-hyeon Kim
  • 15Choi Jun
  • 29Seung-Won Jeong
  • 16Jin-seob Park
  • 30Tae-jun Park
  • 17Min-kyu Song
  • 14Dong-gyeong Lee
  • 27Min-su Kim
  • 20Oh Se-Hun

Uruguay

4-2-3-1

Coach: Marcelo Bielsa

Goalkeeper

  • 23Cristopher Fiermarín

Defence

  • 13Guillermo Varela
  • 4Ronald Araújo
  • 16Mathías Olivera
  • 22Joaquín Piquerez

Midfield

  • 14Lucas Torreira
  • 6Rodrigo Bentancur
  • 18Brian Rodríguez
  • 10Giorgian de Arrascaeta
  • 20Maximiliano Araújo

Attack

  • 9Darwin Núñez
Substitutes (14)
  • 12Thiago Cardozo
  • 1Santiago Mele
  • 19Santiago Mouriño
  • 24Juan Rodríguez
  • 2José María Giménez
  • 11Facundo Pellistri
  • 15Emiliano Martínez
  • 5Facundo Bernal
  • 8Nahitan Nández
  • 25Juan Sanabria
  • 26Martín Satriano
  • 21Federico Viñas
  • 17Rodrigo Zalazar
  • 7Rodrigo Aguirre

Match Statistics

South KoreaUruguay
6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots0
5Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox4
4Fouls8
6Corner Kicks1
1Offsides1
59%Ball Possession41%
0Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
566Total passes389
503Passes accurate328
89%Passes %84%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.263.213.05

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.591.32

Draw no bet

12
1.612.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.981.76

1st half

1X2
2.942.013.73

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.898.102.22

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.94
1.51.392.79
2.52.321.61
3.54.301.19
4.58.971.04
5.516.81.02
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.40
11.056.60
1.251.233.67
1.751.512.43
21.682.09
2.252.011.80
2.752.681.43
33.431.27
3.253.751.19
3.755.351.09
47.901.02
4.258.301.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.661.43
-0.52.221.66
-0.251.981.82
01.642.26
+0.251.452.63
+0.51.373.07
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.601.02
-28.601.03
-1.756.201.08
-1.54.601.15
-1.254.131.19
-13.661.25
+0.751.233.86
+11.096.05
+1.251.076.63
+1.51.056.90
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.602.25

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.066.30
6.51.193.99
7.51.392.72
8.51.722.01
9.52.181.59
10.52.941.33
11.54.101.16
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.251.293.07
7.751.422.57
8.251.592.18
8.751.791.89
91.981.80
9.252.031.65
9.752.331.48
10.252.741.35

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