Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars• NPFL, Nigeria

#111.0:0.82-2FT25/10 · Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos1.0:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48B365X3.80BFR28.851XBMargin at best5.2%Books7Markets44Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.46	3.75	7.80	8.0%
Betano	1.47	3.75	6.80	9.4%
1xBet	1.41	3.50	8.85	10.8%
Betfair	1.44	3.80	6.50	11.1%
Bet365	1.48	3.50	6.50	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	3.50	8.30	12.0%
William Hill	1.40	3.60	7.50	12.5%
Best of all books	1.48	3.80	8.85	5.2%
Average	1.44	3.63	7.46	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ikorodu CityShooting Stars

Last 10#11Table position#151.30Points per game1.207Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5064Defence rating3658Form rating4280H2H rating2091Goals model968Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 13:31 UTC

Ikorodu City

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Niger Tornadoes	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Kwara United	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
30 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Bendel Insurance	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Barau FC	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Abia Warriors	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
11 Jul	A	El Kanemi Warriors	0-1	L

Shooting Stars

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

16 Oct	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-2	L
7 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Nasarawa United	0-0	D
30 Sep	A	Enyimba	2-4	L
27 Sep	A	Warri Wolves	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Katsina United	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Plateau United	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	CS Sfaxien	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	CS Sfaxien	1-0	W

Head to head

2Ikorodu City wins

2draws

0Shooting Stars wins

4 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Ikorodu City

29 Jan 2026NPFL	NPFL	Ikorodu City1-0Shooting Stars
7 Sep 2025NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars1-1Ikorodu City
6 Apr 2025NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars0-0Ikorodu City
17 Nov 2024NPFL	NPFL	Ikorodu City2-1Shooting Stars

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

In the NPFL table, Ikorodu City sit 11th with 13 points from 10 games, while Shooting Stars are 15th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	10	4	5	1	14:4	+10	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
3	Nasarawa United	10	5	2	3	11:8	+3	17
4	Plateau United	10	4	3	3	17:13	+4	15
5	Barau FC	10	3	6	1	13:10	+3	15
6	Bendel Insurance	9	5	0	4	16:14	+2	15
7	Sporting Lagos	9	4	3	2	13:11	+2	15
8	Kano Pillars	10	3	6	1	12:11	+1	15
9	Niger Tornadoes	10	4	3	3	9:8	+1	15
10	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
11	Ikorodu City	10	3	4	3	13:11	+2	13
12	Katsina United	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13
13	Kwara United	10	3	3	4	11:11	0	12
14	Warri Wolves	10	3	3	4	6:7	-1	12
15	Shooting Stars	10	3	3	4	12:14	-2	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	10	3	3	4	9:15	-6	12
17	Abia Warriors	10	2	4	4	9:13	-4	10
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	10	2	2	6	11:15	-4	8
20	Inter Lagos	10	1	2	7	5:19	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.60X27%3.28216%5.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.20	1.58	8.7%
Betano	2.12	1.62	8.9%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.17	1.61	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Betano	2.30	1.53	8.8%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.46	10.0%
Best of all books	2.41	1.53	6.9%
Average	2.38	1.49	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ikorodu City 45%Draw 45%Shooting Stars 10%

The statistical model rated Ikorodu City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Shooting Stars at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.28 | 5.45, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Ikorodu City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Ikorodu City are 11th (13 pts, 13-11 goals), Shooting Stars 15th (12 pts, 12-14).

Over their last five matches, Ikorodu City averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Shooting Stars averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ikorodu City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	3.63	7.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.52	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.38	1.49

1st half

1	X	2
2.03	2.04	7.53

2nd half

1	X	2
1.80	2.41	6.76

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.22	17.2	68.7
HT X	3.88	4.97	12.5
HT 2	25.7	18.3	11.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	7.00	3.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.55
1.5	1.37	2.70
2.5	2.17	1.61
3.5	3.83	1.20
4.5	7.35	1.07
5.5	21.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.70
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.47	2.38
2	1.64	2.08
2.25	1.91	1.76
2.75	2.51	1.42
3	3.17	1.27
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.75	1.35
-1.5	2.31	1.50
-1.25	2.03	1.65
-1	1.79	1.92
-0.75	1.54	2.23
-0.5	1.42	2.55

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.80	1.01
-2.5	4.50	1.13
-2	3.68	1.20
-0.25	1.25	3.31
0	1.06	6.05
+0.25	1.04	6.95

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