Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes• NPFL, Nigeria

#171.0:1.20-1FT25/10 · Umuahia Township Stadium, Umuahia0.6:0.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50WHX3.55DAF28.101XBMargin at best7.2%Books7Markets40Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.50	3.55	7.80	7.7%
Betano	1.50	3.50	7.30	8.9%
1xBet	1.45	3.36	8.10	11.1%
William Hill	1.50	3.20	7.50	11.3%
Betfair	1.44	3.50	7.50	11.3%
Bet365	1.45	3.40	7.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.44	3.36	7.60	12.4%
Best of all books	1.50	3.55	8.10	7.2%
Average	1.47	3.41	7.61	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Abia WarriorsNiger Tornadoes

Last 10#17Table position#91.00Points per game1.505Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 50.61.2Goals against · last 50.463Attack rating3825Defence rating7538Form rating6271H2H rating2974Goals model2655Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 13:31 UTC

Abia Warriors

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Kwara United	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Rivers United	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Enugu Rangers	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Bendel Insurance	3-0	W
23 Sep	A	Barau FC	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Ranchers Bees	0-4	L
31 Aug	H	Kun Khalifat FC	0-0	D
24 May	A	Warri Wolves	1-2	L

Niger Tornadoes

4W 3D 3L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

25 Oct	A	Abia Warriors	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Ikorodu City	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Ranchers Bees	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Nasarawa United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Warri Wolves	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Katsina United	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Plateau United	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Enyimba	2-1	W

Head to head

7Abia Warriors wins

4draws

4Niger Tornadoes wins

15 meetings · goals 14:14 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Abia Warriors

23 Mar 2026NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors2-1Niger Tornadoes
2 Nov 2025NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes1-2Abia Warriors
7 May 2025NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes1-1Abia Warriors
8 Dec 2024NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors2-1Niger Tornadoes
25 Feb 2024NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes1-0Abia Warriors
30 Sep 2023NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors1-0Niger Tornadoes
23 Apr 2023NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes3-0Abia Warriors
1 Feb 2023NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors1-0Niger Tornadoes
16 Apr 2022NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors1-1Niger Tornadoes
30 Dec 2021NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes1-1Abia Warriors

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

In the NPFL table, Abia Warriors sit 17th with 10 points from 10 games, while Niger Tornadoes are 9th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	10	4	5	1	14:4	+10	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
3	Nasarawa United	10	5	2	3	11:8	+3	17
4	Plateau United	10	4	3	3	17:13	+4	15
5	Barau FC	10	3	6	1	13:10	+3	15
6	Bendel Insurance	9	5	0	4	16:14	+2	15
7	Sporting Lagos	9	4	3	2	13:11	+2	15
8	Kano Pillars	10	3	6	1	12:11	+1	15
9	Niger Tornadoes	10	4	3	3	9:8	+1	15
10	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
11	Ikorodu City	10	3	4	3	13:11	+2	13
12	Katsina United	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13
13	Kwara United	10	3	3	4	11:11	0	12
14	Warri Wolves	10	3	3	4	6:7	-1	12
15	Shooting Stars	10	3	3	4	12:14	-2	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	10	3	3	4	9:15	-6	12
17	Abia Warriors	10	2	4	4	9:13	-4	10
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	10	2	2	6	11:15	-4	8
20	Inter Lagos	10	1	2	7	5:19	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.47X27%3.40212%7.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.60	1.48	6.0%
Betano	2.52	1.44	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.61	1.40	9.7%
1xBet	2.56	1.40	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.56	1.40	10.5%
Best of all books	2.61	1.48	5.9%
Average	2.57	1.42	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.75	1.38	8.8%
Betano	2.72	1.38	9.2%
William Hill	2.80	1.36	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.75	1.36	9.9%
Best of all books	2.80	1.38	8.2%
Average	2.75	1.37	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Abia Warriors 45%Draw 45%Niger Tornadoes 10%

The statistical model rated Abia Warriors at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Niger Tornadoes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 3.40 | 7.61, which imply roughly 68% for a Abia Warriors win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Abia Warriors are 17th (10 pts, 9-13 goals), Niger Tornadoes 9th (15 pts, 9-8).

Over their last five matches, Abia Warriors averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Niger Tornadoes averaged 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Abia Warriors or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	3.41	7.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	2.42	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	4.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.76	1.37

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	1.95	8.07

2nd half

1	X	2
1.88	2.24	7.15

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.28	18.7	78.7
HT X	3.75	4.52	13.0
HT 2	30.7	20.3	12.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	5.93	4.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.63
1.5	1.53	2.30
2.5	2.57	1.42
3.5	4.95	1.12
4.5	9.75	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.20
1	1.13	4.55
1.25	1.33	2.87
1.75	1.68	2.00
2	1.96	1.72
2.25	2.29	1.52
2.75	3.15	1.27
3	4.30	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.56	1.41
-1.25	2.23	1.54
-1	1.89	1.82
-0.75	1.61	2.09
-0.5	1.48	2.39
-0.25	1.28	3.11

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.45	1.14
-1.75	3.14	1.27
0	1.08	5.50
+0.25	1.06	6.30

Next NPFL matches

30 Oct

Niger Tornadoes – Barau FC

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

25 Oct	Warri Wolves 0-0 Kano Pillars
25 Oct	Kun Khalifat FC 1-0 Inter Lagos
25 Oct	Bendel Insurance 2-1 Rivers United
25 Oct	Nasarawa United 1-0 Enyimba
25 Oct	Ikorodu City 2-2 Shooting Stars
25 Oct	Barau FC 1-1 Kwara United