Barau FC vs Kwara United• NPFL, Nigeria

#51.2:1.41-1FT25/101.0:1.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45DAFX3.75MAR28.50BFRMargin at best7.4%Books7Markets47Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.45	3.75	8.00	8.1%
Betano	1.44	3.65	8.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.39	3.75	8.10	11.0%
Bet365	1.42	3.50	8.00	11.5%
Betfair	1.36	3.75	8.50	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.38	3.75	7.60	12.3%
William Hill	1.40	3.40	8.00	13.3%
Best of all books	1.45	3.75	8.50	7.4%
Average	1.41	3.65	8.06	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Barau FCKwara United

Last 10#5Table position#131.50Points per game1.204Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.255Attack rating4546Defence rating5446Form rating5450H2H rating50100Goals model049Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

Barau FC

3W 6D 1L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Kwara United	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Enugu Rangers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Bendel Insurance	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ikorodu City	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Nasarawa United	3-1	W

Kwara United

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Abia Warriors	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ikorodu City	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Ranchers Bees	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Nasarawa United	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Warri Wolves	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Katsina United	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Plateau United	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Kano Pillars	2-2	D
1 Jun	H	Sokoto	0-1	L

Head to head

1Barau FC wins

0draws

1Kwara United wins

2 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Barau FC

19 Apr 2026NPFL	NPFL	Kwara United2-1Barau FC
30 Nov 2025NPFL	NPFL	Barau FC3-2Kwara United

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

In the NPFL table, Barau FC sit 5th with 15 points from 10 games, while Kwara United are 13th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	10	4	5	1	14:4	+10	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
3	Nasarawa United	10	5	2	3	11:8	+3	17
4	Plateau United	10	4	3	3	17:13	+4	15
5	Barau FC	10	3	6	1	13:10	+3	15
6	Bendel Insurance	9	5	0	4	16:14	+2	15
7	Sporting Lagos	9	4	3	2	13:11	+2	15
8	Kano Pillars	10	3	6	1	12:11	+1	15
9	Niger Tornadoes	10	4	3	3	9:8	+1	15
10	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
11	Ikorodu City	10	3	4	3	13:11	+2	13
12	Katsina United	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13
13	Kwara United	10	3	3	4	11:11	0	12
14	Warri Wolves	10	3	3	4	6:7	-1	12
15	Shooting Stars	10	3	3	4	12:14	-2	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	10	3	3	4	9:15	-6	12
17	Abia Warriors	10	2	4	4	9:13	-4	10
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	10	2	2	6	11:15	-4	8
20	Inter Lagos	10	1	2	7	5:19	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.41X25%3.64211%7.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Betano	2.32	1.52	8.9%
1xBet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.51	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.34	1.50	9.4%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.33	1.52	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.60	1.42	8.9%
Betano	2.57	1.42	9.3%
William Hill	2.50	1.44	9.4%
Marathonbet	2.60	1.40	9.9%
Best of all books	2.60	1.44	7.9%
Average	2.57	1.42	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Barau FC 45%Draw 45%Kwara United 10%

The statistical model rated Barau FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kwara United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 3.64 | 7.99, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Barau FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Barau FC are 5th (15 pts, 13-10 goals), Kwara United 13th (12 pts, 11-11).

Over their last five matches, Barau FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Kwara United averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Barau FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	3.65	8.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	2.62	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.57	1.42

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.04	7.99

2nd half

1	X	2
1.80	2.36	7.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.19	18.2	77.0
HT X	3.65	4.85	14.5
HT 2	28.0	21.0	13.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.38	6.55	4.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.05
1.5	1.43	2.49
2.5	2.33	1.52
3.5	4.25	1.16
4.5	8.40	1.06
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.35
1.25	1.26	3.20
1.75	1.55	2.21
2	1.76	1.91
2.25	2.04	1.65
2.75	2.75	1.36
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	3.98	1.17
4	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.78	1.35
-1.5	2.33	1.49
-1.25	2.03	1.68
-1	1.74	1.96
-0.75	1.51	2.29
-0.5	1.40	2.61

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.5	4.55	1.13
-2	3.76	1.19
-0.25	1.24	3.40
0	1.08	5.70
+0.25	1.06	6.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.80	2.00
9.5	2.01	1.74

Next NPFL matches

30 Oct

Niger Tornadoes – Barau FC

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

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25 Oct	Ikorodu City 2-2 Shooting Stars
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