Bylis vs 
Pogradeci• 1st Division, Albania
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 22:27 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 9.6% |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 10.1% |
| Betano | 3.00 | 2.92 | 2.30 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 11.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 2.93 | 2.42 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 2.93 | 2.42 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.81 | 2.98 | 2.39 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:30 UTC
Bylis
5W 4D 1L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against
| 17 Oct | A | Korabi Peshkopi | 0-0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | FK Kukesi | 1-0 | W |
| 7 Oct | H | Albpetrol Patos | 4-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Oriku | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Sopoti Librazhd | 1-1 | D |
| 10 May | A | Vora | 2-5 | L |
| 6 May | H | AF Elbasani | 2-1 | W |
| 2 May | A | Vllaznia Shkodër | 2-0 | W |
Pogradeci
5W 4D 1L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against
| 17 Oct | H | Sopoti Librazhd | 2-2 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Korabi Peshkopi | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Oct | H | Delvina | 7-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Flamurtari | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Sep | A | FK Kukesi | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Kastrioti Krujë | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Jul | H | Besa Kavajë | 1-1 | D |
| 16 May | A | Teuta Durrës | 0-1 | L |
| 11 May | H | Besa Kavajë | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
19 meetings · goals 36:12 · last 10: 7W 3D 0L for Bylis
| 11 Oct 2022Cup | Cup | Bylis7-1Pogradeci |
| 26 Sep 2022Cup | Cup | Pogradeci0-3Bylis |
| 12 Feb 20221st Division | 1st Division | Bylis1-0Pogradeci |
| 2 Oct 20211st Division | 1st Division | Pogradeci1-2Bylis |
| 10 Feb 20191st Division | 1st Division | Pogradeci0-3Bylis |
| 28 Oct 20181st Division | 1st Division | Bylis1-0Pogradeci |
| 21 Apr 20181st Division | 1st Division | Pogradeci1-1Bylis |
| 17 Mar 20181st Division | 1st Division | Bylis1-1Pogradeci |
| 12 Feb 20181st Division | 1st Division | Pogradeci0-1Bylis |
| 27 Oct 20171st Division | 1st Division | Bylis3-3Pogradeci |
1st Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 23 Oct 00:30 UTC
In the 1st Division table, Bylis sit 3rd with 10 points from 6 games, while Pogradeci are 1st with 12 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Besa Kavajë | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | +8 | 10 |
| 3 | Bylis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 10 |
| 4 | Flamurtari | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | FK Kukesi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Kastrioti Krujë | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Burreli | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Sopoti Librazhd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Oriku | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:15 | -13 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 1.57 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 1.52 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 1.52 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 1.50 | 10.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 1.57 | 5.7% |
| Average | 2.31 | 1.53 | 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 1.74 | 8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 1.71 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| Average | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Bylis at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pogradeci at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 2.96 | 2.38, which imply roughly 35.2% for a Bylis win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1st Division table: Bylis are 3rd (10 pts, 5-3 goals), Pogradeci 1st (12 pts, 9-3).
Over their last five matches, Bylis averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Pogradeci averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bylis or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | 2.98 | 2.39 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.35 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.99 | 1.71 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.95 | 1.73 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.56 | 1.90 | 3.19 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.23 | 2.19 | 2.78 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.68 | 14.3 | 29.5 |
| HT X | 6.08 | 4.39 | 5.65 |
| HT 2 | 31.5 | 14.4 | 4.13 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.16 | 6.90 | 1.98 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 8.00 |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | 2.62 |
| 2.5 | 2.31 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 4.57 | 1.14 |
| 4.5 | 9.00 | 1.03 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 1.75 | 1.52 | 2.28 |
| 2 | 1.72 | 1.91 |
| 2.25 | 2.01 | 1.65 |
| 2.75 | 2.75 | 1.35 |
| 3 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 3.25 | 4.05 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| -0.25 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| 0 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| +0.25 | 1.63 | 2.07 |
| +0.75 | 1.30 | 2.98 |
| +1 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
5 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
| -1.25 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
| +1.25 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
Next 1st Division matches
| 23 Oct | Flamurtari – Besëlidhja Lezhë |