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Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd• 1st Division, Albania

#11.4:0.22-2FT17/101.0:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.17B365X6.05MAR217.8MARMargin at best7.6%Books3Markets45Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.176.0011.011.2%
1xBet1.116.1017.512.2%
Marathonbet1.116.0517.812.3%
Best of all books1.176.1017.87.5%
Average1.136.0515.411.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PogradeciSopoti Librazhd
Last 10#1Table position#112.00Points per game1.0011Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.00.2Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4290Defence rating1069Form rating3185H2H rating1561Goals model3973Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

Pogradeci

5W 4D 1L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against

17 OctHSopoti Librazhd2-2D
11 OctAKorabi Peshkopi2-0W
7 OctHDelvina7-0W
20 SepHFlamurtari0-0D
16 SepAFK Kukesi3-0W
12 SepHKastrioti Krujë2-1W
5 SepAIliria Fushë-Krujë0-0D
25 JulHBesa Kavajë1-1D
16 MayATeuta Durrës0-1L
11 MayHBesa Kavajë1-0W

Sopoti Librazhd

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

10 OctAFlamurtari0-2L
6 OctABesëlidhja Lezhë1-2L
20 SepHKastrioti Krujë1-1D
16 SepABurreli3-1W
12 SepHBesa Kavajë0-4L
5 SepABylis1-1D
9 MayALuftëtari1-1D
19 NovAVora1-2L
15 OctAErzeni Shijak2-0W
19 AprALuzi 20080-4L

Head to head

4Pogradeci wins
3draws
1Sopoti Librazhd wins

8 meetings · goals 12:7 · last 8: 4W 3D 1L for Pogradeci

3 Dec 20161st Division1st DivisionSopoti Librazhd2-2Pogradeci
1 Oct 20161st Division1st DivisionPogradeci1-0Sopoti Librazhd
16 Apr 20161st Division1st DivisionSopoti Librazhd0-2Pogradeci
12 Mar 20161st Division1st DivisionSopoti Librazhd0-2Pogradeci
21 Nov 20151st Division1st DivisionPogradeci1-1Sopoti Librazhd
21 Mar 20151st Division1st DivisionPogradeci2-1Sopoti Librazhd
21 Feb 20151st Division1st DivisionPogradeci1-2Sopoti Librazhd
8 Nov 20141st Division1st DivisionSopoti Librazhd1-1Pogradeci

1st Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

In the 1st Division table, Pogradeci sit 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Sopoti Librazhd are 11th with 6 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogradeci63309:3+612
2Besa Kavajë631215:7+810
3Bylis62405:3+210
4Flamurtari623110:6+49
5FK Kukesi63038:7+19
6Iliria Fushë-Krujë62316:5+19
7Besëlidhja Lezhë62227:6+18
8Kastrioti Krujë62228:9-18
9Korabi Peshkopi62224:7-38
10Burreli61325:7-26
11Sopoti Librazhd61327:11-46
12Oriku60062:15-130

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg179%1.13X15%6.0526%15.4

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 14:3016 Oct 11:501 1.13X 6.032 15.4
11.14 → 1.13 -0.9%X6.02 → 6.03 +0.2%214.8 → 15.4 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.542.279.0%
Marathonbet1.542.279.0%
Best of all books1.572.356.2%
Average1.552.308.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.561.439.0%
Marathonbet2.561.4110.0%
Best of all books2.561.439.0%
Average2.561.429.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pogradeci 45%Draw 45%Sopoti Librazhd 10%

The statistical model rated Pogradeci at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sopoti Librazhd at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.13 | 6.05 | 15.42, which imply roughly 88.5% for a Pogradeci win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1st Division table: Pogradeci are 1st (12 pts, 9-3 goals), Sopoti Librazhd 11th (6 pts, 7-11).

Over their last five matches, Pogradeci averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Sopoti Librazhd averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Pogradeci or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.136.0515.4

Double chance

1XX212
1.024.381.06

Draw no bet

12
1.049.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.561.42

1st half

1X2
1.532.5913.1

2nd half

1X2
1.323.5812.9

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.5027.075.5
HT X3.759.0526.5
HT 225.532.028.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.1713.35.43

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.144.34
2.51.552.30
3.52.261.51
4.53.821.19
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.173.95
21.223.50
2.251.382.68
2.751.652.04
31.821.81
3.252.031.63
3.752.591.39
43.201.26

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.481.42
-2.52.151.56
-2.251.941.69
-21.761.95
-1.751.572.13
-1.51.472.37
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-46.001.07
-3.53.581.21
-3.253.311.25
-33.051.29
-1.251.332.85
-11.183.86
01.039.10

Next 1st Division matches

23 OctBylis – Pogradeci
23 OctFlamurtari – Besëlidhja Lezhë

All 1st Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1st Division results

17 OctIliria Fushë-Krujë 1-0 Burreli
17 OctKorabi Peshkopi 0-0 Bylis
17 OctBesëlidhja Lezhë 4-1 Kastrioti Krujë
16 OctFK Kukesi 2-0 Besa Kavajë
16 OctOriku 1-4 Flamurtari
11 OctKastrioti Krujë 2-0 Oriku