FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë• 1st Division, Albania

#51.2:1.42-0FTToday · Kukes Arena3.0:1.0#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90BFRX3.45BTN21.91DAFMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets40Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 06:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.50	3.40	1.91	10.3%
Betfair	3.90	3.25	1.85	10.5%
Betano	3.90	3.45	1.78	10.8%
1xBet	3.70	3.32	1.86	10.9%
Bet365	3.70	3.10	1.91	11.6%
Marathonbet	3.60	3.32	1.84	12.2%
Best of all books	3.90	3.45	1.91	7.0%
Average	3.72	3.31	1.86	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK KukesiBesa Kavajë

Last 10#5Table position#21.50Points per game1.676Form pts · last 5121.2Goals for · last 53.01.4Goals against · last 51.029Attack rating7142Defence rating5838Form rating6340H2H rating6034Goals model6636Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 09:21 UTC

FK Kukesi

4W 0D 6L · goals 14:22 · per match 1.4 for, 2.2 against

10 Oct	A	Bylis	0-1	L
7 Oct	H	Erzeni Shijak	3-2	W
2 Oct	A	Teuta Durrës	0-5	L
20 Sep	H	Korabi Peshkopi	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Pogradeci	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Besëlidhja Lezhë	2-0	W
12 Aug	H	Besa Kavajë	1-4	L
8 Aug	A	Maliqi	3-1	W
25 Jul	A	Laci	1-3	L

Besa Kavajë

7W 2D 1L · goals 27:9 · per match 2.7 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	2-0	W
7 Oct	H	Devolli	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Besëlidhja Lezhë	1-2	L
16 Sep	H	Oriku	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Sopoti Librazhd	4-0	W
6 Sep	H	Flamurtari	3-3	D
12 Aug	A	FK Kukesi	4-1	W
25 Jul	A	Pogradeci	1-1	D
18 Jul	H	Partizani	2-1	W
8 Jul	H	Laci	1-0	W

Head to head

7FK Kukesi wins

1draws

8Besa Kavajë wins

16 meetings · goals 19:27 · last 10: 4W 0D 6L for FK Kukesi

12 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	FK Kukesi1-4Besa Kavajë
3 May 20261st Division	1st Division	FK Kukesi2-1Besa Kavajë
31 Jan 20261st Division	1st Division	FK Kukesi1-0Besa Kavajë
19 Nov 2025Cup	Cup	Besa Kavajë3-1FK Kukesi
29 Oct 20251st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë3-1FK Kukesi
16 Feb 20251st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë2-1FK Kukesi
2 Feb 20251st Division	1st Division	Besa Kavajë2-1FK Kukesi
30 Oct 20241st Division	1st Division	FK Kukesi0-5Besa Kavajë
12 Nov 2020Cup	Cup	FK Kukesi2-1Besa Kavajë
30 Mar 2014Superliga	Superliga	Besa Kavajë0-1FK Kukesi

1st Division tableRegular Seasonupdated 16 Oct 15:20 UTC

In the 1st Division table, FK Kukesi sit 5th with 9 points from 6 games, while Besa Kavajë are 2nd with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Pogradeci	5	3	2	0	7:1	+6	11
2	Besa Kavajë	6	3	1	2	15:7	+8	10
3	Flamurtari	6	2	3	1	10:6	+4	9
4	Bylis	5	2	3	0	5:3	+2	9
5	FK Kukesi	6	3	0	3	8:7	+1	9
6	Kastrioti Krujë	5	2	2	1	7:5	+2	8
7	Korabi Peshkopi	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7
8	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6
9	Burreli	5	1	3	1	5:6	-1	6
10	Besëlidhja Lezhë	5	1	2	2	3:5	-2	5
11	Sopoti Librazhd	5	1	2	2	5:9	-4	5
12	Oriku	6	0	0	6	2:15	-13	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.28X26%3.46257%1.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.75 → 3.72 +35.3%X3.18 → 3.34 +5.0%22.31 → 1.85 -19.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Betano	1.78	1.85	10.2%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.83	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Average	1.72	1.96	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Kukesi 10%Draw 45%Besa Kavajë 45%

The statistical model rated FK Kukesi at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Besa Kavajë at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.28 | 3.46 | 1.58, which imply roughly 28.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1st Division table: FK Kukesi are 5th (9 pts, 8-7 goals), Besa Kavajë 2nd (10 pts, 15-7).

Over their last five matches, FK Kukesi averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Besa Kavajë averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Besa Kavajë.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.72	3.31	1.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.79	1.21	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.80	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
4.26	2.11	2.44

2nd half

1	X	2
3.91	2.47	2.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.47	13.7	21.7
HT X	8.33	5.23	4.82
HT 2	35.0	14.3	2.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.46	10.4	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.90
1.5	1.24	3.34
2.5	1.86	1.83
3.5	3.14	1.27
4.5	7.00	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.30	2.97
2	1.40	2.56
2.25	1.63	2.08
2.75	2.08	1.60
3	2.49	1.42
3.25	2.83	1.33
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.48	1.50
+0.25	2.05	1.67
+0.5	1.88	1.84
+0.75	1.58	2.12
+1	1.37	2.66
+1.25	1.29	3.05

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.70	1.01
-1	7.70	1.03
-0.75	4.75	1.12
-0.25	3.16	1.27
+1.5	1.23	3.42
+2	1.05	6.55
+2.5	1.03	7.50