Newroz vs Karbala• Iraqi League, Iraq

#30.8:0.213:00Today1.0:2.4#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50B365X4.10DAF26.601XBMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets57Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 10:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.48	4.10	6.20	8.1%
BetVictor	1.45	4.00	6.50	9.4%
Betano	1.50	3.85	5.50	10.8%
1xBet	1.44	3.80	6.60	10.9%
Bet365	1.50	3.75	5.50	11.5%
Pinnacle	1.48	3.84	5.49	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.43	3.80	6.25	12.2%
William Hill	1.44	3.50	6.00	14.7%
Best of all books	1.50	4.10	6.60	6.2%
Average	1.46	3.83	6.00	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NewrozKarbala

Last 10#3Table position#201.92Points per game0.589Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 51.00.2Goals against · last 52.444Attack rating5692Defence rating882Form rating180H2H rating085Goals model1576Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 10:20 UTC

Newroz

5W 4D 1L · goals 11:2 · per match 1.1 for, 0.2 against

31 Oct	A	Al Shorta	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Diyala	0-0	D
16 Oct	H	Al Minaa Basra	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Zakho	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ghaz Al Shamal	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	Al-Jolan SC	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	Mosul	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Naft Maysan	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Duhok	0-0	D
26 Aug	A	Al Talaba	0-1	L

Karbala

1W 2D 7L · goals 9:22 · per match 0.9 for, 2.2 against

30 Oct	H	Al Talaba	2-2	D
23 Oct	A	Duhok	2-5	L
16 Oct	H	Gharraf	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Al Kahrabaa	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	Erbil	0-3	L
14 Sep	A	Naft	1-2	L
7 Sep	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	2-3	L
4 Sep	H	Al Karkh	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Al-Karma	0-2	L
26 Aug	A	Mosul	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Newroz and Karbala on record.

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 5 Nov 17:20 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Newroz sit 3rd with 23 points from 12 games, while Karbala are 20th with 7 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	12	8	3	1	19:9	+10	27
2	Naft	12	7	4	1	14:5	+9	25
3	Newroz	12	6	5	1	17:5	+12	23
4	Al Zawra'a	12	6	3	3	17:9	+8	21
5	Al Shorta	12	5	6	1	13:6	+7	21
6	Al-Jolan SC	12	5	5	2	16:12	+4	20
7	Erbil	12	5	4	3	15:8	+7	19
8	Al Minaa Basra	13	4	5	4	12:13	-1	17
9	Duhok	12	3	6	3	19:16	+3	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	12	3	6	3	7:8	-1	15
11	Al Talaba	12	3	6	3	13:16	-3	15
12	Diyala	13	3	5	5	15:18	-3	14
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	12	2	7	3	14:13	+1	13
14	Gharraf	12	3	4	5	8:14	-6	13
15	Zakho	13	3	4	6	10:17	-7	13
16	Mosul	12	3	3	6	13:20	-7	12
17	Al Kahrabaa	13	2	5	6	9:15	-6	11
18	Al Karkh	12	2	3	7	15:21	-6	9
19	Naft Maysan	12	1	6	5	7:15	-8	9
20	Karbala	12	1	4	7	11:24	-13	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.47X24%3.83215%6.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.84	1.87	7.8%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Betano	1.78	1.85	10.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.87	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
William Hill	1.95	1.73	9.1%
1xBet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.95	1.78	7.5%
Average	1.93	1.75	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newroz 45%Draw 45%Karbala 10%

The statistical model rates Newroz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Karbala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 3.83 | 6.01, which imply roughly 68% for a Newroz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Newroz are 3rd (23 pts, 17-5 goals), Karbala 20th (7 pts, 11-24).

Over their last five matches, Newroz averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Karbala averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Newroz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	3.83	6.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.41	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.21	6.15

2nd half

1	X	2
1.79	2.59	5.61

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.12	19.0	57.0
HT X	4.00	6.10	13.6
HT 2	22.0	20.0	11.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	11.3	3.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.5
1.5	1.23	3.42
2.5	1.82	1.87
3.5	3.04	1.29
4.5	5.00	1.12
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.29	3.03
2	1.38	2.65
2.25	1.60	2.13
2.75	2.04	1.65
3	2.42	1.45
3.25	2.71	1.36
3.75	3.72	1.20
4	5.05	1.10
4.25	4.50	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.77	1.35
-1.5	2.33	1.49
-1.25	2.04	1.69
-1	1.80	1.89
-0.75	1.58	2.15
-0.5	1.46	2.44

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.40	1.04
-3	8.60	1.01
-2.75	4.70	1.15
-2.5	4.45	1.14
-2.25	3.50	1.26
-2	3.68	1.20
-0.25	1.29	3.06
0	1.11	4.85
+0.25	1.08	5.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.31	3.04
7.5	1.51	2.33
8	1.68	2.01
8.5	1.96	1.72
9	2.36	1.49
9.5	2.72	1.38

Next Iraqi League matches

7 Nov

Al Quwa Al Jawiya – Al Karkh

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

5 Nov	Diyala 0-0 Al Minaa Basra
5 Nov	Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Zakho
31 Oct	Al Karkh 1-2 Gharraf
30 Oct	Erbil 1-1 Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct	Al-Karma 1-0 Duhok
29 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al Minaa Basra