Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal• Iraqi League, Iraq

#71.2:1.21-1FT30/10 · Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil0.4:0.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX3.60DAF25.441XBMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets48Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 19:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.62	3.60	5.40	8.0%
1xBet	1.56	3.52	5.44	10.9%
Bet365	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
Betano	1.62	3.40	5.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.54	3.52	5.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.62	3.60	5.44	7.9%
Average	1.59	3.51	5.23	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ErbilGhaz Al Shamal

Last 10#7Table position#101.58Points per game1.254Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 50.475Attack rating2525Defence rating7533Form rating670H2H rating068Goals model3250Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 15:30 UTC

Erbil

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

30 Oct	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	1-1	D
28 Oct	H	Al-Ettifaq	3-0	W
22 Oct	A	Zakho	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Mosul	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Ajman	4-5	L
8 Oct	A	Naft Maysan	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Karbala	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Al-Karma	1-2	L
8 Sep	H	Diyala	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D

Ghaz Al Shamal

3W 5D 2L · goals 6:6 · per match 0.6 for, 0.6 against

25 Oct	H	Naft Maysan	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Al Zawra'a	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Al Minaa Basra	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Newroz	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Al Shorta	0-0	D
8 Sep	A	Duhok	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Gharraf	1-0	W
25 Aug	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
20 Aug	H	Al Kahrabaa	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Erbil and Ghaz Al Shamal on record.

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 4 Nov 09:30 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Erbil sit 7th with 19 points from 12 games, while Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th with 15 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	12	8	3	1	19:9	+10	27
2	Naft	12	7	4	1	14:5	+9	25
3	Newroz	12	6	5	1	17:5	+12	23
4	Al Zawra'a	12	6	3	3	17:9	+8	21
5	Al Shorta	12	5	6	1	13:6	+7	21
6	Al-Jolan SC	12	5	5	2	16:12	+4	20
7	Erbil	12	5	4	3	15:8	+7	19
8	Al Minaa Basra	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
9	Duhok	12	3	6	3	19:16	+3	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	12	3	6	3	7:8	-1	15
11	Al Talaba	12	3	6	3	13:16	-3	15
12	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	12	2	7	3	14:13	+1	13
13	Diyala	12	3	4	5	15:18	-3	13
14	Zakho	12	3	4	5	9:15	-6	13
15	Gharraf	12	3	4	5	8:14	-6	13
16	Mosul	12	3	3	6	13:20	-7	12
17	Al Karkh	12	2	3	7	15:21	-6	9
18	Naft Maysan	12	1	6	5	7:15	-8	9
19	Al Kahrabaa	12	1	5	6	7:14	-7	8
20	Karbala	12	1	4	7	11:24	-13	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X26%3.51217%5.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Betano	2.10	1.60	10.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.14	1.62	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.61	10.0%
Best of all books	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Average	2.09	1.62	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Erbil 35%Draw 35%Ghaz Al Shamal 30%

The statistical model rated Erbil at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ghaz Al Shamal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.51 | 5.23, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Erbil win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Erbil are 7th (19 pts, 15-8 goals), Ghaz Al Shamal 10th (15 pts, 7-8).

Over their last five matches, Erbil averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Ghaz Al Shamal averaged 0.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.51	5.23

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.11	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.09	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
2.19	2.05	5.76

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.39	5.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.52	18.5	53.7
HT X	4.19	4.92	10.3
HT 2	25.7	18.5	8.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	7.70	3.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.10
1.5	1.34	2.78
2.5	2.14	1.62
3.5	3.88	1.18
4.5	7.10	1.05

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.50
1.25	1.20	3.72
1.75	1.44	2.44
2	1.59	2.10
2.25	1.85	1.79
2.75	2.47	1.44
3	3.14	1.27
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.50	1.17
4	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.34	1.24
-1.5	2.74	1.35
-1.25	2.38	1.46
-1	2.06	1.63
-0.75	1.75	1.93
-0.25	1.36	2.70

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.65	1.08
-2.25	5.30	1.12
-2	4.80	1.12
0	1.17	3.98
+0.25	1.13	4.55
+1	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.44	2.50
8	1.59	2.16
8.5	1.84	1.82
9	2.18	1.58
9.5	2.51	1.44
10	3.25	1.27

Next Iraqi League matches

5 Nov	Al Kahrabaa – Zakho
5 Nov	Diyala – Al Minaa Basra

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

31 Oct	Al Karkh 1-2 Gharraf
30 Oct	Al-Karma 1-0 Duhok
29 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al Minaa Basra
29 Oct	Naft 1-0 Al Kahrabaa
25 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Naft Maysan
24 Oct	Al Minaa Basra 2-1 Al-Karma