Al-Karma vs Duhok• Iraqi League, Iraq

#21.4:1.014:00Today2.2:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91WHX3.35DAF24.031XBMargin at best7.0%Books7Markets45Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.89	3.35	3.95	8.1%
1xBet	1.81	3.24	4.03	10.9%
Betano	1.88	3.25	3.70	11.0%
Pinnacle	1.88	3.19	3.65	11.9%
Bet365	1.85	3.30	3.60	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.24	3.92	12.2%
William Hill	1.91	3.10	3.50	13.2%
Best of all books	1.91	3.35	4.03	7.0%
Average	1.86	3.24	3.76	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al-KarmaDuhok

Last 10#2Table position#92.18Points per game1.3610Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.639Attack rating6162Defence rating3859Form rating4175H2H rating2577Goals model2363Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 03:01 UTC

Al-Karma

7W 2D 1L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

24 Oct	A	Al Minaa Basra	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Al Karkh	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Zakho	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Erbil	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Naft	3-0	W
3 Sep	A	Diyala	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Karbala	2-0	W
26 Aug	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Al Shorta	2-1	W

Duhok

3W 5D 2L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

23 Oct	H	Karbala	5-2	W
17 Oct	A	Al-Jolan SC	0-2	L
8 Oct	H	Al Zawra'a	3-0	W
18 Sep	A	Al Minaa Basra	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Al Karkh	2-3	L
8 Sep	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	1-1	D
3 Sep	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Newroz	0-0	D
26 Aug	A	Naft	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Al Talaba	3-3	D

Head to head

3Al-Karma wins

0draws

1Duhok wins

4 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Al-Karma

8 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al-Karma3-0Duhok
14 Sep 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Duhok0-1Al-Karma
21 Jun 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al-Karma1-0Duhok
29 Jan 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Duhok3-1Al-Karma

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 29 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Al-Karma sit 2nd with 24 points from 11 games, while Duhok are 9th with 15 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Naft	12	7	4	1	14:5	+9	25
2	Al-Karma	11	7	3	1	18:9	+9	24
3	Newroz	11	6	4	1	16:4	+12	22
4	Al Shorta	11	5	5	1	12:5	+7	20
5	Al-Jolan SC	12	5	5	2	16:12	+4	20
6	Erbil	11	5	3	3	14:7	+7	18
7	Al Zawra'a	11	5	3	3	15:9	+6	18
8	Al Minaa Basra	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
9	Duhok	11	3	6	2	19:15	+4	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14
11	Al Talaba	11	3	5	3	11:14	-3	14
12	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	12	2	7	3	14:13	+1	13
13	Diyala	11	3	4	4	15:16	-1	13
14	Zakho	11	3	3	5	9:15	-6	12
15	Mosul	12	3	3	6	13:20	-7	12
16	Gharraf	11	2	4	5	6:13	-7	10
17	Al Karkh	11	2	3	6	14:19	-5	9
18	Al Kahrabaa	12	1	5	6	7:14	-7	8
19	Naft Maysan	11	1	5	5	7:15	-8	8
20	Karbala	11	1	3	7	9:22	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.86X28%3.24224%3.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.86 +14.8%X3.58 → 3.24 -9.5%24.72 → 3.76 -20.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.73	8.6%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Betano	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.95	1.75	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.86	8.4%
Average	1.82	1.85	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al-Karma 45%Draw 45%Duhok 10%

The statistical model rates Al-Karma at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Duhok at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.24 | 3.76, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Al-Karma win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Al-Karma are 2nd (24 pts, 18-9 goals), Duhok 9th (15 pts, 19-15).

Over their last five matches, Al-Karma averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Duhok averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Al-Karma or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.24	3.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.83	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	3.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
2.41	2.08	4.54

2nd half

1	X	2
2.22	2.37	3.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.93	15.8	39.3
HT X	4.67	4.97	8.50
HT 2	24.0	16.8	6.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	8.70	2.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.50
1.5	1.28	3.09
2.5	1.95	1.75
3.5	3.34	1.24
4.5	6.40	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.36	2.75
2	1.48	2.37
2.25	1.72	1.96
2.75	2.21	1.55
3	2.70	1.36
3.25	3.04	1.29
3.75	4.03	1.19
4	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.92	1.32
-1	2.43	1.47
-0.75	2.03	1.69
-0.5	1.87	1.83
-0.25	1.58	2.14
0	1.35	2.79

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.85	1.04
-2.25	5.20	1.12
-2	6.00	1.06
-1.75	4.15	1.16
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.26	3.27
+0.75	1.16	4.50
+1	1.02	8.10

Next Iraqi League matches

31 Oct

Al Karkh – Gharraf

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

29 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al Minaa Basra
29 Oct	Naft 1-0 Al Kahrabaa
25 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Naft Maysan
24 Oct	Al Minaa Basra 2-1 Al-Karma
24 Oct	Newroz 0-0 Diyala
22 Oct	Al Talaba 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya