Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra• Iraqi League, Iraq

#130.6:1.013:45Today1.0:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.65PINX3.00B36522.98PINMargin at best4.6%Books8Markets44Rating45 · 56Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 08:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	2.55	3.10	7.2%
BetVictor	2.60	2.90	2.75	9.3%
Betano	2.70	2.50	2.95	10.9%
Bet365	2.60	3.00	2.55	11.0%
1xBet	2.58	2.52	2.96	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.58	2.52	2.96	12.2%
William Hill	2.50	2.70	2.80	12.8%
Pinnacle	2.65	2.32	2.98	14.4%
Best of all books	2.80	3.00	3.10	1.3%
Average	2.63	2.63	2.88	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DiyalaAl Minaa Basra

Last 10#13Table position#81.08Points per game1.335Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.838Attack rating6344Defence rating5638Form rating6233H2H rating6786Goals model1445Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 09:30 UTC

Diyala

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	A	Al Zawra'a	0-2	L
24 Oct	A	Newroz	0-0	D
16 Oct	H	Naft Maysan	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Naft	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Gharraf	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Erbil	0-2	L
3 Sep	H	Al-Karma	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Al-Jolan SC	3-3	D
25 Aug	A	Zakho	2-2	D

Al Minaa Basra

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

29 Oct	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Al-Karma	2-1	W
16 Oct	A	Newroz	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Duhok	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Naft Maysan	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Naft	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Erbil	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Gharraf	3-0	W

Head to head

0Diyala wins

3draws

1Al Minaa Basra wins

4 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 4: 0W 3D 1L for Diyala

18 Mar 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Minaa Basra1-1Diyala
26 Oct 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Diyala0-0Al Minaa Basra
2 Jul 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Minaa Basra3-0Diyala
7 Nov 2024Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Diyala1-1Al Minaa Basra

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 5 Nov 09:30 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Diyala sit 13th with 13 points from 12 games, while Al Minaa Basra are 8th with 16 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	12	8	3	1	19:9	+10	27
2	Naft	12	7	4	1	14:5	+9	25
3	Newroz	12	6	5	1	17:5	+12	23
4	Al Zawra'a	12	6	3	3	17:9	+8	21
5	Al Shorta	12	5	6	1	13:6	+7	21
6	Al-Jolan SC	12	5	5	2	16:12	+4	20
7	Erbil	12	5	4	3	15:8	+7	19
8	Al Minaa Basra	12	4	4	4	12:13	-1	16
9	Duhok	12	3	6	3	19:16	+3	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	12	3	6	3	7:8	-1	15
11	Al Talaba	12	3	6	3	13:16	-3	15
12	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	12	2	7	3	14:13	+1	13
13	Diyala	12	3	4	5	15:18	-3	13
14	Zakho	12	3	4	5	9:15	-6	13
15	Gharraf	12	3	4	5	8:14	-6	13
16	Mosul	12	3	3	6	13:20	-7	12
17	Al Karkh	12	2	3	7	15:21	-6	9
18	Naft Maysan	12	1	6	5	7:15	-8	9
19	Al Kahrabaa	12	1	5	6	7:14	-7	8
20	Karbala	12	1	4	7	11:24	-13	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X34%2.65231%2.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.62 → 2.59 -1.1%X2.97 → 2.65 -10.8%22.57 → 2.86 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
BetVictor	2.50	1.47	8.0%
1xBet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.46	1.46	9.1%
Betano	2.30	1.50	10.1%
Pinnacle	2.47	1.41	11.4%
Best of all books	2.50	1.53	5.4%
Average	2.43	1.47	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.67	9.6%
Best of all books	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Average	2.03	1.67	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Diyala 10%Draw 45%Al Minaa Basra 45%

The statistical model rates Diyala at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Minaa Basra at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 2.65 | 2.86, which imply roughly 37.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Diyala are 13th (13 pts, 15-18 goals), Al Minaa Basra 8th (16 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Diyala averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Al Minaa Basra averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Minaa Basra and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.63	2.63	2.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.40	1.37

Draw no bet

1	2
1.79	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.03	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
3.43	1.82	3.73

2nd half

1	X	2
2.92	2.10	3.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.46	15.5	35.7
HT X	5.73	3.95	6.13
HT 2	34.0	15.5	4.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	5.80	2.14

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.90
1.5	1.45	2.38
2.5	2.43	1.47
3.5	4.45	1.14
4.5	8.70	1.02
5.5	29.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.13	5.20
1	1.16	4.20
1.25	1.30	2.94
1.75	1.60	2.10
2	1.82	1.82
2.25	2.15	1.57
2.75	2.89	1.31
3	3.75	1.19
3.25	4.10	1.16
3.75	5.20	1.13
4	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.16	1.26
-0.5	2.59	1.38
-0.25	2.16	1.57
0	1.78	1.92
+0.25	1.45	2.41
+0.5	1.30	2.90

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.40	1.09
-1.25	4.95	1.11
-1	4.55	1.13
+0.75	1.20	3.60
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.25	1.10	5.53
+1.5	1.06	6.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.30	3.08
7	1.39	2.66
7.5	1.62	2.11
8	1.85	1.81
8.5	2.16	1.59
9	2.70	1.38

Next Iraqi League matches

5 Nov	Al Kahrabaa – Zakho
6 Nov	Al Talaba – Ghaz Al Shamal
6 Nov	Al-Karma – Naft Maysan

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

31 Oct	Al Karkh 1-2 Gharraf
30 Oct	Erbil 1-1 Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct	Al-Karma 1-0 Duhok
29 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al Minaa Basra
29 Oct	Naft 1-0 Al Kahrabaa
25 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Naft Maysan