Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma• Iraqi League, Iraq

#91.0:1.22-1FT24/101.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.80DAFX3.50DAF21.75B365Margin at best6.5%Books5Markets42Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 19:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.80	3.50	1.71	7.9%
1xBet	4.37	3.25	1.75	10.8%
Betano	4.60	3.30	1.70	10.9%
Marathonbet	4.25	3.25	1.73	12.1%
Bet365	4.20	3.10	1.75	13.2%
Best of all books	4.80	3.50	1.75	6.5%
Average	4.44	3.28	1.73	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al Minaa BasraAl-Karma

Last 10#9Table position#11.36Points per game2.187Form pts · last 5131.0Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.636Attack rating6433Defence rating6728Form rating7250H2H rating5036Goals model6438Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC

Al Minaa Basra

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	H	Al-Karma	2-1	W
16 Oct	A	Newroz	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Duhok	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Naft Maysan	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Naft	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Erbil	0-2	L
26 Aug	H	Gharraf	3-0	W
20 Aug	H	Zakho	2-1	W

Al-Karma

7W 3D 0L · goals 17:7 · per match 1.7 for, 0.7 against

17 Oct	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Al Karkh	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Zakho	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Erbil	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Naft	3-0	W
3 Sep	A	Diyala	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Karbala	2-0	W
26 Aug	A	Al Kahrabaa	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Al Shorta	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Mosul	1-1	D

Head to head

2Al Minaa Basra wins

0draws

2Al-Karma wins

4 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Al Minaa Basra

1 Mar 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Minaa Basra2-0Al-Karma
22 Nov 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al-Karma2-0Al Minaa Basra
3 May 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al-Karma0-1Al Minaa Basra
8 Feb 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Al Minaa Basra0-2Al-Karma

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Al Minaa Basra sit 9th with 15 points from 11 games, while Al-Karma are 1st with 24 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	11	7	3	1	18:9	+9	24
2	Newroz	11	6	4	1	16:4	+12	22
3	Naft	11	6	4	1	13:5	+8	22
4	Al Shorta	11	5	5	1	12:5	+7	20
5	Erbil	11	5	3	3	14:7	+7	18
6	Al Zawra'a	11	5	3	3	15:9	+6	18
7	Al-Jolan SC	11	4	5	2	12:10	+2	17
8	Duhok	11	3	6	2	19:15	+4	15
9	Al Minaa Basra	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14
11	Al Talaba	11	3	5	3	11:14	-3	14
12	Diyala	11	3	4	4	15:16	-1	13
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	11	2	6	3	14:13	+1	12
14	Mosul	11	3	3	5	11:16	-5	12
15	Zakho	11	3	3	5	9:15	-6	12
16	Gharraf	11	2	4	5	6:13	-7	10
17	Al Karkh	11	2	3	6	14:19	-5	9
18	Al Kahrabaa	11	1	5	5	7:13	-6	8
19	Naft Maysan	11	1	5	5	7:15	-8	8
20	Karbala	11	1	3	7	9:22	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.44X28%3.28252%1.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Betano	2.15	1.57	10.2%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.16	1.60	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.69	9.9%
Best of all books	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Average	1.97	1.71	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Minaa Basra 10%Draw 45%Al-Karma 45%

The statistical model rated Al Minaa Basra at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Karma at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.44 | 3.28 | 1.73, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Al Minaa Basra are 9th (15 pts, 12-13 goals), Al-Karma 1st (24 pts, 18-9).

Over their last five matches, Al Minaa Basra averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Al-Karma averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Karma.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.44	3.28	1.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.88	1.15	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
3.23	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
5.01	1.99	2.39

2nd half

1	X	2
4.58	2.33	2.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.63	16.8	26.5
HT X	9.18	4.45	4.43
HT 2	52.5	17.0	2.84

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.77	8.20	1.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.40
1.5	1.34	2.78
2.5	2.16	1.61
3.5	3.96	1.17
4.5	7.60	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.65
1.25	1.19	3.76
1.75	1.44	2.47
2	1.61	2.07
2.25	1.87	1.79
2.75	2.50	1.42
3	3.20	1.26
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	4.70	1.15
4	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.08	1.28
+0.25	2.26	1.51
+0.5	1.98	1.74
+0.75	1.66	1.99
+1	1.43	2.53
+1.25	1.32	2.88

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.90	1.02
-1	7.80	1.04
-0.75	5.20	1.12
-0.25	3.58	1.21
+1.5	1.25	3.28
+1.75	1.15	4.25
+2	1.05	6.40
+2.5	1.03	7.40

Next Iraqi League matches

29 Oct	Naft – Al Kahrabaa
29 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya – Al Minaa Basra

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

25 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Naft Maysan
24 Oct	Newroz 0-0 Diyala
22 Oct	Al Talaba 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
22 Oct	Gharraf 0-0 Naft
22 Oct	Zakho 2-1 Erbil
18 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Al Zawra'a