Newroz vs Diyala• Iraqi League, Iraq

#21.6:0.00-0FT24/101.2:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67BTNX3.55DAF25.00B365Margin at best8.0%Books6Markets44Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 19:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.67	3.55	5.00	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	3.50	5.00	9.2%
Betano	1.67	3.35	4.75	10.8%
1xBet	1.65	3.40	4.78	10.9%
Bet365	1.62	3.40	5.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.40	4.65	12.3%
Best of all books	1.67	3.55	5.00	8.0%
Average	1.65	3.43	4.86	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NewrozDiyala

Last 10#2Table position#122.00Points per game1.1813Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.20.0Goals against · last 51.257Attack rating43100Defence rating065Form rating3591H2H rating979Goals model2172Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 09:31 UTC

Newroz

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:5 · per match 1.3 for, 0.5 against

16 Oct	H	Al Minaa Basra	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Zakho	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ghaz Al Shamal	0-0	D
14 Sep	A	Al-Jolan SC	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	Mosul	3-0	W
4 Sep	A	Naft Maysan	2-0	W
30 Aug	H	Duhok	0-0	D
26 Aug	A	Al Talaba	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Gharraf	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	3-3	D

Diyala

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

16 Oct	H	Naft Maysan	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Naft	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Gharraf	3-1	W
8 Sep	A	Erbil	0-2	L
3 Sep	H	Al-Karma	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Al-Jolan SC	3-3	D
25 Aug	A	Zakho	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Mosul	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Al Talaba	2-1	W

Head to head

3Newroz wins

1draws

0Diyala wins

4 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Newroz

4 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Diyala1-1Newroz
31 Jan 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Newroz2-1Diyala
20 Feb 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Diyala1-4Newroz
3 Jan 2025Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Newroz2-1Diyala

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 28 Oct 09:01 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Newroz sit 2nd with 22 points from 11 games, while Diyala are 12th with 13 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	11	7	3	1	18:9	+9	24
2	Newroz	11	6	4	1	16:4	+12	22
3	Naft	11	6	4	1	13:5	+8	22
4	Al Shorta	11	5	5	1	12:5	+7	20
5	Erbil	11	5	3	3	14:7	+7	18
6	Al Zawra'a	11	5	3	3	15:9	+6	18
7	Al-Jolan SC	11	4	5	2	12:10	+2	17
8	Duhok	11	3	6	2	19:15	+4	15
9	Al Minaa Basra	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14
11	Al Talaba	11	3	5	3	11:14	-3	14
12	Diyala	11	3	4	4	15:16	-1	13
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	11	2	6	3	14:13	+1	12
14	Mosul	11	3	3	5	11:16	-5	12
15	Zakho	11	3	3	5	9:15	-6	12
16	Gharraf	11	2	4	5	6:13	-7	10
17	Al Karkh	11	2	3	6	14:19	-5	9
18	Al Kahrabaa	11	1	5	5	7:13	-6	8
19	Naft Maysan	11	1	5	5	7:15	-8	8
20	Karbala	11	1	3	7	9:22	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X26%3.43219%4.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
BetVictor	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.06	1.67	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Average	1.97	1.71	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Newroz 45%Draw 45%Diyala 10%

The statistical model rated Newroz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Diyala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.43 | 4.86, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Newroz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Newroz are 2nd (22 pts, 16-4 goals), Diyala 12th (13 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, Newroz averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Diyala averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Newroz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.43	4.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.02	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.27	2.06	5.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.02	2.40	4.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.61	17.0	50.3
HT X	4.29	4.80	10.0
HT 2	25.0	18.0	8.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	8.10	2.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.20
1.5	1.31	2.92
2.5	2.06	1.67
3.5	3.58	1.21
4.5	6.70	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.80
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.40	2.57
2	1.53	2.21
2.25	1.79	1.85
2.75	2.34	1.49
3	2.92	1.31
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	4.20	1.19
4	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.92	1.31
-1.25	2.56	1.40
-1	2.25	1.54
-0.75	1.83	1.85
-0.5	1.62	2.02
-0.25	1.43	2.46

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.05	1.06
-2.25	5.50	1.11
-2	5.25	1.09
-1.75	3.58	1.21
0	1.23	3.42
+0.25	1.17	3.98
+1	1.01	9.40

Next Iraqi League matches

29 Oct	Naft – Al Kahrabaa
29 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya – Al Minaa Basra

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

25 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Naft Maysan
24 Oct	Al Minaa Basra 2-1 Al-Karma
22 Oct	Al Talaba 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
22 Oct	Gharraf 0-0 Naft
22 Oct	Zakho 2-1 Erbil
18 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Al Zawra'a