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Recanatese vs Maceratese• Serie D - Girone F, Italy

#111.2:1.22-3FT04/10 · Nicola Tubaldi0.8:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15B365X3.661XB23.50BTNMargin at best2.4%Books2Markets16Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.933.743.804.9%
Betano1.953.203.5011.1%
Best of all books1.953.743.804.3%
Average1.943.473.657.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RecanateseMaceratese
Last 10#11Table position#141.20Points per game0.801Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4054Defence rating4660Form rating4020H2H rating8073Goals model2752Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Recanatese

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

18 OctHL'Aquila2-3L
10 OctANotaresco1-2L
4 OctHMaceratese2-3L
27 SepALanciano FC1-4L
20 SepHMontecchio Gallo0-0D
16 SepHFoligno Calcio4-1W
12 SepASantegidiese1-1D
6 SepHPietralunga0-0D
17 MayHVictor San Marino4-1W
3 MayHFossombrone2-0W

Maceratese

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

27 SepHSantegidiese1-1D
20 SepAPietralunga2-0W
16 SepHAncona0-1L
13 SepAAtletico Ascoli1-2L
6 SepHTeramo0-3L
3 MayAChieti0-1L
26 AprHReal Giulianova1-1D
19 AprAUnipomezia0-3L
12 AprHRecanatese2-1W
2 AprACastelfidardo Calcio2-2D

Head to head

0Recanatese wins
1draws
1Maceratese wins

2 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Recanatese

12 Apr 2026Serie D - Girone FSerie D - Girone FMaceratese2-1Recanatese
30 Nov 2025Serie D - Girone FSerie D - Girone FRecanatese2-2Maceratese

Serie D - Girone F tableSerie D: Group Fupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone F table, Recanatese sit 11th with 6 points from 5 games, while Maceratese are 14th with 4 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vigor Senigallia541010:4+613
2L'Aquila53209:2+711
3Teramo531111:7+410
4Foligno Calcio53116:6010
5Ancona52216:5+18
6Santegidiese52215:4+18
7Montecchio Gallo52215:4+18
8Lanciano FC521210:7+37
9Atletico Ascoli52126:7-17
10Fossombrone52125:9-47
11Recanatese51316:606
12Notaresco51225:6-15
13Real Giulianova51137:8-14
14Maceratese51134:7-34
15Sporting Trestina51134:7-34
16Angelana51134:7-34
17Termoli Calcio51132:5-34
18Pietralunga50232:6-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.06X28%3.20228%3.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:113 Oct 19:011 2.05X 3.202 3.19
11.94 → 2.05 +5.7%X3.47 → 3.20 -7.8%23.65 → 3.19 -12.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.981.825.5%
Betano1.881.7510.3%
Best of all books1.981.825.5%
Average1.931.797.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.891.915.3%
Best of all books1.891.915.3%
Average1.891.915.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Recanatese 45%Draw 45%Maceratese 10%

The statistical model rated Recanatese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Maceratese at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.18, which imply roughly 48.5% for a Recanatese win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone F table: Recanatese are 11th (6 pts, 6-6 goals), Maceratese 14th (4 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, Recanatese averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Maceratese averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Recanatese or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.943.473.65

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.671.29

Draw no bet

12
1.422.45

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.91

1st half

1X2
2.572.024.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.323.18
2.51.931.79
3.53.341.29
4.56.821.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.451.25
-0.51.881.72
-0.251.781.83
01.422.52

Latest Serie D - Girone F results

4 OctTeramo 6-4 Vigor Senigallia
4 OctAtletico Ascoli 0-1 Fossombrone
4 OctAncona 2-0 Sporting Trestina
27 SepVigor Senigallia 0-0 Fossombrone
27 SepSporting Trestina 2-0 Termoli Calcio
27 SepL'Aquila 2-0 Teramo