Atletico Ascoli vs 
Fossombrone• Serie D - Girone F, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.71 | 3.90 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.93 | 3.71 | 3.90 | 4.4% |
| Average | 1.92 | 3.48 | 3.70 | 7.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Atletico Ascoli
2W 4D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against
| 27 Sep | A | Real Giulianova | 2-4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Sporting Trestina | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | L'Aquila | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Maceratese | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Angelana | 0-2 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Pineto | 1-1 | D |
| 10 May | A | Teramo | 1-2 | L |
| 3 May | H | Teramo | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | Sammaurese | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | Fossombrone | 1-1 | D |
Fossombrone
4W 2D 4L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against
| 4 Oct | A | Atletico Ascoli | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Vigor Senigallia | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Lanciano FC | 2-4 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Sporting Trestina | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | L'Aquila | 0-4 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | Real Giulianova | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Cesena | 0-3 | L |
| 3 May | A | Recanatese | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | Castelfidardo Calcio | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Atletico Ascoli | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 7: 1W 5D 1L for Atletico Ascoli
| 19 Apr 2026Serie D - Girone F | Serie D - Girone F | Atletico Ascoli1-1Fossombrone |
| 7 Dec 2025Serie D - Girone F | Serie D - Girone F | Fossombrone0-0Atletico Ascoli |
| 16 Feb 2025Serie D - Girone F | Serie D - Girone F | Atletico Ascoli1-1Fossombrone |
| 20 Oct 2024Serie D - Girone F | Serie D - Girone F | Fossombrone1-0Atletico Ascoli |
| 14 Apr 2024Serie D - Girone F | Serie D - Girone F | Fossombrone1-1Atletico Ascoli |
| 3 Dec 2023Serie D - Girone F | Serie D - Girone F | Atletico Ascoli0-0Fossombrone |
| 27 Aug 2023Coppa Italia Serie D | Coppa Italia Serie D | Atletico Ascoli1-0Fossombrone |
Serie D - Girone F tableSerie D: Group Fupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone F table, Atletico Ascoli sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, while Fossombrone are 10th with 7 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigor Senigallia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 | L'Aquila | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | Teramo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Ancona | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 6 | Santegidiese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Lanciano FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Recanatese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Notaresco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Real Giulianova | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Angelana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Termoli Calcio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 1.79 | 5.1% |
| Betano | 1.91 | 1.70 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.03 | 1.79 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.97 | 1.75 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.88 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.92 | 1.88 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.92 | 1.88 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Atletico Ascoli at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fossombrone at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.44 | 4.25, which imply roughly 29.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone F table: Atletico Ascoli are 9th (7 pts, 6-7 goals), Fossombrone 10th (7 pts, 5-9).
Over their last five matches, Atletico Ascoli averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Fossombrone averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Fossombrone.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | 3.48 | 3.70 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 1.70 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.42 | 2.47 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.92 | 1.88 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 2.02 | 4.05 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.34 | 3.08 |
| 2.25 | 1.72 | 1.93 |
| 2.5 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 3.46 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 7.20 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.40 | 1.26 |
| -0.5 | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| 0 | 1.41 | 2.55 |