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Ancona vs Sporting Trestina• Serie D - Girone F, Italy

#51.2:1.02-0FT04/10 · Stadio del Conero, Ancona0.8:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.38BTNX5.181XB28.201XBMargin at best4.0%Books2Markets17Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.325.519.104.9%
Betano1.383.858.0010.9%
Best of all books1.385.519.101.6%
Average1.354.688.557.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AnconaSporting Trestina
Last 10#5Table position#151.60Points per game0.808Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4058Defence rating4267Form rating330H2H rating0100Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 11:21 UTC

Ancona

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

4 OctHSporting Trestina2-0W
27 SepAAngelana1-1D
20 SepHL'Aquila2-2D
16 SepAMaceratese1-0W
12 SepHMontecchio Gallo0-1L
6 SepANotaresco2-1W
10 MayHNotaresco1-3L
3 MayHNotaresco1-1D
26 AprAL'Aquila0-0D
19 AprHSammaurese3-0W

Sporting Trestina

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

27 SepHTermoli Calcio2-0W
20 SepAAtletico Ascoli0-1L
16 SepHFossombrone0-1L
12 SepALanciano FC0-0D
6 SepHVigor Senigallia2-5L
29 JulAGubbio0-2L
3 MayARobur Siena4-4D
26 AprHPrato0-2L
19 AprASansepolcro1-1D
12 AprHGavorrano1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ancona and Sporting Trestina on record.

Serie D - Girone F tableSerie D: Group Fupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone F table, Ancona sit 5th with 8 points from 5 games, while Sporting Trestina are 15th with 4 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vigor Senigallia541010:4+613
2L'Aquila53209:2+711
3Teramo531111:7+410
4Foligno Calcio53116:6010
5Ancona52216:5+18
6Santegidiese52215:4+18
7Montecchio Gallo52215:4+18
8Lanciano FC521210:7+37
9Atletico Ascoli52126:7-17
10Fossombrone52125:9-47
11Recanatese51316:606
12Notaresco51225:6-15
13Real Giulianova51137:8-14
14Maceratese51134:7-34
15Sporting Trestina51134:7-34
16Angelana51134:7-34
17Termoli Calcio51132:5-34
18Pietralunga50232:6-42

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.35X21%4.39211%8.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:114 Oct 08:311 1.35X 4.392 8.10
11.35 → 1.35 0.0%X4.68 → 4.39 -6.2%28.55 → 8.10 -5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.682.185.4%
Betano1.622.0211.2%
Best of all books1.682.185.4%
Average1.652.108.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.041.785.2%
Best of all books2.041.785.2%
Average2.041.785.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ancona 45%Draw 45%Sporting Trestina 10%

The statistical model rated Ancona at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Trestina at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.39 | 8.18, which imply roughly 74.1% for a Ancona win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone F table: Ancona are 5th (8 pts, 6-5 goals), Sporting Trestina 15th (4 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, Ancona averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sporting Trestina averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ancona or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.354.688.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.082.621.20

Draw no bet

12
1.105.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.041.78

1st half

1X2
1.872.207.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.184.20
2.51.652.10
2.751.781.85
3.52.541.49
4.54.521.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.53.151.29
-1.51.941.77
-1.251.801.80
01.096.15

Latest Serie D - Girone F results

4 OctTeramo 6-4 Vigor Senigallia
4 OctAtletico Ascoli 0-1 Fossombrone
4 OctRecanatese 2-3 Maceratese
27 SepVigor Senigallia 0-0 Fossombrone
27 SepSporting Trestina 2-0 Termoli Calcio
27 SepL'Aquila 2-0 Teramo