Francavilla vs Brindisi• Serie D - Girone H, Italy

#170.8:1.30-1FT27/091.0:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.351XBX2.96MAR22.92BTNMargin at best10.6%Books2Markets14Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.40	2.95	2.95	9.5%
Betano	2.37	2.92	2.90	10.9%
Best of all books	2.40	2.95	2.95	9.5%
Average	2.38	2.94	2.92	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FrancavillaBrindisi

Last 10#17Table position#50.63Points per game1.883Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.01.3Goals against · last 52.043Attack rating5762Defence rating3850Form rating5038H2H rating6269Goals model3149Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC

Francavilla

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

27 Sep	H	Brindisi	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Melfi	1-2	L
16 Sep	H	USD Palmese	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Bisceglie	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Ischia	1-0	W
3 May	H	Afragolese	2-0	W
26 Apr	A	Sarnese	2-2	D
19 Apr	A	Virtus Francavilla	3-0	W
12 Apr	H	Real Acerrana	4-1	W
2 Apr	A	Fidelis Andria	0-0	D

Brindisi

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	H	Nardò	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	Nocerina	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Real Normanna	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	Francavilla	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Turris	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Virtus Francavilla	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Fidelis Andria	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Real Forio 2014	1-4	L
4 May	H	Francavilla	0-0	D
27 Apr	A	Manfredonia	2-2	D

Head to head

3Francavilla wins

2draws

2Brindisi wins

7 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 7: 3W 2D 2L for Francavilla

4 May 2025Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Brindisi0-0Francavilla
22 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Francavilla1-0Brindisi
8 Jan 2023Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Brindisi0-0Francavilla
4 Sep 2022Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Francavilla0-2Brindisi
30 Jan 2022Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Brindisi2-1Francavilla
19 Sep 2021Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Francavilla2-1Brindisi
24 Nov 2019Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Brindisi1-2Francavilla

Serie D - Girone H tableSerie D: Group Hupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone H table, Francavilla sit 17th with 5 points from 8 games, while Brindisi are 5th with 15 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Martina Franca	8	6	0	2	16:7	+9	18
2	Turris	8	5	3	0	14:6	+8	18
3	Virtus Francavilla	8	6	0	2	15:10	+5	18
4	Bisceglie	8	5	0	3	14:9	+5	15
5	Brindisi	8	5	0	3	11:8	+3	15
6	Manfredonia	8	4	2	2	12:9	+3	14
7	Gravina	8	3	4	1	14:9	+5	13
8	Nocerina	8	4	1	3	12:11	+1	13
9	Real Normanna	8	3	2	3	13:14	-1	11
10	USD Palmese	8	3	1	4	13:15	-2	10
11	Fidelis Andria	8	3	1	4	9:12	-3	10
12	Gladiator	8	2	3	3	13:15	-2	9
13	Ebolitana	8	2	2	4	6:12	-6	8
14	Real Forio 2014	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
15	Melfi	8	2	1	5	3:9	-6	7
16	Ischia	8	1	2	5	10:14	-4	5
17	Francavilla	8	1	2	5	5:9	-4	5
18	Nardò	8	1	3	4	6:14	-8	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.35X31%2.94231%2.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.38 → 2.34 -1.7%X2.94 → 2.95 +0.3%22.93 → 2.87 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.04	1.68	8.5%
Betano	1.98	1.65	11.1%
Best of all books	2.04	1.68	8.5%
Average	2.01	1.67	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.84	1.97	5.1%
Best of all books	1.84	1.97	5.1%
Average	1.84	1.97	5.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Francavilla 35%Draw 35%Brindisi 30%

The statistical model rated Francavilla at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Brindisi at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 2.94 | 2.87, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Francavilla win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone H table: Francavilla are 17th (5 pts, 5-9 goals), Brindisi 5th (15 pts, 11-8).

Over their last five matches, Francavilla averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Brindisi averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Francavilla or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	2.94	2.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.47	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	1.98

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.00	1.93	3.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.31	2.97
2.25	1.78	1.87
2.5	2.01	1.67
3.5	3.45	1.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.40	1.16
-0.25	1.95	1.67
0	1.68	2.04

Next Serie D - Girone H matches

25 Oct	Ebolitana – Gravina
25 Oct	Ischia – Martina Franca
25 Oct	Real Normanna – Turris
25 Oct	Nocerina – Gladiator
25 Oct	Virtus Francavilla – Manfredonia
25 Oct	Bisceglie – Brindisi

All Serie D - Girone H fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone H results

4 Oct	Martina Franca 1-0 Francavilla
4 Oct	Manfredonia 1-0 Bisceglie
4 Oct	Gravina 4-2 Virtus Francavilla
4 Oct	Brindisi 3-0 Real Normanna
4 Oct	Gladiator 1-1 Turris
4 Oct	Ischia 1-1 Ebolitana