Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla• Serie D - Girone H, Italy

#81.6:1.04-2FT04/102.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.87BTNX3.821XB22.321XBMargin at best4.1%Books2Markets15Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.79	3.82	2.32	5.1%
Betano	2.87	3.05	2.30	11.1%
Best of all books	2.87	3.82	2.32	4.1%
Average	2.83	3.43	2.31	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GravinaVirtus Francavilla

Last 10#8Table position#11.60Points per game3.008Form pts · last 5151.6Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.844Attack rating5644Defence rating5635Form rating6550H2H rating5028Goals model7242Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC

Gravina

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:7 · per match 2.3 for, 0.7 against

27 Sep	A	Real Normanna	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Real Forio 2014	2-2	D
16 Sep	A	Turris	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Gladiator	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Fidelis Andria	3-1	W
3 May	H	Real Normanna	3-2	W
26 Apr	A	Afragolese	6-0	W
19 Apr	H	Paganese	1-0	W
12 Apr	A	Ferrandina	5-0	W
2 Apr	H	Martina Franca	0-0	D

Virtus Francavilla

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

27 Sep	H	Gladiator	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Martina Franca	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Brindisi	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Melfi	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	USD Palmese	3-1	W
3 May	H	Sarnese	2-2	D
26 Apr	A	Pompei	1-4	L
19 Apr	H	Francavilla	0-3	L
12 Apr	H	Fidelis Andria	0-2	L
2 Apr	A	Afragolese	2-2	D

Head to head

1Gravina wins

2draws

1Virtus Francavilla wins

4 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Gravina

22 Feb 2026Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Virtus Francavilla0-1Gravina
19 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Gravina0-0Virtus Francavilla
9 Feb 2025Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Virtus Francavilla1-1Gravina
13 Oct 2024Serie D - Girone H	Serie D - Girone H	Gravina0-1Virtus Francavilla

Serie D - Girone H tableSerie D: Group Hupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone H table, Gravina sit 8th with 8 points from 5 games, while Virtus Francavilla are 1st with 15 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	5	5	0	0	10:4	+6	15
2	Bisceglie	5	4	0	1	11:5	+6	12
3	Turris	5	3	2	0	8:4	+4	11
4	Nocerina	5	3	1	1	11:8	+3	10
5	Real Normanna	5	3	1	1	10:7	+3	10
6	Martina Franca	5	3	0	2	11:7	+4	9
7	Manfredonia	5	2	2	1	9:6	+3	8
8	Gravina	5	2	2	1	8:5	+3	8
9	Real Forio 2014	5	2	1	2	9:8	+1	7
10	Ebolitana	5	2	1	2	5:7	-2	7
11	Gladiator	5	2	0	3	8:10	-2	6
12	Brindisi	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6
13	Nardò	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5
14	Melfi	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4
15	USD Palmese	5	1	1	3	5:10	-5	4
16	Francavilla	5	1	0	4	3:6	-3	3
17	Ischia	5	0	1	4	6:11	-5	1
18	Fidelis Andria	5	0	1	4	4:10	-6	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.82X27%3.39240%2.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.76	2.06	5.4%
Betano	1.72	1.90	10.8%
Best of all books	1.76	2.06	5.4%
Average	1.74	1.98	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.19	5.5%
Best of all books	1.67	2.19	5.5%
Average	1.67	2.19	5.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gravina 10%Draw 45%Virtus Francavilla 45%

The statistical model rated Gravina at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Virtus Francavilla at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.82 | 3.39 | 2.29, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone H table: Gravina are 8th (8 pts, 8-5 goals), Virtus Francavilla 1st (15 pts, 10-4).

Over their last five matches, Gravina averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Virtus Francavilla averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus Francavilla.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.83	3.43	2.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.34	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.02	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
3.40	2.02	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.22	3.85
2.5	1.74	1.98
2.75	1.90	1.75
3.5	2.74	1.43
4.5	5.06	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.06	1.65
+0.25	1.70	1.91
+1.5	1.18	4.10

Latest Serie D - Girone H results

4 Oct	Martina Franca 1-0 Francavilla
4 Oct	Manfredonia 1-0 Bisceglie
4 Oct	Brindisi 3-0 Real Normanna
4 Oct	Gladiator 1-1 Turris
4 Oct	Ischia 1-1 Ebolitana
4 Oct	Melfi 0-1 Nocerina