Virtus Francavilla vs 
Manfredonia• Serie D - Girone H, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 12:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.45 | 4.40 | 10.5% |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.45 | 4.60 | 11.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 3.45 | 4.60 | 9.5% |
| Average | 1.68 | 3.45 | 4.50 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 15:01 UTC
Virtus Francavilla
7W 1D 2L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against
| 18 Oct | A | Fidelis Andria | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Real Forio 2014 | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Oct | H | Gravina | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | Gravina | 2-4 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Gladiator | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Martina Franca | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Brindisi | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Melfi | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | USD Palmese | 3-1 | W |
| 3 May | H | Sarnese | 2-2 | D |
Manfredonia
5W 3D 2L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against
| 18 Oct | H | Ischia | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Turris | 0-3 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Bisceglie | 1-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Real Forio 2014 | 2-1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Ebolitana | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Fidelis Andria | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nocerina | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Gladiator | 1-2 | L |
| 3 May | A | Real Acerrana | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Fidelis Andria | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 10:2 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for Virtus Francavilla
| 11 Jan 2026Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Virtus Francavilla2-0Manfredonia |
| 14 Sep 2025Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Manfredonia2-5Virtus Francavilla |
| 5 Jan 2025Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Manfredonia0-0Virtus Francavilla |
| 8 Sep 2024Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Virtus Francavilla3-0Manfredonia |
Serie D - Girone H tableSerie D: Group Hupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone H table, Virtus Francavilla sit 3rd with 18 points from 8 games, while Manfredonia are 6th with 14 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martina Franca | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | Turris | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:9 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Brindisi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Manfredonia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Normanna | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | USD Palmese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fidelis Andria | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Gladiator | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Forio 2014 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Melfi | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Ischia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.5% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.88 | 10.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 1.88 | 10.3% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.88 | 10.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Virtus Francavilla at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Manfredonia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.45 | 4.50, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Virtus Francavilla win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone H table: Virtus Francavilla are 3rd (18 pts, 15-10 goals), Manfredonia 6th (14 pts, 12-9).
Over their last five matches, Virtus Francavilla averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Manfredonia averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Virtus Francavilla or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 3.45 | 4.50 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 1.95 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.28 | 3.15 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 2.10 | 4.70 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 2.55 | 4.20 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.65 | 14.0 | 45.0 |
| HT X | 4.20 | 5.20 | 9.25 |
| HT 2 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 7.90 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.88 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 1.65 | 2.00 |
Next Serie D - Girone H matches
| 25 Oct | Ebolitana – Gravina |
| 25 Oct | Ischia – Martina Franca |
| 25 Oct | Real Normanna – Turris |
| 25 Oct | Nocerina – Gladiator |
| 25 Oct | Bisceglie – Brindisi |
Latest Serie D - Girone H results
| 4 Oct | Martina Franca 1-0 Francavilla |
| 4 Oct | Manfredonia 1-0 Bisceglie |
| 4 Oct | Gravina 4-2 Virtus Francavilla |
| 4 Oct | Brindisi 3-0 Real Normanna |
| 4 Oct | Gladiator 1-1 Turris |
| 4 Oct | Ischia 1-1 Ebolitana |