Martina Franca vs 
Francavilla• Serie D - Girone H, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.15 | 4.76 | 5.0% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.45 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 4.15 | 4.76 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.67 | 3.83 | 4.61 | 7.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Martina Franca
5W 0D 5L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against
| 27 Sep | A | Nardò | 3-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Virtus Francavilla | 1-2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Real Normanna | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Real Forio 2014 | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Turris | 3-4 | L |
| 17 May | H | Paganese | 0-1 | L |
| 10 May | H | Nardò | 2-1 | W |
| 3 May | A | Nola 1925 | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | Heraclea | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Città di Fasano | 0-1 | L |
Francavilla
4W 2D 4L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against
| 27 Sep | H | Brindisi | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Melfi | 1-2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | USD Palmese | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Bisceglie | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Ischia | 1-0 | W |
| 3 May | H | Afragolese | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Sarnese | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | Virtus Francavilla | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | Real Acerrana | 4-1 | W |
| 2 Apr | A | Fidelis Andria | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 15:7 · last 7: 5W 2D 0L for Martina Franca
| 8 Feb 2026Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Francavilla1-2Martina Franca |
| 22 Oct 2025Coppa Italia Serie D | Coppa Italia Serie D | Francavilla1-1Martina Franca |
| 5 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Martina Franca1-0Francavilla |
| 17 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Martina Franca4-0Francavilla |
| 8 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Francavilla1-2Martina Franca |
| 7 May 2023Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Francavilla3-3Martina Franca |
| 21 Dec 2022Serie D - Girone H | Serie D - Girone H | Martina Franca2-1Francavilla |
Serie D - Girone H tableSerie D: Group Hupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone H table, Martina Franca sit 6th with 9 points from 5 games, while Francavilla are 16th with 3 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Franca | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Nardò | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | USD Palmese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 1.97 | 5.1% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 1.90 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.84 | 1.97 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.78 | 1.94 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 1.94 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.86 | 1.94 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.86 | 1.94 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Martina Franca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Francavilla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 3.95 | 6.21, which imply roughly 69% for a Martina Franca win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone H table: Martina Franca are 6th (9 pts, 11-7 goals), Francavilla 16th (3 pts, 3-6).
Over their last five matches, Martina Franca averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Francavilla averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Martina Franca or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.83 | 4.61 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 1.98 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.27 | 3.10 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.94 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | 2.15 | 4.70 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.25 | 3.59 |
| 2.5 | 1.78 | 1.94 |
| 2.75 | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 2.93 | 1.37 |
| 4.5 | 5.60 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.66 | 1.38 |
| -0.75 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| 0 | 1.26 | 3.40 |
Latest Serie D - Girone H results
| 4 Oct | Manfredonia 1-0 Bisceglie |
| 4 Oct | Gravina 4-2 Virtus Francavilla |
| 4 Oct | Brindisi 3-0 Real Normanna |
| 4 Oct | Gladiator 1-1 Turris |
| 4 Oct | Ischia 1-1 Ebolitana |
| 4 Oct | Melfi 0-1 Nocerina |