Lucchese vs 
Robur Siena• Serie D - Girone E, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 9.2% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.05 | 2.95 | 10.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.29 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 9.2% |
| Average | 2.28 | 3.05 | 3.00 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Sep 10:21 UTC
Lucchese
5W 1D 4L · goals 15:18 · per match 1.5 for, 1.8 against
| 20 Sep | A | Rondinella | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Progresso | 5-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Seravezza | 0-5 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Montevarchi Calcio | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May | H | Sestri Levante | 1-0 | W |
| 10 May | A | Sestri Levante | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Torres | 3-2 | W |
| 23 Apr | A | Arezzo | 1-4 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Vis Pesaro | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Apr | A | Pontedera | 1-4 | L |
Robur Siena
4W 3D 3L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against
| 4 Oct | H | Seravezza | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Lucchese | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Montevarchi Calcio | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Tau Altopascio | 2-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Mezzolara | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Scandicci | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | San Donato Tavarnelle | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Jul | H | Scandicci | 2-0 | W |
| 10 May | A | Prato | 1-3 | L |
| 3 May | H | Sporting Trestina | 4-4 | D |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 12:14 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Lucchese
| 14 Mar 2023Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Lucchese1-1Robur Siena |
| 13 Nov 2022Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Robur Siena0-1Lucchese |
| 27 Mar 2022Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Robur Siena1-1Lucchese |
| 21 Nov 2021Serie C - Girone B | Serie C - Girone B | Lucchese1-0Robur Siena |
| 16 Mar 2019Serie C - Girone A | Serie C - Girone A | Robur Siena1-0Lucchese |
| 18 Nov 2018Serie C - Girone A | Serie C - Girone A | Lucchese2-3Robur Siena |
| 23 Dec 2017Serie C | Serie C | Lucchese1-4Robur Siena |
| 27 Aug 2017Serie C | Serie C | Robur Siena1-0Lucchese |
| 13 Apr 2017Serie C | Serie C | Lucchese3-2Robur Siena |
| 5 Dec 2016Serie C | Serie C | Robur Siena1-2Lucchese |
Serie D - Girone E tableSerie D: Group Eupdated 23 Oct 06:10 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone E table, Lucchese sit 4th with 14 points from 8 games, while Robur Siena are 5th with 13 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:5 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:17 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.87 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| Average | 1.79 | 1.89 | 8.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 2.14 | 5.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.14 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.70 | 2.14 | 5.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lucchese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Robur Siena at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.05 | 2.85, which imply roughly 45% for a Lucchese win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone E table: Lucchese are 4th (14 pts, 18-15 goals), Robur Siena 5th (13 pts, 15-10).
Over their last five matches, Lucchese averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Robur Siena averaged 2.3 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Lucchese or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 3.05 | 3.00 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 1.52 | 1.31 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.60 | 2.05 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.14 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 2.02 | 3.55 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.24 | 3.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.79 | 1.89 |
| 3.5 | 2.78 | 1.35 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4.00 | 1.19 |
| -0.25 | 1.88 | 1.72 |
| 0 | 1.62 | 2.11 |
Next Serie D - Girone E matches
| 25 Oct | Seravezza – Gavorrano |
| 25 Oct | Prato – Flaminia |
| 25 Oct | Scandicci – San Donato Tavarnelle |
| 25 Oct | Tau Altopascio – Sasso Marconi Zola |
| 25 Oct | Progresso – Ternana |
| 25 Oct | Mezzolara – Terranuova Traiana |