Ternana vs 
Montevarchi Calcio• Serie D - Girone E, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.83 | 4.80 | 5.1% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.30 | 10.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 3.83 | 4.80 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.71 | 3.67 | 4.55 | 7.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Ternana
2W 4D 4L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against
| 27 Sep | A | Scandicci | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Tau Altopascio | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Mezzolara | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Gavorrano | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Prato | 0-1 | L |
| 3 May | A | Pianese | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Apr | H | Pianese | 1-3 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | Bra | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | Perugia | 2-2 | D |
| 8 Apr | A | Juventus U23 | 1-2 | L |
Montevarchi Calcio
3W 4D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against
| 27 Sep | H | Progresso | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Robur Siena | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Seravezza | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Tau Altopascio | 4-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Lucchese | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Aug | H | Figline | 0-0 | D |
| 3 May | A | Prato | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Apr | H | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | Robur Siena | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Apr | H | Terranuova Traiana | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 4:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Ternana
| 23 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Montevarchi Calcio0-4Ternana |
Serie D - Girone E tableSerie D: Group Eupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone E table, Ternana sit 13th with 5 points from 5 games, while Montevarchi Calcio are 10th with 7 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | +10 | 10 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 | Flaminia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Robur Siena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Mezzolara | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Ternana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Progresso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Grassina | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Rondinella | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 1.74 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.98 | 1.65 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.09 | 1.74 | 5.3% |
| Average | 2.04 | 1.69 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 1.77 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.77 | 5.3% |
| Average | 2.05 | 1.77 | 5.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Ternana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Montevarchi Calcio at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.67 | 3.63 | 4.61, which imply roughly 59.9% for a Ternana win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone E table: Ternana are 13th (5 pts, 5-4 goals), Montevarchi Calcio 10th (7 pts, 8-7).
Over their last five matches, Ternana averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Montevarchi Calcio averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 3.67 | 4.55 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 1.93 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.28 | 3.00 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.05 | 1.77 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.07 | 4.70 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.36 | 2.96 |
| 2.25 | 1.78 | 1.87 |
| 2.5 | 2.04 | 1.69 |
| 3.5 | 3.64 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 7.75 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.87 | 1.33 |
| -0.75 | 1.83 | 1.78 |
| 0 | 1.29 | 3.15 |