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San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara• Serie D - Girone E, Italy

#111.4:1.41-1FT04/100.6:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.061XBX3.421XB23.681XBMargin at best5.0%Books2Markets15Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.943.673.844.8%
Betano1.953.253.4511.0%
Best of all books1.953.673.844.6%
Average1.943.463.657.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Donato TavarnelleMezzolara
Last 10#11Table position#121.40Points per game1.207Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 51.070Attack rating3042Defence rating5854Form rating460H2H rating060Goals model4057Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC

San Donato Tavarnelle

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

27 SepAFlaminia1-2L
20 SepHGavorrano0-2L
16 SepATerranuova Traiana1-1D
13 SepASasso Marconi Zola3-1W
6 SepHSeravezza2-1W
23 AugHRobur Siena1-1D
9 AugASangiovannese1-0W
29 JulAGrosseto2-1W
3 MayHSeravezza1-1D
26 AprAGrosseto2-0W

Mezzolara

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:12 · per match 0.8 for, 1.2 against

27 SepHGrassina0-0D
20 SepAGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1-1D
16 SepHTernana2-1W
12 SepARobur Siena0-3L
6 SepHRondinella0-0D
5 MayHProgresso1-2L
28 AprAForli0-2L
21 AprHSammaurese3-1W
14 AprHAglianese0-0D
7 AprASangiuliano City1-2L

Head to head

No previous meetings between San Donato Tavarnelle and Mezzolara on record.

Serie D - Girone E tableSerie D: Group Eupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone E table, San Donato Tavarnelle sit 11th with 7 points from 5 games, while Mezzolara are 12th with 6 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Prato64209:4+514
2Gavorrano54108:2+613
3Seravezza531113:3+1010
4Lucchese531110:8+210
5Flaminia53118:8010
6Tau Altopascio53029:12-39
7Scandicci52218:5+38
8Terranuova Traiana622211:9+28
9Robur Siena521211:7+47
10Montevarchi Calcio52128:7+17
11San Donato Tavarnelle52127:707
12Mezzolara51313:5-26
13Ternana51225:4+15
14Sasso Marconi Zola51136:9-34
15Progresso51043:13-103
16Grassina50233:7-42
17Rondinella50233:9-62
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano50143:9-61

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%1.97X29%3.09226%3.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 01:114 Oct 10:011 1.97X 3.092 3.49
11.94 → 1.97 +1.5%X3.46 → 3.09 -10.7%23.65 → 3.49 -4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.051.775.3%
Betano1.931.7010.6%
Best of all books2.051.775.3%
Average1.991.737.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.941.865.3%
Best of all books1.941.865.3%
Average1.941.865.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Donato Tavarnelle 45%Draw 45%Mezzolara 10%

The statistical model rated San Donato Tavarnelle at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mezzolara at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.09 | 3.51, which imply roughly 50.8% for a San Donato Tavarnelle win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone E table: San Donato Tavarnelle are 11th (7 pts, 7-7 goals), Mezzolara 12th (6 pts, 3-5).

Over their last five matches, San Donato Tavarnelle averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Mezzolara averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : San Donato Tavarnelle or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.943.463.65

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.701.28

Draw no bet

12
1.422.45

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.86

1st half

1X2
2.572.054.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.353.03
2.251.721.91
2.51.991.74
3.53.521.26
4.57.421.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.451.25
-0.51.871.75
01.422.52

Latest Serie D - Girone E results

4 OctSasso Marconi Zola 0-2 Scandicci
4 OctRobur Siena 2-1 Seravezza
4 OctFlaminia 1-1 Gavorrano
4 OctTernana 4-1 Montevarchi Calcio
3 OctTerranuova Traiana 1-1 Prato
27 SepMontevarchi Calcio 2-0 Progresso