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Progresso vs Ternana• Serie D - Girone E, Italy

#170.2:1.813:3025/102.2:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.951XBX3.851XB21.52BTNMargin at best8.6%Books3Markets15Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet5.953.851.519.0%
Betano5.503.701.5211.0%
Dafabet5.603.801.4911.3%
Best of all books5.953.851.528.6%
Average5.683.781.5110.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ProgressoTernana
Last 10#17Table position#70.38Points per game1.500Form pts · last 5110.2Goals for · last 52.21.8Goals against · last 50.88Attack rating9231Defence rating690Form rating1000H2H rating031Goals model6923Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:02 UTC

Progresso

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:19 · per match 0.9 for, 1.9 against

18 OctAGrassina0-1L
11 OctHRobur Siena0-1L
4 OctARondinella1-2L
27 SepAMontevarchi Calcio0-2L
20 SepHSeravezza0-3L
16 SepALucchese0-5L
12 SepHScandicci2-1W
6 SepATau Altopascio1-2L
3 MayHSasso Marconi Zola4-1W
26 AprASant'Angelo1-1D

Ternana

4W 4D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

21 OctHRecanatese5-1W
18 OctHRobur Siena2-1W
11 OctALucchese2-2D
4 OctHMontevarchi Calcio4-1W
27 SepAScandicci0-0D
20 SepHTau Altopascio3-0W
16 SepAMezzolara1-2L
12 SepHGavorrano1-1D
6 SepAPrato0-1L
3 MayAPianese1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Progresso and Ternana on record.

Serie D - Girone E tableSerie D: Group Eupdated 23 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone E table, Progresso sit 17th with 3 points from 8 games, while Ternana are 7th with 12 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Prato853012:5+718
2Gavorrano844011:5+616
3Seravezza842215:5+1014
4Lucchese842218:15+314
5Robur Siena841315:10+513
6Tau Altopascio841311:14-313
7Ternana833213:8+512
8Scandicci833213:9+412
9Terranuova Traiana833213:10+312
10Flaminia833210:11-112
11San Donato Tavarnelle83239:10-111
12Montevarchi Calcio831412:12010
13Mezzolara81617:9-29
14Rondinella82336:10-49
15Sasso Marconi Zola822410:13-38
16Grassina81348:14-66
17Progresso81074:17-133
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano80266:16-102

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.68X24%3.78260%1.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.871.838.1%
Betano1.831.8010.2%
Best of all books1.871.838.1%
Average1.851.819.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.061.765.4%
Best of all books2.061.765.4%
Average2.061.765.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Progresso 0%Draw 50%Ternana 50%

The statistical model rates Progresso at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Ternana at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.68 | 3.78 | 1.51, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone E table: Progresso are 17th (3 pts, 4-17 goals), Ternana 7th (12 pts, 13-8).

Over their last five matches, Progresso averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Ternana averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ternana.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.683.781.51

Double chance

1XX212
2.221.131.22

Draw no bet

12
3.901.19

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.061.76

1st half

1X2
5.602.152.07

2nd half

1X2
5.102.571.83

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 110.016.523.0
HT X11.35.403.90
HT 255.016.02.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.273.30
2.51.851.82
3.53.001.30

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
04.101.18
+11.781.82
+1.51.482.35

Next Serie D - Girone E matches

25 OctSeravezza – Gavorrano
25 OctPrato – Flaminia
25 OctScandicci – San Donato Tavarnelle
25 OctTau Altopascio – Sasso Marconi Zola

All Serie D - Girone E fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone E results

4 OctSasso Marconi Zola 0-2 Scandicci
4 OctRobur Siena 2-1 Seravezza
4 OctFlaminia 1-1 Gavorrano
4 OctSan Donato Tavarnelle 1-1 Mezzolara
4 OctTernana 4-1 Montevarchi Calcio
3 OctTerranuova Traiana 1-1 Prato