Nissa vs CastrumFavara• Serie D - Girone I, Italy

#110.6:1.413:30Today1.0:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95BTNX3.551XB23.391XBMargin at best8.9%Books3Markets15Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.94	3.55	3.39	9.2%
Betano	1.95	3.40	3.30	11.0%
Dafabet	1.91	3.50	3.30	11.2%
Best of all books	1.95	3.55	3.39	8.9%
Average	1.93	3.48	3.33	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NissaCastrumFavara

Last 10#11Table position#131.00Points per game0.892Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6353Defence rating4733Form rating6780H2H rating2081Goals model1958Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Nissa

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	A	Sambiase	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Reggina	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Ragusa	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Igea Virtus	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Vibonese	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Calcio Avola	2-4	L
16 Sep	H	Trapani 1905	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Licata	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Vigor Lamezia	3-1	W
17 May	H	Reggina	0-0	D

CastrumFavara

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

28 Oct	H	Reggina	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Trapani 1905	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Igea Virtus	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Vigor Lamezia	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Calcio Avola	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Modica	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Licata	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Gela	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Milazzo	3-0	W
3 May	H	Enna	2-2	D

Head to head

2Nissa wins

2draws

0CastrumFavara wins

4 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Nissa

25 Jan 2026Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	CastrumFavara0-1Nissa
24 Sep 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Nissa3-2CastrumFavara
16 Feb 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Nissa0-0CastrumFavara
20 Oct 2024Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	CastrumFavara2-2Nissa

Serie D - Girone I tableSerie D: Group Iupdated 1 Nov 06:20 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone I table, Nissa sit 11th with 9 points from 9 games, while CastrumFavara are 13th with 8 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Reggina	9	6	2	1	20:5	+15	20
2	Sambiase	9	6	2	1	13:6	+7	20
3	Vibonese	9	5	3	1	20:8	+12	18
4	Licata	9	5	2	2	12:14	-2	17
5	Calcio Avola	9	5	1	3	12:12	0	16
6	Milazzo	9	5	1	3	10:10	0	16
7	Digiesse PraiaTortora	9	4	3	2	15:8	+7	15
8	Igea Virtus	9	4	3	2	21:17	+4	15
9	AC Palermo	8	3	2	3	11:10	+1	11
10	Gela	9	2	4	3	10:8	+2	9
11	Nissa	9	2	3	4	11:13	-2	9
12	Siracusa	9	4	3	2	13:8	+5	8
13	CastrumFavara	9	2	2	5	10:12	-2	8
14	Vigor Lamezia	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8
15	Modica	8	2	1	5	7:11	-4	7
16	Trapani 1905	9	3	1	5	5:12	-7	5
17	Ragusa	9	0	3	6	7:16	-9	3
18	Enna	9	0	2	7	2:22	-20	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.93X26%3.48227%3.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.83	1.83	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.95	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nissa 45%Draw 45%CastrumFavara 10%

The statistical model rates Nissa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and CastrumFavara at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 3.48 | 3.33, which imply roughly 51.8% for a Nissa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone I table: Nissa are 11th (9 pts, 11-13 goals), CastrumFavara 13th (8 pts, 10-12).

Over their last five matches, Nissa averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; CastrumFavara averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nissa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.93	3.48	3.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.70	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.55	2.12	3.80

2nd half

1	X	2
2.27	2.50	3.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.05	14.5	37.0
HT X	4.80	5.20	7.40
HT 2	24.0	14.0	5.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.27	3.30
2.5	1.84	1.84
3.5	3.00	1.30

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.40	1.26
-0.5	1.87	1.75
0	1.44	2.46

Next Serie D - Girone I matches

1 Nov	Vibonese – Milazzo
1 Nov	Igea Virtus – Sambiase

All Serie D - Girone I fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone I results

28 Oct	CastrumFavara 2-2 Reggina
25 Oct	Siracusa 1-1 Trapani 1905
25 Oct	Ragusa 1-3 Vibonese
25 Oct	Sambiase 1-0 Nissa
4 Oct	Licata 2-1 Sambiase
4 Oct	Vigor Lamezia 2-0 CastrumFavara