CastrumFavara vs Reggina• Serie D - Girone I, Italy

#140.6:1.413:30Today1.6:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.481XBX4.33B36521.47BTNMargin at best6.6%Books8Markets48Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	6.20	4.00	1.45	10.1%
1xBet	6.48	3.92	1.43	10.9%
Betano	5.80	3.85	1.47	11.2%
Bet365	8.50	4.33	1.30	11.8%
Marathonbet	6.15	3.92	1.42	12.2%
Pinnacle	5.59	4.08	1.42	12.8%
William Hill	6.00	3.70	1.44	13.1%
BetVictor	5.00	3.50	1.40	20.0%
Best of all books	6.48	4.33	1.47	6.6%
Average	6.21	3.91	1.42	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CastrumFavaraReggina

Last 10#14Table position#20.88Points per game2.383Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 50.627Attack rating7330Defence rating7023Form rating7725H2H rating7525Goals model7527Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

CastrumFavara

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	A	Trapani 1905	0-1	L
11 Oct	H	Igea Virtus	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Vigor Lamezia	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Calcio Avola	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Modica	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Licata	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Gela	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Milazzo	3-0	W
3 May	H	Enna	2-2	D
26 Apr	A	Paternò	3-1	W

Reggina

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:6 · per match 2.0 for, 0.6 against

18 Oct	A	Nissa	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Vibonese	1-1	D
7 Oct	A	Igea Virtus	2-3	L
4 Oct	A	Trapani 1905	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Igea Virtus	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Vigor Lamezia	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Calcio Avola	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Modica	1-0	W
6 Sep	H	Licata	5-0	W
17 May	A	Nissa	0-0	D

Head to head

1CastrumFavara wins

0draws

3Reggina wins

4 meetings · goals 4:9 · last 4: 1W 0D 3L for CastrumFavara

4 Jan 2026Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Reggina2-0CastrumFavara
7 Sep 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	CastrumFavara2-1Reggina
27 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Reggina3-1CastrumFavara
15 Jan 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	CastrumFavara1-3Reggina

Serie D - Girone I tableSerie D: Group Iupdated 27 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone I table, CastrumFavara sit 14th with 7 points from 8 games, while Reggina are 2nd with 19 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sambiase	9	6	2	1	13:6	+7	20
2	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18:3	+15	19
3	Vibonese	9	5	3	1	20:8	+12	18
4	Licata	9	5	2	2	12:14	-2	17
5	Calcio Avola	9	5	1	3	12:12	0	16
6	Milazzo	9	5	1	3	10:10	0	16
7	Digiesse PraiaTortora	9	4	3	2	15:8	+7	15
8	Igea Virtus	9	4	3	2	21:17	+4	15
9	AC Palermo	8	3	2	3	11:10	+1	11
10	Gela	9	2	4	3	10:8	+2	9
11	Nissa	9	2	3	4	11:13	-2	9
12	Siracusa	9	4	3	2	13:8	+5	8
13	Vigor Lamezia	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8
14	CastrumFavara	8	2	1	5	8:10	-2	7
15	Modica	8	2	1	5	7:11	-4	7
16	Trapani 1905	9	3	1	5	5:12	-7	5
17	Ragusa	9	0	3	6	7:16	-9	3
18	Enna	9	0	2	7	2:22	-20	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg114%6.22X23%3.91263%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.81 → 6.22 -8.7%X4.07 → 3.91 -3.9%21.40 → 1.42 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.77	1.95	7.8%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Betano	1.85	1.80	9.6%
BetVictor	1.61	1.73	19.9%
Best of all books	1.85	2.05	2.8%
Average	1.76	1.88	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
1xBet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
BetVictor	1.70	1.65	19.4%
Best of all books	1.90	1.83	7.3%
Average	1.84	1.75	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CastrumFavara 0%Draw 50%Reggina 50%

The statistical model rates CastrumFavara at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Reggina at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.22 | 3.91 | 1.42, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone I table: CastrumFavara are 14th (7 pts, 8-10 goals), Reggina 2nd (19 pts, 18-3).

Over their last five matches, CastrumFavara averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Reggina averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Reggina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.22	3.91	1.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.49	1.08	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
4.63	1.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
6.32	2.22	1.92

2nd half

1	X	2
5.54	2.59	1.80

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	11.7	19.7	21.3
HT X	13.6	6.00	3.98
HT 2	55.3	19.0	2.15

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.51	11.5	1.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	7.18
1.5	1.21	3.27
2.5	1.76	1.88
3.5	2.80	1.28
4.5	4.63	1.09
5.5	11.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.28	3.12
2	1.35	2.63
2.25	1.54	2.12
2.75	1.93	1.67
3	2.25	1.47
3.25	2.65	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.38	1.38
+0.75	2.14	1.53
+1	1.86	1.73
+1.25	1.67	1.98
+1.5	1.58	2.16
+1.75	1.38	2.55

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	4.75	1.12
+0.25	3.12	1.28
+2	1.24	3.22
+2.25	1.16	4.10
+2.5	1.13	4.50
+3	1.01	8.70
+3.5	1.02	9.35

Latest Serie D - Girone I results

25 Oct	Siracusa 1-1 Trapani 1905
25 Oct	Ragusa 1-3 Vibonese
25 Oct	Sambiase 1-0 Nissa
4 Oct	Licata 2-1 Sambiase
4 Oct	Vigor Lamezia 2-0 CastrumFavara
4 Oct	Igea Virtus 1-1 Nissa