Sambiase vs Nissa• Serie D - Girone I, Italy

#21.6:0.813:30Today1.0:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.221XBX3.20B36523.05BTNMargin at best9.1%Books6Markets39Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.05	3.30	3.20	10.3%
1xBet	2.22	3.12	2.95	11.0%
Betano	2.12	3.20	3.05	11.2%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.00	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.20	3.12	2.88	12.2%
BetVictor	2.05	2.80	2.80	20.2%
Best of all books	2.22	3.30	3.20	6.6%
Average	2.12	3.12	2.98	12.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SambiaseNissa

Last 10#2Table position#92.13Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 52.062Attack rating3871Defence rating2983Form rating1733H2H rating6777Goals model2362Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Sambiase

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	Calcio Avola	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Trapani 1905	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Licata	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Vigor Lamezia	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Milazzo	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Modica	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Digiesse PraiaTortora	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Gela	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	Salernitana	1-2	L
3 May	A	Reggina	2-4	L

Nissa

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Reggina	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Ragusa	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Igea Virtus	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Vibonese	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Calcio Avola	2-4	L
16 Sep	H	Trapani 1905	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Licata	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Vigor Lamezia	3-1	W
17 May	H	Reggina	0-0	D
10 May	H	Gelbison	4-0	W

Head to head

0Sambiase wins

3draws

1Nissa wins

4 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 4: 0W 3D 1L for Sambiase

26 Apr 2026Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Sambiase1-1Nissa
14 Dec 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Nissa0-0Sambiase
26 Jan 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Nissa2-1Sambiase
29 Sep 2024Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Sambiase1-1Nissa

Serie D - Girone I tableSerie D: Group Iupdated 25 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone I table, Sambiase sit 2nd with 17 points from 8 games, while Nissa are 9th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18:3	+15	19
2	Sambiase	8	5	2	1	12:6	+6	17
3	Licata	8	5	2	1	12:10	+2	17
4	Calcio Avola	8	5	1	2	12:11	+1	16
5	Vibonese	8	4	3	1	17:7	+10	15
6	Igea Virtus	8	4	2	2	19:15	+4	14
7	Milazzo	8	4	1	3	9:10	-1	13
8	Digiesse PraiaTortora	8	3	3	2	14:8	+6	12
9	Nissa	8	2	3	3	11:12	-1	9
10	AC Palermo	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
11	Vigor Lamezia	8	2	2	4	10:16	-6	8
12	Siracusa	8	4	2	2	12:7	+5	7
13	CastrumFavara	8	2	1	5	8:10	-2	7
14	Modica	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Gela	8	1	4	3	6:8	-2	6
16	Trapani 1905	8	3	0	5	4:11	-7	4
17	Ragusa	8	0	3	5	6:13	-7	3
18	Enna	8	0	1	7	0:20	-20	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.14X29%3.09230%2.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.68 → 2.14 -20.1%X3.08 → 3.09 +0.3%22.47 → 2.94 +19.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.67	8.9%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
BetVictor	1.81	1.54	20.2%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.00	1.65	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
BetVictor	1.65	1.70	19.4%
Best of all books	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Average	1.75	1.80	12.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sambiase 45%Draw 45%Nissa 10%

The statistical model rates Sambiase at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nissa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.14 | 3.09 | 2.94, which imply roughly 46.7% for a Sambiase win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone I table: Sambiase are 2nd (17 pts, 12-6 goals), Nissa 9th (9 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Sambiase averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nissa averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sambiase or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.12	3.12	2.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.54	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.52	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.01	3.64

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.32	3.36

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.58	15.7	33.7
HT X	5.50	4.77	6.83
HT 2	27.3	15.8	4.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	7.90	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	4.50
1.5	1.30	2.75
2.5	2.00	1.65
3.5	3.35	1.20
4.5	5.24	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.39	2.42
2	1.51	2.12
2.25	1.74	1.79
2.75	2.24	1.47
3	2.88	1.32
3.25	3.20	1.26
4	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.47	1.37
-0.5	1.97	1.55
-0.25	1.84	1.77
0	1.62	2.05
+0.25	1.40	2.38
+0.5	1.32	2.27

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	3.98	1.17
-1	3.50	1.22
+0.75	1.22	3.50
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.5	1.06	6.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.96	1.82

Next Serie D - Girone I matches

25 Oct	Siracusa – Trapani 1905
25 Oct	Ragusa – Vibonese

All Serie D - Girone I fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone I results

4 Oct	Licata 2-1 Sambiase
4 Oct	Vigor Lamezia 2-0 CastrumFavara
4 Oct	Igea Virtus 1-1 Nissa
4 Oct	Milazzo 1-0 Siracusa
27 Sep	Sambiase 4-1 Vigor Lamezia
27 Sep	Nissa 0-2 Vibonese