Vigor Lamezia vs 
CastrumFavara• Serie D - Girone I, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.53 | 2.81 | 5.2% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.15 | 2.80 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.32 | 3.12 | 2.70 | 12.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 2.88 | 2.50 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.42 | 3.53 | 2.81 | 5.2% |
| Average | 2.32 | 3.16 | 2.70 | 11.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 12:41 UTC
Vigor Lamezia
1W 5D 4L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against
| 27 Sep | A | Sambiase | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Reggina | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Ragusa | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Igea Virtus | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Nissa | 1-3 | L |
| 3 May | H | Igea Virtus | 4-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Sancataldese | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Apr | H | Messina | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Apr | A | Milazzo | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Apr | H | Savoia | 1-2 | L |
CastrumFavara
4W 3D 3L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against
| 27 Sep | H | Calcio Avola | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Modica | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Licata | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Gela | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Milazzo | 3-0 | W |
| 3 May | H | Enna | 2-2 | D |
| 26 Apr | A | Paternò | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Apr | H | Gela | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Apr | A | AC Palermo | 3-0 | W |
| 2 Apr | H | Acireale | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Vigor Lamezia
| 15 Mar 2026Serie D - Girone I | Serie D - Girone I | Vigor Lamezia1-2CastrumFavara |
| 2 Nov 2025Serie D - Girone I | Serie D - Girone I | CastrumFavara1-1Vigor Lamezia |
Serie D - Girone I tableSerie D: Group Iupdated 22 Oct 00:04 UTC
In the Serie D - Girone I table, Vigor Lamezia sit 11th with 8 points from 8 games, while CastrumFavara are 13th with 7 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Licata | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 | Nissa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani 1905 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0:20 | -20 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 1.78 | 5.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.91 | 1.70 | 11.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.76 | 1.58 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.78 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.95 | 1.70 | 10.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 1.90 | 9.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 1.75 | 19.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.70 | 1.86 | 12.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Vigor Lamezia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CastrumFavara at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.31 | 3.34, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie D - Girone I table: Vigor Lamezia are 11th (8 pts, 10-16 goals), CastrumFavara 13th (7 pts, 8-10).
Over their last five matches, Vigor Lamezia averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; CastrumFavara averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CastrumFavara.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 3.16 | 2.70 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 1.47 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.66 | 1.91 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.70 | 1.86 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 2.04 | 3.37 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | 9.10 | 2.07 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 4.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 2.87 |
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 3.27 | 1.22 |
| 4.5 | 5.77 | 1.04 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.16 | 4.42 |
| 1.75 | 1.35 | 2.54 |
| 2 | 1.45 | 2.17 |
| 2.25 | 1.72 | 1.89 |
| 2.75 | 2.16 | 1.49 |
| 3 | 2.83 | 1.33 |
| 3.25 | 3.21 | 1.29 |
| 4 | 6.35 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.83 | 1.33 |
| -0.5 | 2.06 | 1.40 |
| -0.25 | 1.94 | 1.64 |
| 0 | 1.70 | 1.93 |
| +0.25 | 1.46 | 2.21 |
| +0.5 | 1.31 | 2.29 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| -1.25 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| -1 | 3.98 | 1.17 |
| +0.75 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| +1 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 6.10 |
Next Serie D - Girone I matches
| 25 Oct | Sambiase – Nissa |
Latest Serie D - Girone I results
| 4 Oct | Licata 2-1 Sambiase |
| 4 Oct | Igea Virtus 1-1 Nissa |
| 4 Oct | Milazzo 1-0 Siracusa |
| 27 Sep | Sambiase 4-1 Vigor Lamezia |
| 27 Sep | Nissa 0-2 Vibonese |
| 27 Sep | AC Palermo 3-0 Milazzo |