Igea Virtus vs Nissa• Serie D - Girone I, Italy

#62.6:2.01-1FT04/101.6:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40WHX3.501XB22.95BTNMargin at best4.1%Books1Markets8Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.15	3.30	2.92	11.1%
Best of all books	2.15	3.30	2.92	11.1%
Average	2.15	3.30	2.92	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Igea VirtusNissa

Last 10#6Table position#91.75Points per game1.138Form pts · last 522.6Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.662Attack rating3844Defence rating5659Form rating4150H2H rating5064Goals model3653Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 11:31 UTC

Igea Virtus

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

4 Oct	H	Nissa	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Reggina	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Trapani 1905	3-1	W
16 Sep	H	Vibonese	4-3	W
12 Sep	A	Vigor Lamezia	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Calcio Avola	4-2	W
3 May	A	Vigor Lamezia	1-4	L
26 Apr	H	Messina	1-1	D
22 Apr	H	Vibonese	2-1	W
19 Apr	A	Savoia	0-3	L

Nissa

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Reggina	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Ragusa	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Igea Virtus	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Vibonese	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Calcio Avola	2-4	L
16 Sep	H	Trapani 1905	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Licata	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Vigor Lamezia	3-1	W
17 May	H	Reggina	0-0	D
10 May	H	Gelbison	4-0	W

Head to head

1Igea Virtus wins

2draws

1Nissa wins

4 meetings · goals 4:6 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Igea Virtus

1 Mar 2026Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Nissa1-1Igea Virtus
26 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Igea Virtus3-2Nissa
2 Mar 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Nissa3-0Igea Virtus
27 Oct 2024Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Igea Virtus0-0Nissa

Serie D - Girone I tableSerie D: Group Iupdated 24 Oct 00:12 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone I table, Igea Virtus sit 6th with 14 points from 8 games, while Nissa are 9th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18:3	+15	19
2	Sambiase	8	5	2	1	12:6	+6	17
3	Licata	8	5	2	1	12:10	+2	17
4	Calcio Avola	8	5	1	2	12:11	+1	16
5	Vibonese	8	4	3	1	17:7	+10	15
6	Igea Virtus	8	4	2	2	19:15	+4	14
7	Milazzo	8	4	1	3	9:10	-1	13
8	Digiesse PraiaTortora	8	3	3	2	14:8	+6	12
9	Nissa	8	2	3	3	11:12	-1	9
10	AC Palermo	7	2	2	3	10:10	0	8
11	Vigor Lamezia	8	2	2	4	10:16	-6	8
12	Siracusa	8	4	2	2	12:7	+5	7
13	CastrumFavara	8	2	1	5	8:10	-2	7
14	Modica	7	2	1	4	7:10	-3	7
15	Gela	8	1	4	3	6:8	-2	6
16	Trapani 1905	8	3	0	5	4:11	-7	4
17	Ragusa	8	0	3	5	6:13	-7	3
18	Enna	8	0	1	7	0:20	-20	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.23X30%3.01230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.15 → 2.32 +7.9%X3.30 → 2.97 -10.0%22.92 → 2.85 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.72	1.90	10.8%
Best of all books	1.72	1.90	10.8%
Average	1.72	1.90	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Igea Virtus 45%Draw 45%Nissa 10%

The statistical model rated Igea Virtus at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nissa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.01 | 2.99, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Igea Virtus win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone I table: Igea Virtus are 6th (14 pts, 19-15 goals), Nissa 9th (9 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Igea Virtus averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Nissa averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Igea Virtus and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.30	2.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.57	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.72	2.10	3.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.72	1.90
2.75	1.90	1.75

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	1.82	1.78

Next Serie D - Girone I matches

25 Oct	Sambiase – Nissa
25 Oct	Siracusa – Trapani 1905
25 Oct	Ragusa – Vibonese

All Serie D - Girone I fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone I results

4 Oct	Licata 2-1 Sambiase
4 Oct	Vigor Lamezia 2-0 CastrumFavara
4 Oct	Milazzo 1-0 Siracusa
27 Sep	Sambiase 4-1 Vigor Lamezia
27 Sep	Nissa 0-2 Vibonese
27 Sep	AC Palermo 3-0 Milazzo