AC Palermo vs Milazzo• Serie D - Girone I, Italy

#81.5:2.03-0FT27/091.0:1.3#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27BTNX3.25B36523.161XBMargin at best6.5%Books2Markets13Rating50 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.30	3.05	3.04	9.2%
Betano	2.27	3.05	2.92	11.1%
Best of all books	2.30	3.05	3.04	9.2%
Average	2.29	3.05	2.98	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AC PalermoMilazzo

Last 10#8Table position#101.40Points per game1.204Form pts · last 561.5Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.360Attack rating4038Defence rating6240Form rating6033H2H rating6789Goals model1150Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Sep 10:21 UTC

AC Palermo

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

20 Sep	A	Vibonese	0-3	L
16 Sep	H	Digiesse PraiaTortora	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Enna	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Siracusa	2-4	L
10 May	A	Reggina	0-1	L
3 May	A	Ragusa	2-1	W
26 Apr	H	Savoia	1-3	L
19 Apr	A	Vibonese	3-2	W
12 Apr	H	CastrumFavara	0-3	L
2 Apr	A	Gelbison	1-2	L

Milazzo

2W 2D 6L · goals 5:12 · per match 0.5 for, 1.2 against

27 Sep	A	AC Palermo	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Sambiase	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Enna	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Ragusa	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	CastrumFavara	0-3	L
3 May	A	Messina	0-1	L
26 Apr	H	Reggina	1-2	L
19 Apr	H	Sambiase	0-1	L
15 Apr	H	Vigor Lamezia	0-0	D
12 Apr	A	Paternò	0-0	D

Head to head

1AC Palermo wins

0draws

2Milazzo wins

3 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 3: 1W 0D 2L for AC Palermo

8 Feb 2026Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	AC Palermo1-0Milazzo
5 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone I	Serie D - Girone I	Milazzo2-1AC Palermo
24 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Milazzo3-1AC Palermo

Serie D - Girone I tableSerie D: Group Iupdated 4 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone I table, AC Palermo sit 8th with 7 points from 5 games, while Milazzo are 10th with 6 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Reggina	5	5	0	0	15:0	+15	15
2	Sambiase	5	4	1	0	9:3	+6	13
3	Vibonese	5	3	1	1	13:5	+8	10
4	Igea Virtus	5	3	1	1	13:10	+3	10
5	Digiesse PraiaTortora	5	2	3	0	8:2	+6	9
6	Calcio Avola	5	3	0	2	8:10	-2	9
7	Licata	5	2	2	1	6:7	-1	8
8	AC Palermo	5	2	1	2	9:8	+1	7
9	Nissa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
10	Milazzo	5	2	0	3	4:8	-4	6
11	Siracusa	5	3	2	0	8:4	+4	4
12	CastrumFavara	5	1	1	3	5:5	0	4
13	Modica	5	1	1	3	3:5	-2	4
14	Gela	5	1	1	3	4:6	-2	3
15	Ragusa	5	0	2	3	4:8	-4	2
16	Vigor Lamezia	5	0	2	3	5:13	-8	2
17	Enna	5	0	1	4	0:12	-12	1
18	Trapani 1905	5	1	0	4	2:10	-8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.12X28%3.12230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.29 → 2.14 -6.6%X3.05 → 3.12 +2.3%22.98 → 3.02 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.74	8.2%
Betano	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	1.97	1.74	8.2%
Average	1.95	1.73	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Best of all books	1.80	2.01	5.3%
Average	1.80	2.01	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AC Palermo 10%Draw 45%Milazzo 45%

The statistical model rated AC Palermo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Milazzo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.12 | 2.99, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone I table: AC Palermo are 8th (7 pts, 9-8 goals), Milazzo 10th (6 pts, 4-8).

Over their last five matches, AC Palermo averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Milazzo averaged 1 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Milazzo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.05	2.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.50	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.62	2.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.98	3.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.29	3.15
2.5	1.95	1.73
3.5	3.25	1.28

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.25	1.17
-0.25	1.90	1.72
0	1.62	2.11

Latest Serie D - Girone I results

4 Oct	Licata 2-1 Sambiase
4 Oct	Vigor Lamezia 2-0 CastrumFavara
4 Oct	Igea Virtus 1-1 Nissa
4 Oct	Milazzo 1-0 Siracusa
27 Sep	Sambiase 4-1 Vigor Lamezia
27 Sep	Nissa 0-2 Vibonese