Ligorna vs Bra• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#32.4:1.00-1LiveToday0.8:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62B365X3.72MAR25.371XBMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets48Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 07:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.53	3.72	5.37	10.9%
Bet365	1.62	3.60	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.72	5.25	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.52	3.67	5.16	12.4%
William Hill	1.57	3.40	5.00	13.1%
BetVictor	1.45	3.30	4.80	20.1%
Best of all books	1.62	3.72	5.37	7.2%
Average	1.53	3.57	5.01	13.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LigornaBra

Last 10#3Table position#151.86Points per game0.8612Form pts · last 552.4Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.275Attack rating2555Defence rating4571Form rating2929H2H rating7180Goals model2056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Ligorna

7W 1D 2L · goals 30:14 · per match 3.0 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Gozzano	4-0	W
4 Oct	H	Saluzzo	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Chisola	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Celle Varazze	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Derthona	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	Biellese	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Sanremese	2-2	D
17 May	H	Città di Varese	5-3	W
10 May	H	Chisola	1-0	W
3 May	H	NovaRomentin	9-1	W

Bra

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Saluzzo	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Celle Varazze	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Sanremese	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Borgosesia	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Biellese	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Lascaris	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Fezzanese	1-1	D
16 May	A	Torres	1-2	L
9 May	H	Torres	0-1	L
26 Apr	A	Juventus U23	2-2	D

Head to head

2Ligorna wins

3draws

6Bra wins

11 meetings · goals 13:22 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Ligorna

6 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Bra2-0Ligorna
24 Nov 2024Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna0-1Bra
17 Jan 2024Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna0-0Bra
20 Sep 2023Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Bra1-2Ligorna
16 Apr 2023Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Bra4-1Ligorna
7 Dec 2022Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Bra2-0Ligorna
3 Dec 2022Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna1-1Bra
30 Mar 2022Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Bra3-2Ligorna
14 Nov 2021Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna3-3Bra
2 Feb 2020Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna2-5Bra

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Ligorna sit 3rd with 13 points from 7 games, while Bra are 15th with 6 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	7	6	0	1	14:8	+6	18
2	Biellese	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
3	Ligorna	7	4	1	2	15:10	+5	13
4	Millesimo	7	4	0	3	11:6	+5	12
5	Chisola	7	3	2	2	13:9	+4	11
6	Imperia	7	3	2	2	9:7	+2	11
7	Lascaris	7	3	2	2	5:7	-2	11
8	Derthona	7	3	2	2	9:10	-1	11
9	Saluzzo	7	2	4	1	10:7	+3	10
10	Asti	7	3	1	3	8:8	0	10
11	Gozzano	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
12	Sanremese	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
13	Sestri Levante	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
14	Fezzanese	7	2	1	4	7:9	-2	7
15	Bra	7	1	3	3	5:8	-3	6
16	Borgosesia	7	1	3	3	5:10	-5	6
17	Valenzana	7	1	2	4	8:11	-3	5
18	Celle Varazze	7	0	1	6	2:14	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.53X25%3.57218%5.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.59 → 1.53 -3.8%X3.48 → 3.57 +2.6%24.53 → 5.01 +10.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.81	7.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
BetVictor	1.69	1.64	20.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.78	10.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.91	1.77	8.9%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.74	9.8%
BetVictor	1.73	1.62	19.5%
Best of all books	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Average	1.85	1.73	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ligorna 45%Draw 45%Bra 10%

The statistical model rates Ligorna at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bra at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 3.57 | 5.01, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Ligorna win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Ligorna are 3rd (13 pts, 15-10 goals), Bra 15th (6 pts, 5-8).

Over their last five matches, Ligorna averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bra averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Ligorna.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	3.57	5.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.17	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	3.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.16	5.28

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.49	5.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	18.0	48.0
HT X	4.40	5.60	10.5
HT 2	22.0	19.0	8.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	9.10	2.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	6.68
1.5	1.25	3.01
2.5	1.86	1.78
3.5	2.97	1.25
4.5	5.15	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.60
1.75	1.33	2.83
2	1.41	2.40
2.25	1.63	1.99
2.75	2.05	1.57
3	2.44	1.40
3.25	2.85	1.33
3.75	3.86	1.18
4	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.45	1.40
-1.25	2.17	1.52
-1	1.89	1.71
-0.75	1.68	1.96
-0.5	1.46	2.19
-0.25	1.34	2.64

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.10	1.02
-3	9.00	1.01
-2.5	4.85	1.11
-2	4.10	1.16
-1.75	3.06	1.28
0	1.17	3.94
+0.25	1.14	4.45
+1.5	1.02	9.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.73	2.00
9	1.98	1.82

Next Serie D - Girone A matches

18 Oct

Biellese – Valenzana

All Serie D - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone A results

11 Oct	Bra 1-1 Saluzzo
11 Oct	Chisola 4-2 Derthona
11 Oct	Asti 0-1 Lascaris
11 Oct	Imperia 2-1 Biellese
11 Oct	Millesimo 3-0 Borgosesia
11 Oct	Gozzano 0-4 Ligorna