Gozzano vs Ligorna• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#111.0:1.40-4FT11/101.8:1.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50B365X3.35DAF22.00WHMargin at best8.4%Books8Markets38Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 11:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.50	3.35	1.94	10.0%
Betano	3.50	3.25	1.95	10.6%
1xBet	3.41	3.30	1.95	10.9%
Bet365	3.50	3.30	1.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	3.32	3.30	1.93	12.2%
Pinnacle	3.31	3.25	1.92	13.1%
William Hill	3.30	3.00	2.00	13.6%
BetVictor	3.13	3.00	1.83	19.9%
Best of all books	3.50	3.35	2.00	8.4%
Average	3.37	3.22	1.93	12.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GozzanoLigorna

Last 10#11Table position#31.43Points per game1.867Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.636Attack rating6453Defence rating4744Form rating5693H2H rating757Goals model4361Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 09:01 UTC

Gozzano

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	A	Biellese	1-4	L
27 Sep	H	Sanremese	2-1	W
21 Sep	A	Fezzanese	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Borgosesia	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Asti	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Lascaris	0-0	D
12 Aug	A	Pro Patria	1-3	L
10 May	A	Derthona	2-1	W
3 May	H	Cairese	1-0	W
26 Apr	A	Biellese	0-2	L

Ligorna

7W 1D 2L · goals 30:14 · per match 3.0 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Gozzano	4-0	W
4 Oct	H	Saluzzo	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Chisola	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Celle Varazze	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Derthona	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	Biellese	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Sanremese	2-2	D
17 May	H	Città di Varese	5-3	W
10 May	H	Chisola	1-0	W
3 May	H	NovaRomentin	9-1	W

Head to head

6Gozzano wins

2draws

2Ligorna wins

10 meetings · goals 13:4 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Gozzano

1 Mar 2026Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna0-1Gozzano
26 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Gozzano3-0Ligorna
17 Apr 2025Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Gozzano2-0Ligorna
8 Dec 2024Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna1-4Gozzano
13 Jan 2024Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Gozzano1-1Ligorna
16 Sep 2023Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna1-0Gozzano
5 Mar 2023Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna1-0Gozzano
30 Oct 2022Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Gozzano1-0Ligorna
6 Feb 2022Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Ligorna0-0Gozzano
2 Oct 2021Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Gozzano1-0Ligorna

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Gozzano sit 11th with 10 points from 7 games, while Ligorna are 3rd with 13 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	7	6	0	1	14:8	+6	18
2	Biellese	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
3	Ligorna	7	4	1	2	15:10	+5	13
4	Millesimo	7	4	0	3	11:6	+5	12
5	Chisola	7	3	2	2	13:9	+4	11
6	Imperia	7	3	2	2	9:7	+2	11
7	Lascaris	7	3	2	2	5:7	-2	11
8	Derthona	7	3	2	2	9:10	-1	11
9	Saluzzo	7	2	4	1	10:7	+3	10
10	Asti	7	3	1	3	8:8	0	10
11	Gozzano	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
12	Sanremese	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
13	Sestri Levante	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
14	Fezzanese	7	2	1	4	7:9	-2	7
15	Bra	7	1	3	3	5:8	-3	6
16	Borgosesia	7	1	3	3	5:10	-5	6
17	Valenzana	7	1	2	4	8:11	-3	5
18	Celle Varazze	7	0	1	6	2:14	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.37X28%3.22246%1.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.81 → 3.36 +19.6%X3.05 → 3.21 +5.2%22.41 → 1.92 -20.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.89	1.81	8.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
BetVictor	1.69	1.64	20.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.78	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	1.96	8.2%
Average	1.69	1.91	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gozzano 45%Draw 45%Ligorna 10%

The statistical model rated Gozzano at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ligorna at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.37 | 3.22 | 1.93, which imply roughly 29.7% for a Gozzano win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Gozzano are 11th (10 pts, 8-11 goals), Ligorna 3rd (13 pts, 15-10).

Over their last five matches, Gozzano averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ligorna averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Gozzano or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.37	3.22	1.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.69	1.24	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.43	1.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
4.00	2.08	2.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	9.35	1.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	6.68
1.5	1.24	3.06
2.5	1.86	1.78
3.5	2.97	1.25
4.5	5.10	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.75	1.32	2.87
2	1.41	2.41
2.25	1.63	1.99
2.75	2.05	1.57
3	2.43	1.40
3.25	2.86	1.33
3.75	3.92	1.18
4	5.40	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.28	1.31
-0.25	2.72	1.33
0	2.35	1.48
+0.25	1.91	1.72
+0.5	1.74	1.88
+0.75	1.52	2.17

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.50	1.03
-1	6.55	1.05
-0.75	4.25	1.15
+1	1.32	2.72
+1.25	1.26	3.20
+1.5	1.21	3.58
+2	1.04	6.95
+2.5	1.02	7.80

Next Serie D - Girone A matches

18 Oct	Sanremese – Sestri Levante
18 Oct	Derthona – Asti
18 Oct	Fezzanese – Millesimo
18 Oct	Borgosesia – Imperia
18 Oct	Saluzzo – Chisola
18 Oct	Lascaris – Alessandria

All Serie D - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone A results

11 Oct	Bra 1-1 Saluzzo
11 Oct	Chisola 4-2 Derthona
11 Oct	Asti 0-1 Lascaris
11 Oct	Imperia 2-1 Biellese
11 Oct	Millesimo 3-0 Borgosesia
11 Oct	Sestri Levante 1-1 Celle Varazze