Biellese vs Valenzana• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#41.8:1.04-0LiveToday1.2:1.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65B365X3.62PIN25.081XBMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets43Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 14:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.58	3.58	5.08	10.9%
Bet365	1.65	3.50	4.50	11.4%
William Hill	1.62	3.50	4.60	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.60	4.90	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.61	3.62	4.38	12.6%
Best of all books	1.65	3.62	5.08	7.9%
Average	1.60	3.56	4.69	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BielleseValenzana

Last 10#4Table position#172.00Points per game0.7110Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4058Defence rating4267Form rating33100H2H rating068Goals model3263Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Biellese

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Imperia	1-2	L
7 Oct	H	Alessandria	3-2	W
4 Oct	H	Gozzano	4-1	W
27 Sep	A	Sestri Levante	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Chisola	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Bra	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Ligorna	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Saluzzo	1-1	D
9 May	H	Città di Varese	1-2	L
3 May	A	Vado	2-3	L

Valenzana

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

11 Oct	H	Sanremese	1-1	D
7 Oct	H	Saluzzo	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Fezzanese	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Borgosesia	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Asti	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	Lascaris	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Millesimo	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Alessandria	1-2	L
3 May	H	Chisola	2-3	L
26 Apr	A	Cairese	0-4	L

Head to head

3Biellese wins

0draws

0Valenzana wins

3 meetings · goals 5:0 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Biellese

11 Jan 2026Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Valenzana0-2Biellese
14 Sep 2025Serie D - Girone A	Serie D - Girone A	Biellese2-0Valenzana
24 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D	Coppa Italia Serie D	Biellese1-0Valenzana

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 18 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Biellese sit 4th with 14 points from 7 games, while Valenzana are 17th with 5 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	8	7	0	1	16:9	+7	21
2	Millesimo	8	5	0	3	15:6	+9	15
3	Chisola	8	4	2	2	16:9	+7	14
4	Biellese	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
5	Ligorna	7	4	1	2	15:10	+5	13
6	Sanremese	8	3	3	2	11:8	+3	12
7	Derthona	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
8	Lascaris	8	3	2	3	6:9	-3	11
9	Asti	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
10	Imperia	8	3	2	3	11:11	0	11
11	Saluzzo	8	2	4	2	10:10	0	10
12	Gozzano	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
13	Borgosesia	8	2	3	3	9:12	-3	9
14	Sestri Levante	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8
15	Fezzanese	8	2	1	5	7:13	-6	7
16	Bra	7	1	3	3	5:8	-3	6
17	Valenzana	7	1	2	4	8:11	-3	5
18	Celle Varazze	7	0	1	6	2:14	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X25%3.53219%4.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.60 +1.9%X3.56 → 3.56 0.0%25.08 → 4.69 -7.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.79	1.92	7.9%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.92	3.4%
Average	1.83	1.88	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.88	8.7%
Average	1.79	1.86	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Biellese 45%Draw 45%Valenzana 10%

The statistical model rates Biellese at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Valenzana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.53 | 4.75, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Biellese win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Biellese are 4th (14 pts, 13-7 goals), Valenzana 17th (5 pts, 8-11).

Over their last five matches, Biellese averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Valenzana averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Biellese or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.60	3.56	4.69

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.12	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.17	5.36

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.53	4.77

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	17.5	43.0
HT X	4.47	5.60	10.5
HT 2	22.0	18.5	8.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	10.4	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	10.6
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.83	1.88
3.5	2.97	1.30
4.5	6.30	1.07
5.5	11.0	1.04

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.90
1.75	1.28	3.13
2	1.36	2.74
2.25	1.57	2.18
2.75	2.00	1.69
3	2.35	1.48
3.25	2.65	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.66	1.38
-1.25	2.36	1.49
-1	2.06	1.65
-0.75	1.78	1.91
-0.5	1.60	2.16
-0.25	1.40	2.59

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.32	1.09
-2	4.47	1.13
-1.75	3.24	1.25
0	1.21	3.65
+0.25	1.15	4.31
+1.5	1.01	9.90

Latest Serie D - Girone A results

18 Oct	Ligorna 1-2 Bra
18 Oct	Borgosesia 4-2 Imperia
18 Oct	Saluzzo 0-3 Chisola
18 Oct	Lascaris 1-2 Alessandria
18 Oct	Derthona 1-1 Asti
18 Oct	Fezzanese 0-4 Millesimo