Millesimo vs Borgosesia• Serie D - Girone A, Italy

#41.6:1.03-0FT11/101.0:1.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.251XBX3.001XB23.241XBMargin at best8.6%Books3Markets33Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 11:11 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.23	3.00	3.20	9.4%
1xBet	2.17	3.04	3.14	10.8%
Betano	2.20	2.95	3.15	11.1%
Best of all books	2.23	3.04	3.20	9.0%
Average	2.20	3.00	3.16	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MillesimoBorgosesia

Last 10#4Table position#161.71Points per game0.866Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.062Attack rating3850Defence rating5060Form rating400H2H rating071Goals model2961Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

Millesimo

4W 0D 4L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Borgosesia	3-0	W
7 Oct	A	Sanremese	2-5	L
4 Oct	A	Asti	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Lascaris	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Derthona	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Alessandria	4-1	W
12 Sep	H	Valenzana	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Imperia	0-1	L

Borgosesia

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	A	Millesimo	0-3	L
4 Oct	H	Sestri Levante	0-1	L
30 Sep	A	Chisola	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Valenzana	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Bra	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Gozzano	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Saluzzo	0-2	L
5 May	H	Chieri	1-0	W
28 Apr	A	Vado	0-4	L
21 Apr	A	Alcione	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Millesimo and Borgosesia on record.

Serie D - Girone A tableSerie D: Group Aupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Serie D - Girone A table, Millesimo sit 4th with 12 points from 7 games, while Borgosesia are 16th with 6 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alessandria	7	6	0	1	14:8	+6	18
2	Biellese	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
3	Ligorna	7	4	1	2	15:10	+5	13
4	Millesimo	7	4	0	3	11:6	+5	12
5	Chisola	7	3	2	2	13:9	+4	11
6	Imperia	7	3	2	2	9:7	+2	11
7	Lascaris	7	3	2	2	5:7	-2	11
8	Derthona	7	3	2	2	9:10	-1	11
9	Saluzzo	7	2	4	1	10:7	+3	10
10	Asti	7	3	1	3	8:8	0	10
11	Gozzano	7	3	1	3	8:11	-3	10
12	Sanremese	7	2	3	2	10:8	+2	9
13	Sestri Levante	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
14	Fezzanese	7	2	1	4	7:9	-2	7
15	Bra	7	1	3	3	5:8	-3	6
16	Borgosesia	7	1	3	3	5:10	-5	6
17	Valenzana	7	1	2	4	8:11	-3	5
18	Celle Varazze	7	0	1	6	2:14	-12	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.20X30%3.00229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Betano	2.07	1.62	10.0%
Best of all books	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Average	2.09	1.62	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Average	1.84	1.83	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Millesimo 45%Draw 45%Borgosesia 10%

The statistical model rated Millesimo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Borgosesia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.16, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Millesimo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie D - Girone A table: Millesimo are 4th (12 pts, 11-6 goals), Borgosesia 16th (6 pts, 5-10).

Over their last five matches, Millesimo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Borgosesia averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Millesimo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.00	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.54	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	1.93	3.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.33	2.83
2.5	2.09	1.62
3.5	3.88	1.18
4.5	6.85	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.60
1.25	1.19	3.80
1.75	1.42	2.49
2	1.57	2.14
2.25	1.85	1.81
2.75	2.43	1.44
3	3.08	1.28
3.25	3.50	1.22
4	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.50	1.22
-0.75	2.59	1.39
-0.5	2.10	1.57
-0.25	1.86	1.80
0	1.56	2.21
+0.25	1.39	2.59

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.04	1.16
+0.75	1.18	3.92
+1	1.06	6.15
+1.5	1.03	7.30

Next Serie D - Girone A matches

18 Oct	Sanremese – Sestri Levante
18 Oct	Derthona – Asti
18 Oct	Fezzanese – Millesimo
18 Oct	Borgosesia – Imperia
18 Oct	Saluzzo – Chisola
18 Oct	Lascaris – Alessandria

All Serie D - Girone A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie D - Girone A results

11 Oct	Bra 1-1 Saluzzo
11 Oct	Chisola 4-2 Derthona
11 Oct	Asti 0-1 Lascaris
11 Oct	Imperia 2-1 Biellese
11 Oct	Gozzano 0-4 Ligorna
11 Oct	Sestri Levante 1-1 Celle Varazze