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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed• Liga Alef, Israel

1.4:1.217:30Today1.4:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.84DAFX3.70BTN24.66PINMargin at best2.8%Books7Markets44Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.843.653.758.4%
1xBet1.773.553.8210.8%
Betano1.673.704.1511.0%
Betfair1.803.603.6011.1%
Bet3651.833.503.5011.8%
Pinnacle1.583.654.6612.1%
Marathonbet1.583.684.6012.2%
Best of all books1.843.704.662.8%
Average1.723.624.0110.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hapoel Umm al-FahmMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Last 107Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5050Defence rating5046Form rating5480H2H rating2060Goals model4057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

3W 4D 2L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

28 OctAHapoel Ra'anana0-4L
23 OctAMaccabi K. Ata Bialik3-1W
18 OctHTira0-1L
13 OctHFC Shefa-Amr3-2W
9 OctABeitar Nahariya1-1D
1 OctHHapoel Ironi Karmiel0-0D
19 SepHIroni Baka El Garbiya3-3D
9 SepATzeirey Tamra2-1W
5 SepHHapoel Nazareth Illit2-2D

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

2W 1D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

23 OctHIroni Nesher1-2L
19 OctAMaccabi Neve Sha'anan2-1W
9 OctHHapoel Bnei Musmus0-0D
1 OctAHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt0-2L
24 SepHHapoel Ironi Arraba4-1W
18 SepHHapoel Migdal HaEmek2-4L
9 SepAMaccabi K. Ata Bialik1-3L
4 SepHTira0-1L

Head to head

1Hapoel Umm al-Fahm wins
0draws
0Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed wins

1 meeting · goals 3:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

2 Jan 2026Liga AlefLiga AlefMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0-3Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X25%3.62223%4.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

1 Nov 12:012 Nov 08:001 1.72X 3.622 4.01
11.81 → 1.72 -5.0%X3.55 → 3.62 +2.0%23.66 → 4.01 +9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
Pinnacle1.682.048.5%
1xBet1.711.989.0%
Marathonbet1.682.029.0%
Betano1.701.9510.1%
Best of all books1.752.055.9%
Average1.712.018.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.642.089.1%
Marathonbet1.691.979.9%
Best of all books1.692.106.8%
Average1.662.059.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 45%Draw 45%Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 10%

The statistical model rates Hapoel Umm al-Fahm at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.62 | 4.01, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Hapoel Umm al-Fahm or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.723.624.01

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.891.21

Draw no bet

12
1.352.90

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.05

1st half

1X2
2.292.244.35

2nd half

1X2
2.012.614.17

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8013.430.3
HT X4.845.808.31
HT 220.314.56.15

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5812.52.54

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0111.3
1.51.203.83
2.51.712.01
3.52.711.38
4.55.301.12
5.510.51.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.90
1.751.253.31
21.302.99
2.251.492.34
2.751.851.81
32.131.59
3.252.411.46
3.753.211.26
44.201.15

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.731.36
-1.252.421.46
-12.151.61
-0.751.821.85
-0.51.692.05
-0.251.452.45
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-38.801.01
-2.55.431.09
-24.701.13
-1.753.461.23
01.263.27
+0.251.233.53
+11.027.90
+1.51.027.80

Next Liga Alef matches

2 NovTzeirey Tamra – Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
2 NovHapoel Azor – FC Jerusalem
2 NovHapoel Nazareth Illit – Beitar Nahariya
2 NovNordia Jerusalem – Kfar Saba 1928
2 NovMaccabi Yavne – Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 NovMaccabi Kiryat Malachi – Holon Yermiyahu

All Liga Alef fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Alef results

1 NovIroni Nesher 5-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
30 OctHapoel Bnei Musmus 1-4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
30 OctHapoel Mahane Yehuda 3-2 Hapoel Hadera
30 OctDimona 7-0 Hapoel Herzliya
30 OctHapoel Beit Shean 0-0 Tira
30 OctHapoel Sderot 1-0 Ironi Beit Shemesh