OddsFilter
Live

Motril vs Almería II• Tercera División RFEF - Group 9, Spain

#51.8:1.616:00Today1.2:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50BTNX3.05BTN22.95DAFMargin at best6.7%Books5Markets38Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.503.052.778.9%
Dafabet2.363.002.959.6%
Bet3652.453.002.7011.2%
1xBet2.452.942.6712.3%
Marathonbet2.452.942.6712.3%
Best of all books2.503.052.956.7%
Average2.442.992.7510.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MotrilAlmería II
Last 10#5Table position#31.78Points per game2.008Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 50.860Attack rating4033Defence rating6747Form rating5338H2H rating6234Goals model6641Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 03:02 UTC

Motril

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

1 NovAGranada II1-1D
25 OctHMálaga II2-4L
18 OctACantoria2-0W
11 OctHAtlético Porcuna1-1D
4 OctAUD San Pedro3-2W
27 SepHAlhaurino2-0W
20 SepAMalaga City2-1W
13 SepHTorre del Mar1-1D
9 SepHRecreativo Huelva0-2L
5 SepAHuétor Vega0-0D

Almería II

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

1 NovHChurriana Vega0-0D
25 OctHAtletico de Marbella2-2D
18 OctAGranada II1-0W
11 OctHMálaga II2-1W
4 OctACantoria1-1D
27 SepHAtlético Porcuna4-0W
20 SepAUD San Pedro0-1L
13 SepHAlhaurino2-0W
6 SepAMalaga City2-1W
3 MayAÁguilas0-2L

Head to head

3Motril wins
4draws
2Almería II wins

9 meetings · goals 11:12 · last 9: 3W 4D 2L for Motril

7 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Almería II1-0Motril
19 Nov 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Motril1-1Almería II
2 Apr 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Motril2-1Almería II
8 Dec 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Almería II0-0Motril
3 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Almería II3-0Motril
5 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Motril1-1Almería II
27 Aug 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMotril4-3Almería II
9 Feb 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Almería II1-2Motril
22 Sep 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Motril1-1Almería II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 tableTercera: Group 9updated 8 Nov 03:20 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 table, Motril sit 5th with 16 points from 9 games, while Almería II are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Melilla971117:7+1022
2Arenas Armilla954016:7+919
3Almería II953114:6+818
4Ciudad de Torredonjimeno952217:10+717
5Motril944114:10+416
6Málaga II943219:11+815
7Marbelli94328:7+115
8UD San Pedro950411:11015
9Churriana Vega933313:10+312
10Granada II933310:7+312
11Atlético Porcuna93339:15-612
12Huétor Vega924311:14-310
13Torre del Mar92346:8-29
14Alhaurino92349:12-39
15Atletico de Marbella91447:11-47
16Mancha Real91355:13-86
17Cantoria90454:14-104
18Malaga City90096:23-170

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.45X30%2.99233%2.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 03:018 Nov 00:501 2.45X 2.992 2.74
11.95 → 2.45 +25.6%X3.21 → 2.99 -6.9%23.53 → 2.74 -22.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betano2.121.657.8%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
Marathonbet2.131.619.1%
Best of all books2.151.676.4%
Average2.131.648.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.831.849.0%
Betano1.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.831.819.9%
Best of all books1.831.849.0%
Average1.831.839.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Motril 10%Draw 45%Almería II 45%

The statistical model rates Motril at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Almería II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.45 | 2.99 | 2.74, which imply roughly 33.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 table: Motril are 5th (16 pts, 14-10 goals), Almería II 3rd (18 pts, 14-6).

Over their last five matches, Motril averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Almería II averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Almería II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.442.992.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.441.30

Draw no bet

12
1.781.92

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.83

1st half

1X2
3.161.963.46

2nd half

1X2
2.812.273.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9814.730.3
HT X5.834.526.30
HT 229.315.74.49

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.967.452.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.086.00
1.51.352.76
2.52.131.64
3.53.761.20
4.56.481.08
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.066.15
1.251.203.68
1.751.442.44
21.612.11
2.251.851.79
2.752.471.44
33.081.28
3.253.481.22
46.901.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.981.30
-0.52.061.73
-0.252.091.61
01.771.93
+0.251.522.27
+0.751.253.28
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.701.01
-1.55.201.10
-1.254.751.12
-14.251.15
+11.114.85
+1.51.075.80

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 results

1 NovAlmería II 0-0 Churriana Vega
25 OctMotril 2-4 Málaga II
11 OctAlmería II 2-1 Málaga II