Almería II vs Churriana Vega• Tercera División RFEF - Group 9, Spain

#32.0:0.811:00Today1.6:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70BTNX3.60B36526.00B365Margin at best3.3%Books5Markets41Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.57	3.60	6.00	8.1%
Betano	1.70	3.35	4.85	9.3%
Dafabet	1.67	3.45	4.80	9.7%
1xBet	1.60	3.44	5.18	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.44	5.05	12.2%
Best of all books	1.70	3.60	6.00	3.3%
Average	1.62	3.46	5.18	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Almería IIChurriana Vega

Last 10#3Table position#92.13Points per game1.3811Form pts · last 582.0Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.256Attack rating4460Defence rating4058Form rating420H2H rating073Goals model2762Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

Almería II

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	H	Atletico de Marbella	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Granada II	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Málaga II	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Cantoria	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Atlético Porcuna	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	UD San Pedro	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Alhaurino	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Malaga City	2-1	W
3 May	A	Águilas	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	Deportiva Minera	3-4	L

Churriana Vega

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Granada II	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Málaga II	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Cantoria	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Atlético Porcuna	3-2	W
27 Sep	H	UD San Pedro	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Alhaurino	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Malaga City	4-1	W
6 Sep	A	Torre del Mar	0-1	L
24 May	A	Motril	0-0	D
17 May	H	Motril	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Almería II and Churriana Vega on record.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 tableTercera: Group 9updated 31 Oct 16:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 table, Almería II sit 3rd with 17 points from 8 games, while Churriana Vega are 9th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Melilla	9	7	1	1	17:7	+10	22
2	Arenas Armilla	8	5	3	0	16:7	+9	18
3	Almería II	8	5	2	1	14:6	+8	17
4	Málaga II	9	4	3	2	19:11	+8	15
5	Motril	8	4	3	1	13:9	+4	15
6	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	8	4	2	2	14:8	+6	14
7	Marbelli	8	4	2	2	8:7	+1	14
8	UD San Pedro	8	4	0	4	9:11	-2	12
9	Churriana Vega	8	3	2	3	13:10	+3	11
10	Granada II	8	3	2	3	9:6	+3	11
11	Atlético Porcuna	8	3	2	3	9:15	-6	11
12	Alhaurino	8	2	3	3	7:9	-2	9
13	Torre del Mar	8	2	2	4	6:8	-2	8
14	Huétor Vega	8	1	4	3	10:14	-4	7
15	Atletico de Marbella	8	1	3	4	7:11	-4	6
16	Mancha Real	8	1	3	4	5:11	-6	6
17	Cantoria	8	0	3	5	4:14	-10	3
18	Malaga City	8	0	0	8	6:22	-16	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X26%3.46218%5.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.62 -7.4%X3.38 → 3.46 +2.4%24.13 → 5.18 +25.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Average	2.07	1.67	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Betano	1.95	1.72	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	1.99	1.72	8.4%
Average	1.98	1.70	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almería II 45%Draw 45%Churriana Vega 10%

The statistical model rates Almería II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Churriana Vega at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.46 | 5.18, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Almería II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 table: Almería II are 3rd (17 pts, 14-6 goals), Churriana Vega 9th (11 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, Almería II averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Churriana Vega averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Almería II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	3.46	5.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.11	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.98	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.04	5.58

2nd half

1	X	2
2.00	2.41	4.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.59	17.3	48.7
HT X	4.33	4.98	10.0
HT 2	25.0	17.5	8.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	8.25	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.20
1.5	1.33	2.89
2.5	2.07	1.67
3.5	3.62	1.22
4.5	6.38	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.17	3.98
1.75	1.40	2.60
2	1.53	2.21
2.25	1.79	1.85
2.75	2.36	1.48
3	2.97	1.30
3.25	3.28	1.25
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.33
-1.25	2.49	1.42
-1	2.15	1.59
-0.75	1.79	1.89
-0.5	1.74	2.04
-0.25	1.39	2.59

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.95	1.07
-2	5.05	1.10
-1.75	3.50	1.22
0	1.19	3.80
+0.25	1.14	4.40
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.01	9.50

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 results

25 Oct	Motril 2-4 Málaga II
11 Oct	Almería II 2-1 Málaga II
3 Oct	Málaga II 2-0 Granada II