Almería II vs Málaga II• Tercera División RFEF - Group 9, Spain

#21.8:0.62-1FT11/102.2:0.8#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.25B36523.35BTNMargin at best8.9%Books5Markets37Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.07	3.20	3.40	9.0%
Dafabet	2.03	3.20	3.35	10.4%
1xBet	2.01	3.22	3.32	10.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.25	3.30	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.22	3.24	12.2%
Best of all books	2.07	3.25	3.40	8.5%
Average	2.02	3.22	3.32	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Almería IIMálaga II

Last 10#2Table position#72.29Points per game1.5710Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 52.20.6Goals against · last 50.845Attack rating5557Defence rating4350Form rating5071H2H rating29100Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:40 UTC

Almería II

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	A	Cantoria	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Atlético Porcuna	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	UD San Pedro	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Alhaurino	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Malaga City	2-1	W
3 May	A	Águilas	0-2	L
26 Apr	H	Deportiva Minera	3-4	L
19 Apr	A	Yeclano	1-1	D
11 Apr	H	Estepona	1-2	L
5 Apr	H	Lorca Deportiva	1-1	D

Málaga II

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

18 Oct	H	Churriana Vega	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Almería II	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Granada II	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Atletico de Marbella	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Cantoria	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Atlético Porcuna	6-1	W
6 Sep	A	UD San Pedro	0-1	L
3 May	H	Melilla	3-3	D
26 Apr	A	Puente Genil	1-2	L
18 Apr	H	Antoniano	3-2	W

Head to head

6Almería II wins

3draws

2Málaga II wins

11 meetings · goals 14:7 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Almería II

8 Feb 2026Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Almería II1-1Málaga II
14 Sep 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Málaga II0-1Almería II
26 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Málaga II1-2Almería II
19 May 2024Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs	Almería II3-1Málaga II
21 Jan 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Almería II0-2Málaga II
10 Sep 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Málaga II0-0Almería II
19 Feb 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Almería II0-0Málaga II
23 Oct 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Málaga II1-2Almería II
20 Mar 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Almería II2-0Málaga II
21 Nov 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9	Málaga II1-0Almería II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 tableTercera: Group 9updated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 table, Almería II sit 2nd with 16 points from 7 games, while Málaga II are 7th with 11 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Melilla	8	7	0	1	15:5	+10	21
2	Almería II	7	5	1	1	12:4	+8	16
3	Arenas Armilla	7	4	3	0	15:7	+8	15
4	Motril	7	4	3	0	11:5	+6	15
5	Marbelli	7	4	1	2	8:7	+1	13
6	UD San Pedro	7	4	0	3	9:10	-1	12
7	Málaga II	7	3	2	2	13:7	+6	11
8	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	7	3	2	2	10:7	+3	11
9	Churriana Vega	7	3	1	3	13:10	+3	10
10	Granada II	7	3	1	3	9:6	+3	10
11	Atlético Porcuna	7	3	1	3	9:15	-6	10
12	Alhaurino	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
13	Torre del Mar	7	2	1	4	6:8	-2	7
14	Huétor Vega	7	1	3	3	10:14	-4	6
15	Atletico de Marbella	7	1	2	4	5:9	-4	5
16	Mancha Real	7	1	2	4	5:11	-6	5
17	Cantoria	8	0	3	5	4:14	-10	3
18	Malaga City	7	0	0	7	5:18	-13	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X28%3.22227%3.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.02	1.71	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.79	1.88	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.82	1.88	8.1%
Average	1.80	1.86	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almería II 45%Draw 45%Málaga II 10%

The statistical model rated Almería II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Málaga II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.22 | 3.32, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Almería II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 table: Almería II are 2nd (16 pts, 12-4 goals), Málaga II 7th (11 pts, 13-7).

Over their last five matches, Almería II averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Málaga II averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Almería II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.22	3.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.66	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
2.65	2.04	3.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	8.60	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.30
1.5	1.31	2.98
2.5	2.02	1.71
3.5	3.45	1.23
4.5	6.15	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.37	2.66
2	1.49	2.30
2.25	1.74	1.91
2.75	2.28	1.52
3	2.78	1.34
3.25	3.14	1.27
4	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.04	1.29
-0.75	2.33	1.48
-0.5	2.02	1.70
-0.25	1.76	1.94
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.34	2.78

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.5	3.88	1.18
-1.25	3.42	1.23
+0.75	1.16	4.14
+1	1.05	6.40
+1.5	1.03	7.40

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 results

25 Oct	Motril 2-4 Málaga II
3 Oct	Málaga II 2-0 Granada II