Touring vs Pasaia KE• Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#51.0:1.03-1FTToday1.2:3.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65WHX3.65DAF25.021XBMargin at best7.9%Books5Markets41Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.62	3.65	4.90	9.5%
Pinnacle	1.62	3.62	4.85	10.0%
1xBet	1.58	3.62	5.02	10.8%
William Hill	1.65	3.40	4.80	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.62	4.90	12.1%
Best of all books	1.65	3.65	5.02	7.9%
Average	1.61	3.58	4.89	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TouringPasaia KE

Last 10#5Table position#151.64Points per game0.917Form pts · last 501.0Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 53.245Attack rating5576Defence rating24100Form rating075H2H rating2574Goals model2666Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 12:50 UTC

Touring

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

7 Nov	A	Leioa	2-4	L
31 Oct	H	Lagun Onak	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Erandio	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Derio	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Sodupe	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Durango	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Deportivo Alavés III	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Beasain	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Aurrerá Vitoria	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Aretxabaleta	0-1	L

Pasaia KE

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:22 · per match 1.3 for, 2.2 against

7 Nov	A	Lagun Onak	1-3	L
31 Oct	H	Derio	2-3	L
24 Oct	A	Durango	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Beasain	1-4	L
11 Oct	A	Aretxabaleta	2-4	L
3 Oct	H	Santurtzi	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	San Ignacio	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Real Sociedad III	3-2	W
13 Sep	A	Leioa	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Erandio	0-2	L

Head to head

3Touring wins

3draws

2Pasaia KE wins

8 meetings · goals 9:10 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for Touring

7 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Touring1-1Pasaia KE
27 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Pasaia KE0-0Touring
25 Jan 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Touring2-1Pasaia KE
14 Sep 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Pasaia KE1-2Touring
27 Apr 2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Touring1-1Pasaia KE
16 Dec 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Pasaia KE2-1Touring
11 Feb 2023Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Touring0-4Pasaia KE
8 Oct 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Pasaia KE0-2Touring

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 tableTercera: Group 4updated 14 Nov 20:10 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table, Touring sit 5th with 18 points from 11 games, while Pasaia KE are 15th with 10 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Leioa	10	6	4	0	28:12	+16	22
2	Aurrerá Vitoria	10	7	1	2	17:14	+3	22
3	Deportivo Alavés III	11	6	3	2	25:10	+15	21
4	Real Sociedad III	10	5	3	2	20:13	+7	18
5	Touring	11	5	3	3	15:11	+4	18
6	Derio	11	5	3	3	15:13	+2	18
7	San Ignacio	11	5	2	4	18:12	+6	17
8	Durango	10	4	5	1	16:11	+5	17
9	Eibar III	11	5	2	4	18:14	+4	17
10	Aretxabaleta	11	5	2	4	12:15	-3	17
11	Sodupe	11	5	2	4	8:15	-7	17
12	Beasain	10	4	2	4	19:13	+6	14
13	Lagun Onak	10	3	2	5	11:14	-3	11
14	R. Union B	10	2	4	4	12:18	-6	10
15	Pasaia KE	11	3	1	7	14:25	-11	10
16	Santurtzi	11	3	0	8	7:14	-7	9
17	Erandio	11	2	0	9	9:19	-10	6
18	Amurrio Club	10	0	1	9	3:24	-21	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X25%3.58219%4.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	1.86	6.7%
1xBet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Best of all books	1.89	1.86	6.7%
Average	1.86	1.83	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.81	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Average	1.83	1.83	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Touring 45%Draw 45%Pasaia KE 10%

The statistical model rated Touring at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pasaia KE at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.58 | 4.89, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Touring win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table: Touring are 5th (18 pts, 15-11 goals), Pasaia KE 15th (10 pts, 14-25).

Over their last five matches, Touring averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Pasaia KE averaged 1.2 scored and 3.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Touring or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.58	4.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.09	1.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.18	5.36

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.50	4.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.48	18.0	50.0
HT X	4.50	5.20	11.0
HT 2	21.0	18.0	8.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.46	11.3	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.15
1.5	1.25	3.28
2.5	1.86	1.83
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	6.10	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.10
1.75	1.32	2.95
2	1.41	2.58
2.25	1.63	2.10
2.75	2.09	1.63
3	2.48	1.44
3.25	2.80	1.35
3.75	3.82	1.18
4	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.66	1.38
-1.25	2.35	1.49
-1	2.06	1.66
-0.75	1.76	1.92
-0.5	1.61	2.21
-0.25	1.40	2.61

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.50	1.13
-1.75	3.28	1.25
0	1.21	3.68
+0.25	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 matches

15 Nov	Aurrerá Vitoria – Beasain
15 Nov	Leioa – Real Sociedad III

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 results

8 Nov

Aretxabaleta 0-3 Aurrerá Vitoria