Aretxabaleta vs Aurrerá Vitoria• Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#62.0:1.215:30Today1.2:2.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.42BTNX3.00WH23.11PINMargin at best6.8%Books6Markets40Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.42	2.95	3.00	8.6%
Pinnacle	2.31	2.91	3.11	9.8%
Dafabet	2.37	2.95	2.95	10.0%
1xBet	2.28	2.93	3.04	10.9%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.88	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.26	2.93	2.95	12.3%
Best of all books	2.42	3.00	3.11	6.8%
Average	2.32	2.95	2.99	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AretxabaletaAurrerá Vitoria

Last 10#6Table position#21.89Points per game2.1112Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 52.263Attack rating3865Defence rating3557Form rating4350H2H rating5058Goals model4256Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 13:11 UTC

Aretxabaleta

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

31 Oct	A	Amurrio Club	2-1	W
25 Oct	H	Eibar III	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	R. Union B	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Pasaia KE	4-2	W
3 Oct	A	Lagun Onak	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Derio	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Durango	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Beasain	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Touring	1-0	W
9 May	H	Zamudio	3-1	W

Aurrerá Vitoria

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Santurtzi	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	San Ignacio	0-5	L
17 Oct	H	Real Sociedad III	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Leioa	0-4	L
3 Oct	H	Erandio	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Sodupe	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Deportivo Alavés III	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Touring	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Amurrio Club	2-1	W
9 May	H	Deusto	2-1	W

Head to head

1Aretxabaleta wins

0draws

1Aurrerá Vitoria wins

2 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Aretxabaleta

22 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Aurrerá Vitoria5-1Aretxabaleta
12 Oct 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 4	Aretxabaleta4-2Aurrerá Vitoria

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 tableTercera: Group 4updated 8 Nov 13:11 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table, Aretxabaleta sit 6th with 17 points from 9 games, while Aurrerá Vitoria are 2nd with 19 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Leioa	10	6	4	0	28:12	+16	22
2	Aurrerá Vitoria	9	6	1	2	14:14	0	19
3	Real Sociedad III	10	5	3	2	20:13	+7	18
4	Derio	10	5	3	2	15:11	+4	18
5	Durango	10	4	5	1	16:11	+5	17
6	Aretxabaleta	9	5	2	2	12:8	+4	17
7	Deportivo Alavés III	9	4	3	2	20:10	+10	15
8	Touring	10	4	3	3	12:10	+2	15
9	Beasain	10	4	2	4	19:13	+6	14
10	San Ignacio	10	4	2	4	16:12	+4	14
11	Eibar III	10	4	2	4	16:14	+2	14
12	Sodupe	10	4	2	4	7:15	-8	14
13	Lagun Onak	10	3	2	5	11:14	-3	11
14	R. Union B	10	2	4	4	12:18	-6	10
15	Pasaia KE	10	3	1	6	13:22	-9	10
16	Santurtzi	9	3	0	6	7:12	-5	9
17	Erandio	10	2	0	8	9:17	-8	6
18	Amurrio Club	10	0	1	9	3:24	-21	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.32X31%2.95230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.05	1.71	7.3%
Betano	2.02	1.72	7.6%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.05	1.72	6.9%
Average	2.02	1.70	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.72	1.98	8.6%
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Best of all books	1.80	1.98	6.1%
Average	1.76	1.92	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aretxabaleta 45%Draw 45%Aurrerá Vitoria 10%

The statistical model rates Aretxabaleta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aurrerá Vitoria at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 2.95 | 2.99, which imply roughly 43.1% for a Aretxabaleta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table: Aretxabaleta are 6th (17 pts, 12-8 goals), Aurrerá Vitoria 2nd (19 pts, 14-14).

Over their last five matches, Aretxabaleta averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Aurrerá Vitoria averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aretxabaleta or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.32	2.95	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.51	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.67	2.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.93	1.97	3.72

2nd half

1	X	2
2.69	2.30	3.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.07	14.3	30.5
HT X	5.60	4.38	6.35
HT 2	28.5	14.8	4.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	7.20	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.32
1.5	1.32	2.97
2.5	2.02	1.70
3.5	3.33	1.25
4.5	6.55	1.09
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.15
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.39	2.64
2	1.52	2.30
2.25	1.77	1.91
2.75	2.28	1.52
3	2.80	1.35
3.25	3.08	1.28
4	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.68	1.38
-0.5	2.29	1.57
-0.25	1.94	1.75
0	1.62	2.14
+0.25	1.43	2.51
+0.5	1.33	3.02

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.01
-2	8.30	1.01
-1.5	4.40	1.14
-1.25	3.98	1.17
-1	3.53	1.23
+0.75	1.23	3.49
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.5	1.06	6.15

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 results

11 Oct

Aretxabaleta 4-2 Pasaia KE