Aurrerá Vitoria vs
Beasain• Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 08:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.52 | 9.4% |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 9.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 11.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.14 | 2.45 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.14 | 2.45 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.52 | 9.4% |
| Average | 2.55 | 3.18 | 2.48 | 10.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 06:01 UTC
Aurrerá Vitoria
7W 1D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against
| 8 Nov | A | Aretxabaleta | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Santurtzi | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | San Ignacio | 0-5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Real Sociedad III | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Leioa | 0-4 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Erandio | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Sodupe | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Deportivo Alavés III | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Touring | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Amurrio Club | 2-1 | W |
Beasain
4W 2D 4L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against
| 7 Nov | H | Amurrio Club | 6-0 | W |
| 1 Nov | A | Eibar III | 1-3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | R. Union B | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Pasaia KE | 4-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Lagun Onak | 4-2 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | Derio | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Durango | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Touring | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Aretxabaleta | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Santurtzi | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Aurrerá Vitoria and Beasain on record.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 tableTercera: Group 4updated 14 Nov 06:10 UTC
In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table, Aurrerá Vitoria sit 2nd with 22 points from 10 games, while Beasain are 9th with 14 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 28:12 | +16 | 22 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | +3 | 22 |
| 3 | Deportivo Alavés III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:13 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Derio | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 18 |
| 6 | Durango | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Aretxabaleta | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | Touring | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Beasain | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | +6 | 14 |
| 10 | San Ignacio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 | Eibar III | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Sodupe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 14 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | R. Union B | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Pasaia KE | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Erandio | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:24 | -21 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Betano | 1.98 | 1.72 | 8.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.72 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.91 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 1.91 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 1.88 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 1.91 | 8.5% |
| Average | 1.77 | 1.90 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Aurrerá Vitoria at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Beasain at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.54 | 3.17 | 2.48, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 table: Aurrerá Vitoria are 2nd (22 pts, 17-14 goals), Beasain 9th (14 pts, 19-13).
Over their last five matches, Aurrerá Vitoria averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Beasain averaged 3.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Beasain.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 3.18 | 2.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.82 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.77 | 1.90 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | 2.04 | 3.14 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.94 | 2.35 | 2.81 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 4.15 | 14.7 | 29.0 |
| HT X | 6.07 | 4.77 | 6.03 |
| HT 2 | 29.7 | 15.3 | 4.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.01 | 8.55 | 1.99 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.07 | 6.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.30 | 3.01 |
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 3.42 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 5.88 | 1.10 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
| 1.75 | 1.37 | 2.67 |
| 2 | 1.49 | 2.30 |
| 2.25 | 1.74 | 1.90 |
| 2.75 | 2.28 | 1.52 |
| 3 | 2.78 | 1.34 |
| 3.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 6.10 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| -0.25 | 2.17 | 1.56 |
| 0 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| +0.25 | 1.60 | 2.11 |
| +0.75 | 1.31 | 2.98 |
| +1 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.40 | 1.09 |
| -1 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 matches
| 15 Nov | Leioa – Real Sociedad III |
Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 results
| 8 Nov | Aretxabaleta 0-3 Aurrerá Vitoria |