Selaya vs Cayón• Tercera División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#121.0:1.618:30Today1.0:0.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.59PINX3.25BTN22.05WHMargin at best7.4%Books6Markets40Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.45	3.25	2.02	9.3%
Pinnacle	3.59	3.12	2.00	9.9%
Dafabet	3.40	3.20	2.03	9.9%
1xBet	3.58	3.10	1.97	11.0%
Bet365	3.20	3.20	2.05	11.3%
William Hill	3.50	2.90	2.05	11.8%
Best of all books	3.59	3.25	2.05	7.4%
Average	3.45	3.13	2.02	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SelayaCayón

Last 10#12Table position#50.88Points per game2.133Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 50.250Attack rating5011Defence rating8921Form rating7913H2H rating880Goals model10023Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

Selaya

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	A	Guarnizo	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Vimenor	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Barquereño	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Naval Reinosa	3-2	W
26 Sep	A	Escobedo	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Atlético Albericia	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Tropezón	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Castro	0-0	D
9 May	A	Atlético Albericia	4-2	W
3 May	H	Laredo	1-1	D

Cayón

6W 2D 2L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

25 Oct	H	Laredo	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Bezana	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Torina	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Velarde	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Sámano	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Atlético Mineros	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Guarnizo	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Vimenor	0-1	L
9 May	H	Vimenor	3-1	W
3 May	A	Tropezón	1-3	L

Head to head

0Selaya wins

1draws

2Cayón wins

3 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Selaya

22 Mar 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Selaya0-2Cayón
9 Nov 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Cayón1-0Selaya
13 Aug 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Selaya1-1Cayón

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 tableTercera: Group 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table, Selaya sit 12th with 7 points from 8 games, while Cayón are 5th with 17 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tropezón	8	6	2	0	15:5	+10	20
2	Laredo	8	6	0	2	18:5	+13	18
3	Revilla	8	5	2	1	19:11	+8	17
4	Bezana	8	5	2	1	13:7	+6	17
5	Cayón	8	5	2	1	8:2	+6	17
6	Vimenor	8	5	1	2	12:6	+6	16
7	Sámano	8	3	4	1	16:8	+8	13
8	Torina	8	2	6	0	9:3	+6	12
9	Atlético Mineros	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
10	Castro	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
11	Guarnizo	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
12	Selaya	8	2	1	5	6:11	-5	7
13	Atlético Albericia	8	1	3	4	10:14	-4	6
14	Solares	8	1	3	4	7:13	-6	6
15	Escobedo	8	1	3	4	7:15	-8	6
16	Naval Reinosa	8	1	2	5	10:19	-9	5
17	Velarde	8	1	2	5	5:14	-9	5
18	Barquereño	8	1	2	5	6:16	-10	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.45X29%3.13245%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.17 → 3.45 +8.8%X3.19 → 3.13 -1.9%22.11 → 2.02 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.09	1.68	7.4%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.68	6.0%
Average	2.09	1.67	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Betano	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Average	1.84	1.83	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Selaya 10%Draw 45%Cayón 45%

The statistical model rates Selaya at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cayón at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.45 | 3.13 | 2.02, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table: Selaya are 12th (7 pts, 6-11 goals), Cayón 5th (17 pts, 8-2).

Over their last five matches, Selaya averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Cayón averaged 1 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cayón and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.45	3.13	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.25	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.42	1.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
4.06	2.04	2.64

2nd half

1	X	2
3.71	2.33	2.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.60	15.7	26.0
HT X	7.33	4.70	5.07
HT 2	36.3	15.8	3.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	8.00	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.05
1.5	1.34	2.90
2.5	2.09	1.67
3.5	3.52	1.23
4.5	6.70	1.08
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.42	2.60
2	1.55	2.25
2.25	1.82	1.88
2.75	2.38	1.51
3	2.94	1.33
3.25	3.14	1.29
4	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.99	1.32
0	2.56	1.43
+0.25	1.99	1.75
+0.5	1.76	1.99
+0.75	1.53	2.30
+1	1.33	2.91

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.02
-1	7.10	1.04
-0.75	4.45	1.14
-0.5	3.21	1.29
+1.25	1.26	3.31
+1.5	1.19	3.78
+2	1.03	7.30
+2.5	1.02	8.10

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 matches

30 Oct

Revilla – Vimenor

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 results

25 Oct	Vimenor 3-0 Solares
25 Oct	Guarnizo 1-0 Selaya
11 Oct	Cayón 0-0 Torina
4 Oct	Selaya 3-2 Naval Reinosa
4 Oct	Castro 0-2 Tropezón