Guarnizo vs Selaya• Tercera División RFEF - Group 3, Spain

#111.6:2.21-0FT25/101.2:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BTNX3.40B36523.881XBMargin at best7.5%Books6Markets41Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.91	3.30	3.80	9.0%
Dafabet	1.86	3.30	3.85	10.0%
Pinnacle	1.86	3.26	3.82	10.6%
1xBet	1.84	3.25	3.88	10.9%
William Hill	1.85	3.10	3.80	12.6%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	3.50	12.6%
Best of all books	1.91	3.40	3.88	7.5%
Average	1.86	3.27	3.78	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GuarnizoSelaya

Last 10#11Table position#121.00Points per game0.885Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.457Attack rating4339Defence rating6145Form rating5571H2H rating2989Goals model1161Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 12:41 UTC

Guarnizo

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

17 Oct	A	Laredo	2-4	L
10 Oct	H	Bezana	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Torina	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Velarde	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Sámano	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Cayón	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Atlético Mineros	1-2	L
24 May	A	Tropezón	0-3	L
17 May	H	Tropezón	0-0	D
9 May	A	Bezana	1-1	D

Selaya

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	A	Guarnizo	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Vimenor	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Barquereño	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Naval Reinosa	3-2	W
26 Sep	A	Escobedo	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Atlético Albericia	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Tropezón	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Castro	0-0	D
9 May	A	Atlético Albericia	4-2	W
3 May	H	Laredo	1-1	D

Head to head

3Guarnizo wins

1draws

3Selaya wins

7 meetings · goals 11:8 · last 7: 3W 1D 3L for Guarnizo

25 Feb 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Selaya0-3Guarnizo
13 Sep 2025Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Guarnizo2-1Selaya
23 Apr 2022Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Guarnizo4-1Selaya
19 Dec 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Selaya1-1Guarnizo
10 Mar 2021Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Selaya2-0Guarnizo
29 Nov 2020Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Guarnizo0-1Selaya
22 Dec 2019Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 3	Selaya2-1Guarnizo

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 tableTercera: Group 3updated 29 Oct 19:31 UTC

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table, Guarnizo sit 11th with 8 points from 8 games, while Selaya are 12th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tropezón	8	6	2	0	15:5	+10	20
2	Laredo	8	6	0	2	18:5	+13	18
3	Revilla	8	5	2	1	19:11	+8	17
4	Bezana	8	5	2	1	13:7	+6	17
5	Cayón	8	5	2	1	8:2	+6	17
6	Vimenor	8	5	1	2	12:6	+6	16
7	Sámano	8	3	4	1	16:8	+8	13
8	Torina	8	2	6	0	9:3	+6	12
9	Atlético Mineros	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
10	Castro	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
11	Guarnizo	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
12	Selaya	8	2	1	5	6:11	-5	7
13	Atlético Albericia	8	1	3	4	10:14	-4	6
14	Solares	8	1	3	4	7:13	-6	6
15	Escobedo	8	1	3	4	7:15	-8	6
16	Naval Reinosa	8	1	2	5	10:19	-9	5
17	Velarde	8	1	2	5	5:14	-9	5
18	Barquereño	8	1	2	5	6:16	-10	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.86X28%3.27224%3.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.76	6.6%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.01	1.80	5.3%
Average	1.99	1.76	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.81	1.91	7.6%
Average	1.80	1.88	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guarnizo 45%Draw 45%Selaya 10%

The statistical model rated Guarnizo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Selaya at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.27 | 3.78, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Guarnizo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 table: Guarnizo are 11th (8 pts, 10-14 goals), Selaya 12th (7 pts, 6-11).

Over their last five matches, Guarnizo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Selaya averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Guarnizo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.27	3.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.80	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.71

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.07	4.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.26	2.37	3.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.03	15.3	40.0
HT X	4.65	4.72	8.35
HT 2	24.5	15.8	6.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.58
1.5	1.31	3.04
2.5	1.99	1.76
3.5	3.34	1.25
4.5	6.25	1.09
5.5	15.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.37	2.78
2	1.48	2.40
2.25	1.74	1.97
2.75	2.25	1.56
3	2.75	1.37
3.25	3.08	1.30
4	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.00	1.31
-1	2.63	1.41
-0.75	2.11	1.63
-0.5	1.88	1.87
-0.25	1.61	2.15
0	1.36	2.81

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.60	1.03
-2	6.60	1.05
-1.75	4.45	1.14
-1.5	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.27	3.29
+1	1.02	8.30

Next Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 matches

30 Oct	Selaya – Cayón
30 Oct	Revilla – Vimenor

All Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 fixtures and the table

Latest Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 results

25 Oct	Vimenor 3-0 Solares
11 Oct	Cayón 0-0 Torina
4 Oct	Selaya 3-2 Naval Reinosa
4 Oct	Castro 0-2 Tropezón